Applying the DTM Flashcards
Most MEDCs are in stages 4-5
Low BR and DR, long LE and slow population growth.
during stage 1,2 accompanied by industrial growth, farming improvements and increasing wealth.
Which countries are in stage 5
Italy, Japan and Germany
Problems of being in stage 5
BR is below the required replacement rate, ageing workforce- economic slow down
Smaller population means reduction in spending- economic slow down
Fewer tax payers- less money for services- made worse by increasing cost for services and pensions for the elderly.
Why is the DTM useful
Gives a good generalised picture of how a population can change over time.
Easy to compare a country, if you know indicators
Forecasting how its population may change, helps when making policies like one child policy or immigration laws.
Limitations of the DTM
Original data used for it was from MDCs, might not be valid model worldwide.
Original didnt have stage 5
Doesnt take EDUCATION and role of WOMEN into account and these affect BR quite a lot.
Different countries different customs
Cant predict exactly when a country will enter a stage
Doesnt consider MIGRATION
Other factors that affect countries that DTM doesnt account for
Population control policies-France and China
Infectious diseases- HIV/AIDs
Civil War e.g. Rawanda, Sierra Leone.