AOS2 Unit 4 Flashcards
Outline key characteristic of Paris Climate Agreement
-Goals- deal w GHG mitigaton (aim 2 peak emissions), provide adaption (esp 4 low lying states) + financing (100bil p/y)
- Fundamental requirment= states 2 create NDC (article 4 req them to be ‘ambitious’ ‘represent a progress > time’ and set ‘w the view to achieving the purpose of the agreement’)
- NDC’s reported on every 5yrs h/w no way to force a specific target by a date + no enforcement mechanisms
- Enhanced Transparency Framework- all states legally bound 2 have progress tracked by tech experts + determine ways 2 strengthen ambition t/f must report every 2yrs on mitigation effort (4 peer + expert review)
- Article 4- provide flexibility to change yearly ratchet up meetings
- Article 6- set out basic principles for well-functioning international carbon market
- Article 7- goal of adaption = imp capacity (e.g. adapt 2 renewable energy), resilience (e.g. storm shelters) + reduce vulnerability (e.g. decrease prevalence of climate related events e.g. bushfires) ALL parties 2 plan + implement National Adaption Plans = NAPS
- Article 9- Mobilise 100bil p/yr in climate financing w balance b/w mit + adapt (50/50) + need 4 inc help 4 vuln states (LDCs + island states)
Effectiveness of PA
- Currently X meeting targets- e.g. UNEP emissions gap report Oct 21- on track for 2.7c inc by 2100 + only on track 4 7.5% dec in GHG by 2030 (need 55%) + April 2022 Nature Journal- 10% chance of achieving 1.5c target based upon current 2030 policies + actions +
- Slow progress in applying pressure- 35/128 analysed 2nd NDCs by Climate Action Tracker revealed that 22 countries + EU have increasingly ambition NDC (h/w 12 countries x inc ambition- 128 2nd NDCs rep 86% emissions + only 9 of states analysed by Climate Action Tracker in July 22 have almost sufficient NDCs (to keep CC bellow 2c) w only 2/9 being western/developed countries)
- Creation of framework 4 involvement from sub-national groups t/f 2 help plug gaps in under ambitious govs- e.g Global Covenant of Mayors = 9k cities, 127 countries (770mil residents) agreeing 2 continue Obama’s commitments following Trump leave PA E.g. Mayor Reed of Atlanta promised city will use 100% renewable power by 2035
PMI response 2 CC (actions)
- CDP report- Monetary rewards 4 corporate exec teams, management groups + all employees 4 achieving emissions reduction targets + set into ‘annual performance obj’ + ‘annual performance appraisal’ assessed against them
- PMI internal price on carbon ($17USD p/tonne of Co2) w price updated 1-2yrs (upper levels of corporate av =$5-20 h/w sig lower then EU ets of $90-130 euro)
- Enviro criteria applied 2 ALL purchases (creates triple bottom line) inc supplies of tobacco
- Application of 2c scenario + ‘involved in the CDP Road to Paris’ + have regarded commitments to CC based on adaption + mitigation + science outline @ PA
- Assist LDCs + adaption- E.f. following severe draught in S-E Af PMI + Swiss Red Cross support interventions promoting food security e.g., in Mozambique focus on distribution of seeds + farming tools + delivering training to strengthen resilience 2 future climate-disasters + crisis
PMI effectiveness of response 2 CC
- CDP (not-for-profit charity running global independent audit for investors, companies etc 2 manage enviro impact) – of 9600 submissions for ‘A list’ on climate only 200 😊 inc PMI + PMI 1/118 companies A-listed for water security +1/24 A list for forests (2021) –>dems that actually implementing policies effectively x just rhetorically
- Able to influence behaviour of suppliers- red 70% of GHG (from ’10 level) from tab curing + 0% coal 4 curing + 0% deforestation due to cultivation + curing by ’20
Overall judgement- status as TNC means response to CC can only directly inf own actions + those of suppliers t/f despite sig imp only minute impact on broader crisis
Catch Church response to CC (key actions)
- 18th June ’15- papal encyclical (Laudato Si) inc churches focus on CC b/c ‘the Earth our home, is beginning to look like an immense pile of filth’ + ‘the remarkable weakness’ of pol responses e.g. need to combat by turning ‘down the unlimited appetites of consumerism’ (i.e. ID’s cause of prob as capitalism) + emphasises moral resp of developed states 2 help developing states
- 24th May ’17- meet w Trump + publicly urges to remain in PA
- 9th June 2018- speaks w oil executives emphasising need to convert to clean energy
- Jan 2019- Pope 2 180x diplomats denouncing the ‘very weak’ response 2 CC by politicians ‘remained a source of grave concern’ – Pope openly using moral authority to denounce pol
- Divested in fossil fuels
- June 2019- declared ‘climate emergency’ met w chief of exec of BP, Shell, Chevron –> ostensibly called on govs 2 put in place carbon piecing (limited inf h/w b/c x implement own policies 2 red emissions)
