8 - The principles of investment planning Flashcards
Describe the Theoretical approach to asset allocation (modern portfolio theory)
A mathematical analysis to obtain the desired risk-return trade off:
The maximum return with a given level of volatility
or the lowest volatility consistent with a desired rate of return
Uses historical data from sets of asset classes to create optimal portfolios
Describe the pragmatic approach to asset allocation
Use long-run average rates of return from the relevant asset classes together with historic data
Use forward looking judgements of likely returns and volatility to determine portfolio weightings
What is an optimised portfolio?
Those expected to deliver the highest return for a given level of risk or the least risk for a given level of return
What is correlation?
The extent by which an asset contributes to the overall risk-return characteristics of a portfolio. Assets with the lowest correlation will contribute most to a reduction in portfolio volatility.
What are the elements that fall into strengths and weaknesses of optimisation?
Risk Historic Data Forecasts Costs Implementation
What is stochastic modelling?
Applies a mathmatical technique to generate a probabilistic assessment of returns and volatility, by applying a number of factors of which may vary within a range
Why should you use caution when using a stochastic model?
They are dependant on assumptions, therefore a small change in one assumption could result in a large change in the output.
Why do most practioners focus on strategic asset allocations?
If the adviser in confident in the clients assessment of requirements and risk tolerance, in theory there is an ideal asset allocation to which their portfolio should confirm
MPT (modern portfolio theory) says its not possibel to time the market, which means switches between asset classes are as likely to incurr costs as generate profit
How do some advisers apply tactical asset allocation?
Models that give a range of percentage of capital in each class - to be adjusted by the advisers assessment og the outlook changes (moves more towards advisers monitoring portfolios and recommending variations
Why do some advisers use passive funds as part of a portfolio?
Cost and efficiency
Used as a core to the portfolio, using satellite funds to give higher returns
Some believe that the volatility of a portfolio cannot exceed that of the indices
What is the difference between risk tolerance and risk capacity?
Risk tolerance is the risk perception of a client and attitude to risk
Risk capacity is the clients ability to withstand losses or shortfalls in returns
If formal risk profiles are not used, what ways in ascending order of priority could an adviser create a portfolio?
Historic - using past data to create the required returns with the given risk
Adjusted Historic - take into account historic ranges and volatility over time periods to adjust the allocation of capital
Stochastic - Using a portfolio modelling tool - input returns and volatility to generate the optimal portfolio
What is the top down method of portfolio construction?
- Determine asset allocation
- Allocate the geographical distribution
- Choose the sector weightings
- Stock or fund selection
What is bottom up selection?
Selection of stock based on their own criteria with no attention paid to index benchmarks
Why is it important to identify the approach to asset allocation used by a fund or manager?
Any change in approach could impact the volatility of a clients funds
What is the ‘value’ fund management style & why do equity fund managers favour this style?
Using analysis, ID businesses whose value is greater than the price placed by the market, therefore stocks are bought and held for long periods.
Out of fashion stocks often have high dividend yields
What is GAARP and which type of fun manager uses this style?
Finding companies with a long term sustainable advantage - worth paying a premium for preium stocks
Used by active growth managers
What is the momentum style and who is it used by?
Studies have shown there is a tendency for good and bad performance to persist in equity markets
Momentum managers are generally ‘middle of the road’ managers and aim to be ahead of the swing