6,7,8. and Financial crisis. Flashcards
decision making
a cognitive, emotional, and neuropsychological process that involves thoughts, feelings, and neurological functioning and results in making a choice from alternatives.
Programmed decisions
routine in nature and that occur with some frequency.
Non-programmed decisions
novel and involve unique information or circumstances.
Stereotypes
oversimplified ideas or beliefs that are particularly rigid and difficult to change.
The Halo Effect
when we judge something or someone more positively based on a previous positive experience or association with someone or something we admire.
Emotions
extremely helpful,a key influencing factor
Intuition
knowing something without any evidence that this understanding comes as a result of rational thought processes.
tacit knowledge
knowledge that we have access to at an unconscious level.
Systematic Approach to Making Decisions
Step 1: Identify the Problem. Step 2: Establish the Decision Criteria. Step 3: Allocate Weights to Decision Criteria. Step 4: List Alternatives. Step 5: Analyze Alternatives. Step 6: Choose an Alternative. Step 7: Implement the Alternative Step 8: Evaluate the Decision.
Bounded Rationality
approach to decision making that accepts that all decisions are made under conditions of constraints
Bounded Rationality Conditions
Information will never be complete or completely accurate.
We cannot always evaluate the quality of the information we get.
It’s basically impossible for humans to rationally evaluate all information or all possible choices.
People are not purely rational: emotions, intuition, biases and the like are always present.
We simply don’t have the time to make decisions to follow the rational decision making process in its purest form.
The 80/20 rule (Pareto Principle)
principle commonly used as a rule-of-thumb to quickly see possible causal relationships.
20% of what we do each day results in 80% of our output.
Anchoring (thinking trap)
Giving too much value to the first piece of information received
status quo (thinking trap)
favoring decisions that perpetuate the current situation
Sunk Costs (thinking trap)
Making choices that justify flawed past decisons
Confirming evidence (thinking trap)
selectively seeking out information that supports your point of view
Estimating and forecasting (thinking trap)
being unduly influenced by memories of powerful examples
framing (thinking trap)
being overly influenced by how the problem is explained or seen
Group decision making
two or more individuals make a decisionq
teams and commitees
tackle major problems
Brainstorming
process of generating a list of ideas among a group
Brainstorming process
- Gather a group of interested individuals ask them for solutions to a problem allow each person to offer ideas without any critique record ideas.
- Critique and prioritize
Mindfulness
enables us to be more fully aware of all that is happening inside of us—physically, psychologically, and cognitively—while also being tuned in to what is going on around us in the immediate and more distant environment.
1990s and earlier
the bank bank kept your mortage
2000-2008
the bank sold your mortgage to wall street investors
under water
real estate values plummet and your house is worse less than before after you took out a home equity loan
Direct Causes of the Financial Crisis of 2007 to 2009
Shadow Financial Market, Sub-Prime Mortgage, Regulatory Climate, Incentives
Contributing Factors of the Financial Crisis of 2007 to 2009
Herd Mentality, Investment Banks, Lots of Cheap money, rating agencies, “innovation”
Bottom Line of the Financial Crisis
Arrogance, Greed, Total Selfishness
Players in the Financial Crisis
Rating Agencies, CEOs, Financial Professionals, Mortgage Orginators, Regulators, Legislators, Investors, Home Owners
Change
alter, adjust, modify or transform someone or something.
Change Is Constant
technology and social, economic and political shifts around the world
Change: What It Means to You
conflicting emotions, disruptions to habits, and the need to give up things that are familiar.
Gestalt Cycle of Experience
Sensation, awareness, energy, action, contact, closure
Change Continuum
Unaware, aware, understand, believe, act
Technology (drivers for organization change)
information technology and telecommunications.
Globalization (Drivers for organizational change)
different patterns of social interaction, enhanced competition, shifts in world politics and expanded markets.
Social & Political Revolutions (Drivers for organizational change)
North Africa, Middle East, Asia – people want to be free of oppressive regimes
Sustainability (Drivers for organizational change)
environmentalism and the need to ensure a sustainable world.
Diversity
the varied perspectives and approaches to work that members of different groups bring
diversity is good for business
consumer diversity, competitive advantage, wide knowledge, decision making quality, employee satisfaction, legal compliance
Gender, Ethnicity, and Pay
the pay gap is decreasing, but it is still considerable
Age demographics
populations are shrinking and getting older for western countries, populations younger in east
Old model of workplace diversity
blend in
new model of workplace diversity
differences are natural and good
Inclusion
benefits everyone
What Works
market to diverse markets, inclusive culture and values, cast a wide net, encourage relationships, training, leadership example, accountability
developing world
BRIC