Additional Flashcards
Purpose of different areas of due diligence and responsible parties
- Financial & accounting & tax - buyer / accountants
To ensure that financial model is right. - Commercial & product - buyer / consultants
To ensure that target has commercial prospects. - Fixed assets - buyer / legal
To get a full picture of owned & leased PPE. - IP and technology - legal and consultants
To ensure that company’s IP is unique & protected and no other IP breached. - Contracts & compliance & litigations - legal
Ensure that contracts properly structured, highlight all change of ownership clauses and ensure that there are no unattended regulatory & litigation risks. - HR & Culture - buyer / legal
Ensure quality of the employee base, culture and avoid employee issues
Commercial & product due diligence
- List of major customers lost in the last 3 years with explanation of the loss
- Reasons for churn
- Industry specific KPIs and how those compare to competition (retention etc)
What to look for in a management team
- Experience & knowledge fit for the strategic value creation plan (if buy-and-build then experienced in acquisitions)
- Hungry for more
- Cohesive, able to work together
- Ready to reinvest with the sponsor
Ways PE makes money in LBO
- EBITDA growth (core business growth - top-line growth, cost optimization, general optimization)
- Multiple growth (business repositioning, market cycles)
- Debt paydown, cash generation
Attribution Analysis
- EBITDA Growth: (Final EBITDA - Beginning EBITDA)* Purchase Multiple = $
- Multiple Expansion: (Final Multiple - Entry Multiple) * Final EBITDA = $
- Debt paydown: (Total Exit Value to Sponsor - Initial Investment) - Value from EBITDA Growth & Multiple Expansion
Threshold of investment grade vs non-investment (leveraged finance)
Investment grade S&P, Fitch: BBB, Moody’s: Baa and higher. Non-investment S&P, Fitch BB, Moody’s Ba and lower.
Differentiating competitive advantages to fend off price competition
- Brand
- Unique resource (IP, assortment, experience, dataset, quality etc)
- Human resource
- Premium positioning
- Vibrant community
- Additional unique value-add aspects for buyers like availability of broad portfolio of solutions that allows buyers to consolidate vendors
Business risks in PE context
Internal (preventable through rules based model) / Strategic / External (managed and mitigated)
- Financial risks
Solvency risk, liquidity risk of potential investment, currency risk, risk of expected synergies not materializing, seasonality
- Operational risks
Underperformance in R&D and sales, How predictable the revenue (Customer concentration, type of customer (SMB vs Gov vs Enterprise), customer loss risk), operational leverage (fixed/variable costs), integration risks
- Market risks
Macro economic risk, industry cyclicality, competition, slow down in growth, obsolescence, growth in cost of inputs, technological and regulatory changes, country risks
- Legal risks
Compliance, litigation, use/loss of IP, fraud
- Other risks
Political, natural disaster
Gross Retention for SaaS business
Measures annual revenue lost from a company’s customer base, not including any benefits from expansion revenue (cross-sells, upsells), or price increases (90%+ for healthy SaaS business)
ƒ (Starting Recurring Revenue – downsell – churn)/Starting MRR
Net retention for SaaS
Net Revenue Retention (NRR) Rate is the percentage of recurring revenue retained from existing customers in a defined time period, including expansion revenue, downgrades, and cancels. Your NRR percentage is a broad metric that functions as a snapshot of what your company might look like over time if no new customers were acquired. (over 100% for healthy SaaS business)
ƒ Sum(RR (recurring revenue) at the beginning of the period + expansion RR during the period - downgraded RR during the period - cancelled RR during the period) / (RR at the beginning of the period)
Red flags for fraud / scams to look for
- Off the BS liabilities
- Siphoning off money from the company through capex and other expenses
- Understating taxable income and associated manipulations
- Accounting manipulations: D&A, transfer pricing, understating revenues & income; overstating revenues through false entries; capitalizing expenses
- Moving goods to the channels and recognizing it as revenue
- Buyback agreements
- Offshores to hide liabilities, underperforming assets etc
- Loans to affiliated companies
- Overstated expenses and cash backs
- Dilution of ownership stake
Entrepreneur’s concerns working with PE
- What you don’t know. Entrepreneur outgrown collective skillset of the company. Need new skills to grow further
- The loss of control - but still accountable to employees and clients.
- Airing dirty laundry. All your deeds current or past will be revealed
- Outsiders. Letting outsiders in and they might “muddy” the water for you
- Being accountable to others, getting “a boss”.
- Vulnerability. Put yourself in a vulnerable position if you underdeliver and investor wants to get rid of you
- Admit to yourself that you need help. Admit that you’ve taken the company as far as you can on your own and need outside help
Common requests in due diligence
- ## List of top 10-20 clients with contribution to the bottom line for each
Ways to convince entrepreneur to take investment
1 step: Establish common vision - make sure you and the entrepreneur are looking at the business and the future the same way
2 step: Make it clear how the partnership will look - how the governance will look, make entrepreneur comfortable that he knows what he is signing up for
3 step: Move to active sale of your investment - show potential value add that you and investment can bring, show how much he can earn as a result, provide references
- Show potential return of their equity if PE assumptions achieved
- Provide clear path to growth and value add that you can provide
- Show how you worked with other portfolio companies
- Provide references from other entrepreneurs
What to ensure in dealing with different stakeholders in a deal like mgmt?
Ensure alignment of interest with mgmt in the deal through equity incentives and stake in common success. Even with sellers aim to ensure alignment through earn-outs, escrow account etc.