7. financial planning Flashcards
what is sales forecasting - short definition
predicting future sales
3 reasons why businesses use sales forcasting
- finance - helps make cash flow forecasts which show when a loan etc. might be needed
- marketing - if sales are forecast to decline, businesses may launch a promotional campaign to increase sales and cash inflow
- resources - helps identify all the resources needed, don’t waste raw materials, seasonal changes
3 factors that affect predictions for sales forecasting
- consumer trends - can be predictable like Christmas but can be unpredictable like fashion
- economic variables - interest rates/unemployment/inflation. if ppl have less money there will be less demand
- actions of competitors - if a competitor decreases their prices the firms demand may reduce bc the buyers chose the cheaper option
sales volume definition
number of units sold in a given time period
sales revenue equation
selling price x sales volume
total variable costs equaltion
avergae variable costs x quantity produced
definition of fixed and variable costs
fixed - dont change with output (interest on a bank loan is fixed)
variable - rise and fall as output changes
profit equation
total revenue - total costs
break even definition and equation
the level of sales a business needs to cover its costs
total costs = total revenue
total fixed costs/contribution per unit
contribution per unit definition and equation
the difference between the selling price of a product and the variable costs it takes to produce it
selling price - variable cost per unit
total contribution definition
this is the contribution from all units sold added together
its used to pay fixed costs and anything then left over if profit
margin of safety equation
actual output - break even output
advantages of break-even analysis
- easy to do if plotted on a graph accurately
- its fast - managers can respond fast if needed
- businesses can use break-even analysis to persuade sources of finance to give them money
- help influences decisions on weather new products should be launched or not
disadvantages of break-even analysis
- assumes variable costs rise steadily - not always true
- simple for a single product but adding more gets very confusing
- if data is inaccurate then results completely wrong
- assumes the business sells all the products with no waste