Overall uses diplomacy (via speeches, UN GA observer status + meetings w pols) 2 apply moral pressure + authority
Effectiveness of Cath Church response 2 CC
Overall judgement- despite failing to meet goal of radically overhaul of syst h/w have successfully inc pressure + inc ambition + makes doing nothing morally less
- Help 2 set agenda- Yale religion scholar M. Tucker described LS as ‘unprecedented’ + reps ‘structural change’ in how confronting CC = setting agenda (inc need to address underlying causes of CC (cap) t/f inc radical agenda)
- Add moral weight/authority/imperative to climate debate esp b/c of sig membership + dip presence + UN GA observer status + promotes proactive response 2 CC (both pol + corporate) + inc cosmo approach
- Laudato Si- gave credibility to science esp prior 2 Paris + denounce current response e.g. UNFCCC Exec Sec Christina Figueres said ‘encyclical underscores the moral imperative for urgent action on CC 2 lift the planet’s most vuln pop’ (made intersectional issue)
Why is the PA limited
- State sov- X able to mandate stricter NDCs or policies- Only 9 states analysed by CAT have almost sufficient NDCS (2/9 western)
- No enforcement mechanism aside from condemnation + due to fact little compliance condemnation hold little weight- e.g. only 1 state paying fair share towards clim action (Norway in 2018 vs US paying
- Net zero targets can ‘distract from the urgent need for deep emissions reductions… allowing govs to ‘hide’ behind aspirational net zero targets.’ – political ploy to decrease pressure–> Climate Action Tracker found that 73% inadequate (w exception of UK, Chile + Costa Rica) + often vaguely formulated
- TNC’s + groups use greenwash 2 virtue signal 2 consumers t/f mitigating need 4 systemic change esp b/c engagement w UN X binding + X forced to act e.g. 200+ proposed ‘carbon bombs’ aka mega fossil fuel projects planned –> inc likelihood of exceeding 2c
What is the Glasgow agreement inc?
- saw goal changed by consensus 2 b 1.5c = inc pressure on states b/c inc stringent goal demands inc action
- Emissions- meetings set in ’22 (November in Egypt) + ’23 also 2 be ratchet up meetings encouraging inc ambition on NDCs
- Climate financing- promise of $500bil in 5yrs + double proportion going 2 adaption (x quite 50/50)
- Phase down coal- 1st time COP decision made direct ref 2 fossil fuels (demonstrates broader inc in ambition)
NB also saw development of smaller multilateral agreements b/w some participating actors (x necassarily unamious)
- E.g. Methane- 100 states agreed 2 scheme 2 cut methame emissions by 30% by 2030 (h/w x inc China, Russia +India)
- Coal- 40 states committed 2 stop investing in coal domestically + internationality + phase out by ‘30s (developed states) + 40s (developing states)- inc Poland, Vietnam + Chilie (major coal using countries)
Pos significance of Glasgow COP (no. 26)
- Solidified goal of 1.5c- inc pressure on states due to inc stringent goal- help to keep 1.5 alive
- Inc application of pressure by returning to ratchet up in 2022 Nov (Egypt) + 2023 = escalating expectation 2 make action
- Created precedent in which smaller groups able to take individual action- X excuse 4 inaction- e.g. 100 states agreed 2 scheme 2 cut methame emissions by 30% by 2030 (h/w x inc China, Russia +India)
- Inc platform for ppl 2 air greivences- 30k participants from 200+ countries
- Inc socio-corporate response = 450 financial institutes e.g. investment banks (130tril in assets) promised 2 align portfolios w achieving net zero by 2050
- 1st time coal mentioned in agreement
Limitations of COP26
-Only India submitted NDC directly b4 COP26 = expectation of UN
-Lack of progress on finance- wealthier nations block move 2 create a loss-and-damage fund 2 compensate developing states 4 harm caused by CC (dems lack of equity)
o Still x address difficulty 2 finance LIC (esp > MIC)
-No agreement 2 end fossil fuel subsidies
Aims of UN response 2 CC
- Peak emissions ASAP
- Pledge 100bil p/y as floor 4 funding w further support negotiated by 2025
-Paris goals- keep global temps “well bellow” 2c above pre-industial times + now is 1.5c to survive (2c seen an insufficient)
oLimit GHG emitted by human activity 2 level in which trees, soil + oceans able 2 absorb naturally b/w 2050 + 2100 (aka net zero)
oReview each county’s contribution 2 cutting emissions every 5 yrs so inc challenge (b/c belief ambition inc > time due to accountability)
oRich countries provide climate financing 2 poorer states 2 adapt 2 CC + switch 2 renewable energy
What is the EU 2020 climate package (key goals)
Enacted in legislation in 2009- w key goal of 20% dec in GHG from 05 levels
- 20% inc in energy efficiency
- 20% of EU energy from renewables
How did the EU 2020 climate package aim to reach it’s goals?
