6.2 Infrastructure: Key Characteristics Flashcards
Infrastructure: distinctive characteristics
Fundamental Economics: …, Monopolistic Market positions, Regulated Entities, …, Low Operating Costs
Return Profile: Long-term Horizons,…, Stable Yield
Risk Profile: Low volatility of …, Resilience to Economic Downturns, Technology Risk, Low …
Inelastic demand; Capital-Intensive Setup
Inflation-Indexed Cash Flows
Operating cash flows; correlation with other assets
Valuation methods for infrastructure| Discounted Cash Flows
▪ The value of an asset is determined by …
▪ Can be applied to all cash flows, taking into account … or any other change in the underlying development plan
▪ Requires …, an estimate of the infinite time value and an … for the appropriate risk
▪ ➔ very sensitive to modest variations in assumptions
discounting the value of its expected future cash flows
refinancing
detailed forecasts of long-term cash flows;adjusted discount rate
Valuation methods for infrastructure| Cost of recent investment
▪ The … in an infrastructure asset by shareholder partners or investors can serve as a benchmark
▪ The relevance of this figure decreases with time as it …
▪ In a dynamic environment, it is important to consider …
transaction price of a recent investment
reflects the conditions prevailing at the date of the transaction
the context of a transaction
Valuation methods for infrastructure| Sector benchmarks
Sector specific valuation criteria:
…(electricity/natural gas); Price/kwh (power generation); Total passenger charges (airport companies); Average-toll km (toll roads)
Sector benchmarks can be useful in specific cases, provided … are taken into account
Turnover per customer
costs and other intrinsic differences
Valuation methods for infrastructure|Multiples
A multiple of … can be derived from an assumption about “stabilized” results generated from revenue
▪ Market multiples and transaction multiples are usually used in parallel with …, as “reasonableness” check
pre-tax earnings or EBITDA
discounted cash flow methodology
Valuation of Infrastructure | Real Options
Real options
▪ Traditional discounted cashflow models tend to …, where there are so called real options embedded in the investments
▪ Real options involve dependence relations between the underlying asset, e.g.
▪ Option to delay
▪ Option to …
▪ Option to …
▪ Option to abandon
▪ Real options can add significant value, but…
underestimate the value of investments in complex environments
adjust; expand
make models more complex and multifaceted
Check slides 17for a business example
Classification of risk linked to infrastructure assets
Political&Regulatory
Macroeconomic & Business
Technical
Check slide 18