Acronyms Flashcards
Design factors
FORCES CRAMP CURD
Fin or cap req Options and gtees Risk control or characteristics Culture Ext XS Sensitivity of profit
Consistency with other products Regs Admin systems Marketability and selling Profit
Competition/competitive
Underwriting
Reinsurance
Distribution channels
Main consumer interests?
CANES
Choice Affordability Needs met Extent of guarantees/review ability Simplicity and clarity
Restrictions regulator can place on insurer
CITRUS V
Contract type Investments T and c Rating factors (1 price, gender neutral) Uw Sales channels Volume by res req
Distribution channels
Insurance intermediary Tied agent Own sales force Direct marketing (mailshot, telesales, Internet, advertising) Worksite marketing
Reasons for tech res
MIAnAmAR
M and A
Inv strat
Liabs in IMPS accounts
Reinsurance
Principles of investment?
1) invest in A appropriate to NTC L
2) invest in A to max overall return (income and capital)
3) extent to which 1 can be departed to meet 2 depends on extent of company free assets and risk appetite
Reasons to reinsure?
Improve this Valuable SAD LIFE NIFE RST
Improve solvency position
Good value for money
Improve credit rating
Smooth results
Avoid single large losses (large depends on FA)
Diversify risk
Limit exposure to risk
Increase capacity to accept risk (NB, new territory, unusual)
Financial assistance (NB finance, free assets, m and a)
Expertise (pricing, design, uw, cm)
RST arb
Types of reinsurance
FinRe
Prop - share risk (qs, surp) share prem (original terms, risk prem re)
Non prop (risk, agg(sl), cat)
Reasons to analyse surplus?
Independent check on valuation process and data
One off components of surplus identified
Financial impact of NB
Financial significance of valuation ass not equal to experience (release of margins?)
Trends in experience identified
Reasons to do an AOEV
Big MF R MIA
Bonuses for exec remun M and A Management info Accounts public CAD, validate calcs assumptions and data used Reconcile year on year
Risk management techniques
I STOPPED RESK
Initial uw (gatekeeper and risk analysis)
Surveys on customer satis, retentions team TCF Outsource SLA Product design Process controls for ditribution Experience monitor Data checks
Reins
Enterprise risk man
Staff quality and competence assessment
Claims man
Sources of risk
RISKS I PONDER PANICS CARER
Commission clawback - appropriate commission
Rates (morb mort) (claim amount rates data) - reinsure, cm
Investment -
—liquidity – cashflow monitoring
—inv perf – clear inv strat - safe assets e.g, AAA
—mismatch – mismatch res - match NTC L
Selection - good uw
Comp - keep abreast of market dev
Inflation
Persistency - retentions, customer survey
Options and gtees - reg monitoring, reduce fixed options and gtees so more reviewable
NB vol, mix SSTN - research possible vol, mix, good uw
Data (policy and other) - check pol, claims data
Expenses and inflation - monitor experience vs pricing basis
Reins - diversify
Physical e.g. It recovery, good systems
Actions of management - senior management aware of risk policies, ERM
Non disc - good uw, train sales staff, internal
Internal audit (internal external review of fin results) systems failure (clear controls and governance) fraud (internal external audit)
Counterparties (distributors, hospitals, investments)
State benefits
Cat
Agg - diversify e.g, by region and concentration - multiple 3rd parties e,g, reinsurance
Reg, leg, tax developments - keep abreast of reg dev
Early screening and diagnosis - keep abreast of medical dev
Reputational ( appropriate commission) risk, customer service shortcoming - surveys, clear policy wording, TCF
Counterparty and distribution risk management
SSCC M DMT
Secure counterparties
SLA
Contract wording clear
Credit insurance and derivatives
Monitor performance
Due diligence
Multiple counterparties to limit exposure
Train staff
Explain EV calculation in 10 points
- PV of future sh profits from EB plus sh owned share of net assets
- NA are excess A over those required to meet L
- NA values are at MV or discounted to reflect lock in e.g, SCR
- PV future sh profit on conventional without profit is Prem + inv inc + res release - exp - claims - tax
- For UL it’s future charges + investment ret on non unit fund + release of non unit res - expenses - benefits in excess of unit res
- Full data or mp used
- Assump depends in purpose, prob BE
- Tax accounted for
- Reserves in both parts must be consistent
- Sale value is BE, buy value is prudent, appraisal value includes goodwill (value of expected NB)
Formula vs Cashflow
Formula:
- Short term
- Simple application
- Quicker to run
- Easier to check/audit/understand
Cashflow:
- Longer term
- Multistate possible
- Stochastic modelling possible e.g. Guarantee costs
- To overcome Formula Problems
Formula Problems:
- Cashflow timing not accurate
- Assumptions/returns varying over time not possible
- Negative net cashflows not possible
- Accumulation of reservers not possible
What do we want data to be ideally? (credible..etc)
Relevant Detailed Recent Credible Available Reliable Volumous Affordable In good format
Sources of data for pricing?
Own data Population Reinsurers Consultants Market (insured lives, supervisory returns) Trade magazines National statistics Overseas Modelling software companies
What might not be reflected in data other than own data?
uw cm t's and c's Distn channels Target market
What is the equation of value (formula) for the premium
=(Claims+expenses+commission+tax + etc. - Investment income)/Value of one unit of premium
=(outgo-income)/P
What would you also include in the formula? How is 50% of annual premium included for profit
Profit margin, subtract 0.5 from denominator if annual
What happens to all the formula values when modelling?
They are projected then discounted
What are typical cashflows (think about formula too)
Outgo:
Expenses (init/ren/claim) + commission + tax + claims + contribution to reserves + contribution to SCR
Income:
Premiums plus investment return on cashflows and reserves
What stages are involved in multi-state modelling?
Stages of healthy/claiming:
Healthy premium paying (pp) Sick and within deferred period (not pp) Claiming following deferred period (not pp) Recovering back to premium paying (pp) Dying (not pp)
When in a stage of multi-state modelling, what rates will be different? e.g. lapse
Lapse
Mortality
Sickness inception
Recovery