- Emissions Trading Scheme- covers 45% of EU’s GHG emissions (inc power + industry, aviation sectors)- goal for 21% red on 2005 levels
- Effort sharing decision- 55% of EU’s GHG covered (inc housing, waste, ag, transport)= covered by binding targets 4 EACH state 2 cut emissions based upon nat wealth (4 total of 10% across EU) = reviewed EVERY yr
- Renewable energy directive- national action plans 4 inc renewable energy- legally binding- vary depending on state + eco capacity from 10% (Malta) to 49% (Sweden)
- Energy Efficiency Directive- creates reg on energy efficiency for houses for rent, household appliances, lighting, renovations on gov owned houses (sets target @ 20% imp)
- Innovative + financing- esp 4 low carbon tech (e.g. Horizon 2020 received 80bil eu in funding from ’14-20)
- Regulation 443 (created 2009)- creates Co2 limits in passenger cars so that by 2015 100% of newly registered cars need to emit less then 130g/km w $$ associated w failure e.g. 5 euro for 1st g >, 15 euro for 2nd etc + inc ambition so that in 2019 1st g > = 95 euro + 2020 goal of 95g/km
Outcome of EU 2020 climate + energy package (legislated in 09)
- Outcome of effort sharing decision- inc equity in climate mitigation + b/w -13-15 all states found to be compliant w targets
- GHG emissions goals- Met 2020 goal in 2016 @ 23% bellow 1990 level (h/w ’17 = 2.1% inc = concerning reversal)–> 2020 =24% bellow
- EU relative share of GHG feel from 17.3% in 1990 to 9% in 2018 = faster rate of prog then rest of world w/o sacrificing eco growth (GDP grew 53% in same period)
- Industries covered by ETS fell by 26% (05-16) + non-ETS ind emissions red 11%
- Inc energy efficiency- e.g. Av car emissions in ’17 = 118.5g/km 22g/km reduction since ‘10
- Renewable energy goal- 22% in 2020 (inc from 9.6% in 04) - w 10 memb states expected to have had surplus of renewable energy in 2020
- Limit- 2016 preliminary report revealed Malta, Belgium, Finland + Ireland likely to X meet non-ETS target (h/w did + EU provided policy advice)
- Energy efficiency goal- GHG/GDP halved b/w 1990-2020 (h/w x significant b/c global decline by 58%)
- Some states only found to be compliant b/c bought credits t/f x as sig progress as pos e.g. Malta bought credits from Bulgaria in ‘13-15
What is the 2030 climate + energy framework + evo?
- Intially- 2014 policy created to replace 2020 Clim + en framework w inc ambitious targets e.g. set goals x3 (40% cut in GHG from 90, min 27% renewable energy, 27% imp in energy efficiency)
- Evolution- EU Green deal (2019)- inc in ambition of package- Inc 2 50 (ideally 55% red in GHG by 2030 from 2019 levels)
- Aims of EU Green deal- inc freight by rail (>air travel = less polluting), only make trade deals w states that stick 2 Paris climate targets (currently X w US, Aus, China etc = inc inf > other states), create carbon border adjustment mech, 1TRIL euro investment package (+750bil extra from covid-19 recovery package [30% of package total]) + provides $$ 4 companies judged on 6x criteria, from 2021 40% of ag subsidies + 30% from fishing will be devoted to reduce GHG in these sectors, inc GHG from shipping into ETS
How has the EU pursued 2030 clim + energy framework
- Euro Climate Law- made 55% reduction in emissions legally binding for ALL memb states (2021)
- Sep 20 Climate Target Plan- spend 30% of EU budget on climate related measures
- EU actions Plan Towards Zero pollution for Air, Water and Soil- red premature death b/c of air pollution by 55% + plastic litter @ sea by 50% by 2030
- EU reno wave = overhaul of 220mil buildings by 2050 2 inc enviro performance
- Fit for 55- package of policies (master plan) 2 reach 55% red by ’30 (inc revise ETS 2 inc shipping + dom heating + red credits –> goal = 61% red on 05 levels by ’30 (adopted June 2022)), Emission standards for vehicles- 100% red by ’35 (aka x possible to buy/sell diesel or petrol car in EU (agreed June ’22), Energy efficiency targets inc from 32% to 39%(agreed by EU com t/f parl neg 6/22) + carbon boarder adjustment mechanism