Active equity investing - Strategies Flashcards
market microstructure
+ take advantage of mispricing due to imbalance in supply & demand
+ last for a few milliseconds
tool of market microstructure
+ traditional technical analysis
+ sotiphicated time-series analysis & econometric model
+ ML technique
event driven strategies
seek inefficiency occur around coporate event:
+ M&A
+ earnings & restructuring annoucement
+ share buy back
+ special dividends
+ spinoffs
pitfalls in fundamental investing
+ Behavioral bias
* Confirmation bias
* Illusion of control
* Availability bias
* Loss aversion
* Overconfidence bias
* Regret aversion bias
+ Value & growth trap
* Value trap: tuong lom nhung lom that
* Growth trap: grow ko dat nhu ky vong
holding-based approach
look at the attributed of each individual stock in portfolio and conclude overall style
What is return-based analysis ?
Adv to holding-based
+ identify through regression of the funds returns against a set of passive style indices
+ Easy to implement than holding-based
contrarian investing
Contrarian managers invest in stocks with low or negative earnings or low dividends -> expect the stocks to rebound.
Contrarian investors often point to behavioral finance research that suggests that investors tend to overweight recent trends and follow the crowd in making investment decisions. Therefore, contrarian investors purchase and sell shares against prevailing market sentiment.
Deep value investing
Deep value investing focuses on undervalued companies, which are often in financial distress, that are available at extremely low valuations relative to their assets. The rationale is that market interest in such securities may be limited, which increases the chance of informational inefficiencies
restructuring and disstressed
Opportunities in restructuring and distressed investing are generally counter-cyclical relative to the overall economy or a sector’s business cycle. A distressed company that goes through restructuring may still have valuable assets, distribution channels, or patents that make it an attractive acquisition target. The goal of restructuring investing is to gain control or substantial influence over a company in distress at a large discount and then restructure it to restore a large part of its intrinsic value
activist strategy process
S1: Activist Investors Identify Target Companies
S2: Buy Target Stock
S3: Study Corporate Structure, Governance, Shareholder Base, etc.
S4: Exit or Buy More Stocks?
S5: Submit Proposal to Company Management
S6: Reach Agreement? If not -> Threaten Proxy Contest
S8: Reach Agreement? If not -> Launch Proxy Contest
S9: Negotiate Settlement
S10: Reach Agreement? If not ? -> Shareholder Vote
value trap
+ stock are trading at low levels and present as buying opportunities for investors but are actually misleading
+ the low price is often accompanied by extended periods of low multiples as well
+ is a poor investment because the reason for the low price and low multiples is the company is experiencing financial instability and has little growth potential
Eg: TCB, VNH,…
growth trap
common investment mistake of assuming that a company (or an industry, or a country) is a good investment simply because there’s reason to believe that it will grow over the next several years
+ Mua xong ko tang truong nua
+ Hoac co tang truong, nhung da phan anh vao gia
behavior bias of fundamental approach
CAILOR
+ Confirmation Bias
+ Illusion of control
+ Availability bias
+ Loss aversion
+ Overconfidence bias
+ Regret aversion bias
4 charateristics of fundamental approach
+ User discretionary
+ Bottom - up and top - down
+ Use human judgement
+ Has pitfalls
3 characteristics of quantitative method
+ user rules-based quantitative model
+ systematic method, non-discretionary
+ has pitfalls
4 pitfalls of quantitative methods
SLDT
+ survivorship bias
+ look-ahead bias
+ data mining of over fitting
+ turnover, transaction costs, short availability
different between fundamental & quantitative method
+ fundamental method: subjective
+ quantitative method: objective
primary resources of fundamental method
+ human skills
+ experience
+ judgement
primary resources of quantitative method
expertise of statistical modeling
information use of fundamental approach
research (company/industry/economy)
information used of quantitative method
data and statistics
analysis focus of fundamental approach
conviction (high depth) in stock -, sector - , region-based selection
analysis focus of quantitative approach
a selection of variables, subsequently applied over a large number of securities
bottom up strategies based on in depth analysis of
+ business model
+ competitive advantages
+ company management
rationales of value based approach
+ Price will move to intrinsic value
+ Investors is irrational => opportunity
sub-style of value based approach
+ Relative value
+ Contrarian value
+ High quality value
+ Income investing
+ Deep value investing
+ Restructuring & Distressed investing
+ Special Situation
rationales of growth based approach
High earning growth will make price increase
sub-style of growth based approach
+ Consistent earning growth
+ Momentum
+ Growth at reasonable price
top down strategies based on
+ Macro economic environment
+ Demographic trends
+ Government policies
Instrument of top down strategies
+ ETFs
+ Swaps
+ Custom basket of individual stocks
style of top down strategies
+ Country and Geographic Allocation to Equities (Us vs UK)
+ Sector & Industry rotation (IT vs energy)
+ Volatility based strategy (VIX)
+ Thematic investment (disruptive technologies-process-regulation, innovation, economic cycle-oppotunities-challenges)
Factor based strategies based on ?
+ Significant factors that can predict future stock returns
+ Construct a portfolio that tilts towards such factors
activist strategy
hoc thuoc “activist investing process”
statistical arbitrage
Use Technical Analysis & Statistical => exploit anomalies to gain return
Eg: Pair trading