10) Fiscal Policy 3: Different Types Of Deficit - MMT Flashcards
What is the size of the deficit influenced by?
The state of the economy
In a boom, how does this influence the size of the deficit?
In a boom when the economy is above its potential, tax reviews are relatively high and spending on work-related welfare is low, this reduces the level of borrowing
In a recession, how does this influence the size of the deficit?
Borrowing tends to be high, reverse of boom
What is a structural deficit?
The part of the deficit that is not related to the state of the economy, eg pensions, you have to keep paying them due to an aging population despite the state of the economy
How is the structural deficit measured?
It cannot be directly measured so it must be estimated, which is difficult to do and open to interpretation
What is structural deficit useful for?
(This part of the deficit will not disappear when the economy recovers), it this gives a better guide to the underlying level of the deficit than the headline figure
What is a cyclical budget deficit?
It considers fluctuations in tax revenue and spending due to the economic cycle
How does a recession tie in with a cyclical budget deficit?
In a recession, tax revenues fall and spending on unemployment benefits increases. Therefore, in an economic downturn, it is considered to be automatic that the size of any budget deficit will increase, at the same time as G needs to go up, T is decreasing
What are automatic fiscal stabilisers?
Changes in the size of a budget deficit, caused by changes in the economic cycle, are known as automatic fiscal stabilisers
In a period of high economic growth what do automatic stabilisers do?
They will help reduce the growth rate
What will happen if there is higher growth?
The government will receive more tax revenues - people earn more and so pay more income tax (the tax rate doesn’t change, the received just becomes higher). There will also be a fall in unemployment so the government will spend less on unemployment benefits. In a period of high growth- ceteris paribus, government borrowing will fll
In a recession, economic growth becomes…
Negative
What will automatic stabilisers do in a recession?
In a recession, economic growth becomes negative, however automatic stabilisers will help to limit the fall in growth
Why will government borrowing increase in a recession?
With lower incomes, people pay less tax, and government spending on unemployment benefits will increase. This increase in benefit spending and lower tax collection helps to limit the fall in aggregate demand. In a recession- ceteris paribus government borrowing will increase (its automatic)
When does the government engage in discretionary fiscal policy?
When it deliberately changes G and/ or T in order to achieve their macroeconomic objectives