9) Fiscal Policy 2: The Budget - MMT Flashcards
What is a budget?
A financial plan, an outline of expected spending and expected revenue for the next financial period
When/where do governments announce their budget?
Every year, once a year, governments everywhere announce their budget
What are the 3 key things to look out for in a budget?
1) G - how much is the government planning to spend and what key areas are targeted for more or less expenditure?
2) T - what does the government aim to raise in taxation revenue and how much will each type of tax contribute? What changes are made to the rate at which individual taxes are charged?
3) what is the expected balance between expected G and expected T
What are the 3 possible outcomes to any budget?
Balanced, Surplus or Deficit
What is a balanced budget?
In an ideal world, the government would like to balance their budget. In this case G=T; in other words, the amount raised in taxation would exactly equal the amount spent in G
Is getting a balanced budget easy?
Pretty much impossible to achieve exactly but it remains a vital aspiration for many governments. Realistically the goal is to have any gap between G and T as close to zero as possible
What is a Budget Surplus?
T is greater than G (T>G) ie the government raises more in taxation than it spends in G
When does/did a budget surplus happen?
This occasionally happens, the last annual surplus for the UK government was 2000, however it was not actually planned, a balanced budget was the target
Why did a budget surplus happen in 2000?
A balanced budget was the target, the economy was strong that year, G was lower and T higher than anticipated
What’s the problem with having a budget surplus?
They are very difficult to justify politically - voters want to know why they are paying so much tax ID the government isn’t spending it
What is a budget deficit?
Here G is greater than T (G>T) - the government is expecting to spend more than it intends to raise in taxation
Is balanced budget, budget surplus or budget deficit most common?
Budget deficit, this is by far the most common situation; every year since 2000 the UK had run a budget deficit
In 2022:
UK government expenditure was approx £1,182 bn
UK taxation revenue approx £1,005 bn
Therefore the budget deficit was expected to be…
£177bn
Why does the UK (and most other governments) spend more than they earn in tax? (Talk about tax)
Often based on political judgements: taxes are unpopular and it is very difficult for governments to increase rates of taxation
Why does the UK (and most other governments) spend more than they earn in tax? (Talk about demand)
In a modern world, the amount of demands placed on Governments leads to constant increases in G, for example in the UK (and most developed countries) we have an aging population, meaning far greater demands on the NHS, pension payments, social care etc