Agriculture And food Supply Flashcards
What are emission scenarios determined by
Economic growth Population growth Fossil fuel use Land use change New technologies
What has the temperature risen by in the last century
0.6*C
What are the 3 major changes causing in agriculture
Human activity changing co2
Changes in global surface temperature
Changes in rainfall
What do we need to do To predict effect of further climates on crip yield
Increase atmospheric co2 concentrations
Increase atmospheric temperature
Adjust rainfall accordingly
What are the impacts of a particular change in one factor dependant on
The effect of others
Why is there less impact of elevated co2 under drought
Bc they are stimulated by increase co2 so more spruce for them to photosynthesis so if drought hits there’s a greater effect
Why is there renter impact of increased temperature effects under elevated co2
Under aminant co2 concentrations a few difference in growth f plants; under elevated co2 concentrations elevate the growth
What are the limitations of the experiment on complex interactions between environmental factors that stimulates global climate change
Strictly controlled engionrmwntw
Limited temp fluctuations
Timing of irrigation may not simulate rainfall
Limited pot size
Some components of environmental change not considered
Plants not grown until yield
What is a way to improve the experiment on complex interactions between environmental factors that stimulates global climate change
Use previous environment/ yield data to stimulate future yields.
Example of a place to compile yield data
Lobell and Asner 2003. Complies historical records on rainfall, light temperatures across growing zones in USA. Accessed info on crop yields in same parts and then they just did some statistical associations to understand whether the changes in environment were correlated to changes in crop yield.
Examples of crops which decreased yield in some places and increased elsewhere with increased temperature
Soy bean and corn bean
What is the correlation between rainfall and light intensity with crop yields
Not correlated
Why does increased temperature decrease yield for maize and soybean
Crops had development sped up by increased temperature. Had leaves exposed to light for short time, life cycle is compressed, photosynthesis is less and therefore lower yield
What is the climate change effect on percentage crop yield trends due to predicted impacts of temperature and rainfall for maize
-3.8% (lobell£
What is the climate change effect on percentage crop yield trends due to predicted impacts of temperature and rainfall for wheat
-5.5% (lobell)
What has climate change already decrease maize production by
4%
What is the limitation of the Lobell study
Model takes no account of:
Expansion of cropping areas into cooler climates where previously could not be grown.
Use of new varieties like plant breeding and genetic modification to make them more adaptive.
Farmer changes in cropping practice like earlier planning date.
Rainfall intensity to determine soil water uptake.
Co2 fertilising effects.
What is farmer changes in cropping practice called
Agronomy
What are the 3 major approaches to determining the effects of climate change on food production
Experimental
Historical yield/ environment analysis
Crop growth/ stimulation modelling
What are the 3 major approaches to mitigating the effects of climate change in food production
Plant breeding to exploit natural genetic diversity
GM by adding/ altering specific genes
Agronomy by changing the environment through agricultural practices
What is the concept of plant breeding
Select a wild relative showing tolerance to a component of climate change.
Over many cycles of crowding and selection a new genotype is created and released.
What is a component of climate change
Drought
High temperatures
Blight
Example of wild relatives of rice that are stress tolerant
Oryx rufipogon
Example of wild relatives of wheat that are stress tolerant
Aegilops
Example of wild relatives of potato that are stress tolerant
Solanum
Example of tomato plant breeding
S.lycopersicum crosses with s.pennellii (small and drought tolerant, inedible) tO get F1
What are the general ateps in plant breeding
- Assemble variability in traits of interest
- Evaluate and select potential parents for crossings
- Create pure lines (homozygous) by backcrossing
- Hybridise
- F1 hybrids are produced
- Evaluate the progeny (election process)
- Backcross the hybrid
What is a good plant to breed with to get kohlrabi, kale, broccoli, Brussels spouts, cabbage or cauliflower
Wild mustard plant
What are limitations of plant breeding techniques
Time consuming and labour intensive.
Difficult to modify some traits as they are controlled by many genes.
High genetic uniformity increases vulnerability to pests and diseases.
Example of a successful plant breeding crop
Semi dwarf cereal varieties in the green revolution
What are 3 globally important food security crops
Drought tolerance of rice
High temperature tolerance of wheat
Disease tolerance (potato blight)
How does improving root growth in rice help it’s drought tolerance
Can take up water from deep in soil and continue to be a high yielding crop in less wet conditions
What is the difficult part of planting rice due to the massive variation in rice yield when grown under stress conditions
Deciding which variety to use as
What is the problem in wheat yield if temp goes above 27
Pollen sterility
What is a result of heat stress
Climate change
What is the effect across uniform of elevating xo2 concentrations in wheat
Increase yield
How to impose heat stress experimentally
Augmenting natural temperature variation in the field.
Plant crop later in its developmental cycle in the field which can heat up crop artificially to select varieties that are more resistant.
Screen varieties in the field.
Simulating in growth cabinets.
What is the physiology and yield of 5 aegilops species under heat stress
All 5 have a percent decrease due to heat stress.
Some are less heat sensitive.
Vegetative variables e.g chlorophyll growth.
Limited genetic variability in the Sensitivty of it to heat stres.
Explain the potato blight
The fungal pathogen is attacking crops earlier in the season as climate changes.
Backed up by simulation studies at how climate change might impact the particular crop.
Climate change predictions is the potato blight will become more severe in the future.
Should be looking at resistant potatoes.
What is the problem with the solution to the potato blight
None of the resistant potatoes are on the list of most planted potatoes in the Uk. Maris piper is not resistant at all
How long does breeding for blight resistance take
3 years
What is the challenge with plant breeding
Whether the range of progress we can generate from yield is going to be high enough for plant breeding to get increased yield year on year to deal with increasing population
Why did Burkina Faso call time on GM cotton
Quality wasn’t good enough and yields not high enough
What has happened to the rate of adoption of GM worldwide
Over the last 5 years rate of adoption has dramatically slower shhhestion future of gm crops would not be substantial
Who is the biggest adopter of GM crops
United States
Why do no European countries adopt GM crops
Bc European legislation prevents the use of gm crops in agriculture
Who are the top 10 adopters of GM crops
United States Brazil Argentina Canada India Paraguay Pakistan China South Africa Bolivia
Uptake of GM technology in Europe v USA
No commercial grown GM crops and declining number of field trials but in USA almost complete adoption for major arable crops (maybe at saturation£
What are the two GM crop types
Herbicide tolerance = glyphosate resistance “roundup ready”
Insect resistance = Bt plants
What are stacked traits
Contains both herbicide tolerance and insect resistance
Where are roundup ready crops sourced from
Agrobacterium
What is the gene in roundup ready crops
CP4 EPSP
Where are Bt crops sourced
Bacillus thuringiensis
What is the gene in BT crops
Cry1A(b)
Example of Bt crop at work
Cotton bollworm ingest cry proteins liberated toxins in alkaline insect gut which kills gut cells. Gene produces toxic crystals and once in the caterpillar the protein crystals are activated and bind to the cells of the gut and there’s a series of molecular events leading to the death
How to genetically engineer a plant using a bacterium
Desired gene and the plasmid make the desired gene. Put the desired gene in the agrobacterium. The two cells merge to make a GM plant. also has a marker gene like antibiotic resistance
How to test whether a gene has been transferred
Plants with new genes grow despite antibiotics but cells without are killed by antibiotics so don’t grow