9.2) Macaulay Duration Measure Flashcards
What is the Macaulay duration measure?
Duration is a measure of bond price sensitivity: Measures the bond price change when yield changes
What is duration applied in? (2)
1)Trading strategies
2) Estimating price changes when yield changes
how is duration applied in trading strategies? (2)
1) Simple trading decisions (Anticipation of interest rate changes)
2) Immunization (For insurance companies and even banks; Making a choice between best bond to buy to make a trading profit)
How does weighted average time to maturity of a bond impact high and low duration?
o High duration – More risk
o Low duration – Less risk
Duration is always ________ than time to maturity
lower
True or false, If you do not want to be affected by interest rate changes you only hold the bond for its duration and sell it after that.
True
When do you sell the bond?
o On the duration point price risk and interest rate risk intersect.
o Realize the initial return.
What is the duration fromula?
Look at lecture example to make sense
How is duration modified?
- Modified duration (D*) – To express the number as a percentage.
- 1% change in yield will result in the bond price changing by ##%
How is duration applied? (2)
- Trading Strategies
- Applying the duration to estimate the price change
How is price change estimated?
Since duration represents a _________ relationship, the same % change in bond ______ will be applicable to an increase/decrease in the ______
linear
price
yield
Why is the duration negative & what are the shortcomings of Duration? (1)
- Duration is not an accurate measures of bond price sensitivity(The estimate is not equal to the price when using it)
What are the rules for duration?
The Macaulay duration of a zero-coupon bond equals it’s time to maturity. (There is only 1 cash flow which has a weighting of 1)
What factors affect duration? (3)
1) A bond’s duration is higher when the coupon rate is lower. (↓ Coupon Rate ↑ Duration) - Inversely proportional
2) A bond’s duration generally increases with its time to maturity ↑Time to Maturity ↑ Duration) - Directly proportional
3) The Duration of a coupon bond is higher when the bond’s yield to maturity is lower (↓ TM ↑ Duration) - Inversely proportional
Same factors that affect price sensitivity
What are the shortcut duration formulas used for (4)
- Perpetuity
- Annuity
- Coupon bond
- Par Coupon Bond
What are the different versions of duration? (4)
- Macaulay duration – Measures of sensitivity in terms of time
- Modified duration – Measures of sensitivity as a percentage
- Money duration – Measure of sensitivity in monetary terms
- Price value of a basis point (PVBP) – Measure as a one basis point change
What is an alternative approach to approximate the modified duration (AMD) DIRECTLY?
How is the approximate Macaulay duration (AD) calculated?
from the approximate modified duration
(AMD).
What are the shortcomings with duration as a measure of bond price sensitivity? (3)
* Inaccurate
o If it was accurate the lines would be equal
* Restrictive
o Accurate for small changes not large
o Is only accurate for small changes in yields, for large changes it underestimates.
* Underestimate
o Always underestimates
Why does duration fail as a measure of bond price sensitivity?
- Duration assumes a linear relationship between price and yields
o The relationship is not linear it is convex
In conclusion what is duration?
Duration is the first linear approximation
o It is the rate of change in price for small changes in yield
In conclusion what is convexity? (2)
Convexity is the second approximation
o It is the rate of change of the slope of the price-yield curve as a fraction of the bond’s
price.
o Measure the curvature of that line with which when added to duration gives us the
convexity
What does high convexity imply? (2)
- A bond with high convexity: When yields increase, bond will experience lowest price appreciation. Vice versa
- Bond with high convexity always outperforms those with low convexity
What must the bonds have in common in order to be comparable?
They must be comparable, duration must be equal