5. US democracy and participation Flashcards

1
Q

What are the similarities between the UK and USA parties?

A
  • There is often a casual assumption that the Republicans are like the Conservative Party (UK) and the democrats p, the Labour Party (UK)
  • US politics is much further to the right than UK politics as a rule
  • The majority of British Tories would reject Republican positions on abortion, healthcare, the death penalty and gun rights, but would probably agree with the, on most economic issues
  • Similarly, US Democrats would probably have more in common with the Tories than Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour
  • Even somebody like Bernie Sanders, considered one of the most left wing Democrats would, if he were in the UK be considered as a moderate leftist
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2
Q

What are the social and moral issues/economic issues within Democratic and Republican parties?

A
  • Democrats tend to be more supportive of civil rights, LGBT rights and abortion rights
  • Republicans are more supportive of traditional more values
  • In relation to race, they have clashed specifically over the 1965 Voting Rights Act, partial-birth abortion ban in 2003 and the chosen gender bathroom controversy in North Carolina
  • Both parties see capitalism and the free market as positive - Trumpism economics don’t support the free market and trace bush rather protection tariffs, restrictive trade practices, putting taxes on foreign imports
  • Democrats favour a more interventionist approach in order to protect those on lower incomes
  • Republicans favour a more laissez-faire approach - Minimally getting involved in the economy
  • Dems favour increasing the minimum wage, Reps claim this would destroy business
  • Reps favour tax cuts, Dems (such as Clinton in 2016) favour raising the top rate of tax on the wealthy
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3
Q

What are the ideas that the Democratic and Republican parties have on social welfare?

A
  • Democrats - Favour government provision of welfare, higher levels of benefit and funding for social programmes
    Roosevelt - New deal (1930s) established the democrat party for the poor and welfare
  • Republicans - Would prefer to restrict the above and promote more personal responsibility because they think food stamps allow people to spend the rest of the money they receive on drugs, etc.
  • E.g. Reps have pushed for cuts in food stamps (Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and Paul Ryan proposed in his poverty review a $27B cut in food stamps over 10 years
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4
Q

What can be argued as a problem with party fanctions/ US parties?

A

US parties are decentralised, lack of strong leadership and have a wide range of different views.

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5
Q

What are the party factions within the Democratic party?

A
  • Moderates - Centrists, favour compromise, may support welfare reform and tax cuts, possibly some restrictions on abortion and anti-terror laws. Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden
  • Liberals - Progressives, more radical, sand less U.S. military intervention abroad, increased taxes on the wealthy, rejected the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) trade agreement, negotiated by Obama (moderate). Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren
  • Conservatives - ‘Blue Dogs’. Some are conservative on moral issues and side with their own party on tax and trade, others are the other way round. 2015, 47 House Dems voted with Reps in favour of additional screening of Iraqi and Syrian refugees, declining in strength, 23 in the new House and Joe Manchin (WV), Krysten Sinema (AZ) in the Senate.
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6
Q

What are the party factions within the Republican party?

A
  • Social conservatives - Mainly associated with Protestant/ Evangelical religious right, against illegal immigration, oppose LGBT rights and abortion rights, tend to support the general laissez-faire party on economic policy, voted overwhelmingly for the 2003 Partial-birth Abortion Act. Represent the majority of Reps. Marsha Blackburn in the Senate
  • Fiscal conservatives - Drive the Rep economic agenda, Freedom Caucus has replaced the Tea party and has a ‘no compromise’ attitude, sent Trump a list of 228 regulations to be removed including environmental protections, nutrition rules for school meals and corporate regulations, Rand Paul in the Senate
  • Moderates - Can be liberal on social/moral issues, but usually support the party’s economic agenda, Susan Collins (ME) voted for Obama’s stimulus package however. Republican in Name Only (RINOs), losing influence in the age of Trump
    Donald trump have taken the republicans in a completely different way to their history losing their free market agenda, moderates have been pushed out and a new views has been taken into account, no one criticises Trump unless you’re a diehard Trump supporter your opinion won’t be heard
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7
Q

How does race influence the voting patterns/ the way people vote?

A
  • In the 1960s Democrat President Johnson created the Civil Rights Act and Voting Rights Act. Since then, the democratic party has championed racial-minoruty causes, supporting measures to end discrimination and give greater opportunites.
  • Many black people see the republican party as a toxic brand that has slowed the fight for equality
  • ‘Obama effect’ - record black turnouts in 2008 and 12. in 2012 increased black voter turnout in marginal states made a major contribution to Obama’s re-election
  • When looking at the African American vote it is normally in the range of 80-90% for democrats since the 1930s.
  • In 2004, Republican George W. Bush secured 44% of the Hispanic vote, however most vote democratic
  • Hispanics vote democrat because of its stronger stance for equality and against discrimination
  • E.g. Hispanics - About 2/3s vote democrat but there’re a huge group within their society particularly in border areas like Arizona, New Mexico, and more who are very strongly Trump
  • White voters are more evenly split, although most alaways select the republican party. Even when the democratic candidate takes the white house, they dont get a majority of the white vote
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8
Q

How does Religion influence the voting patterns/ the way people vote?

A
  • Protestants make up around 48% of the population and normally vote for republican candidates. Within that group, 25% born again evangelical Christians. Identify with the strong streak of social conservatism running through the party
  • Sarah Palin, a former, republican govenor, said of the 2016 election: ‘No doubt, divine providence played a huge role in this election… I saw it first-hand’
  • Roman Catholics tend to split about 50/50. However, If you’re more likely to practice your faith you’re more likely to be Republican
  • Jewish people are very strongly democratic. American Jews are usually strongly liberal, sympathising with the less fortunate and with minorities, and support greater government assistance for those with low socio-economic status
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9
Q

How does gender influence the voting patterns/ the way people vote?

A
  • Persistent gender gap where women vote democrat and men voting republican 15 to 20% gender gap that fluctuates back and forth
  • This because of broad ideological reasons: men have a more conservative outlook than women. Women may have a marginal preference for the Democrats because the democratic party has done more to fight for womens rights
  • e.g. Obama introduced the Lilly ledbetter fair pay act, attempting to secure equal pay for women, which was opposed by almost all republicans in congress. The democratic party also has significantly more congressional female politicans than the republican party
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10
Q

How does Education influence the voting patterns/ the way people vote?

A
  • Complete turn around. Based on history the more educated you’re the more likely you’re to vote democrat. However, it is now changed and, the less educated you are the more likely you’re to vote republican
  • In 2016, Donal Trump won a majority of his group. Trump’s populist anti-elitist agenda attracts those who may view those with higher education as part of a liberal elite protecting their own agenda
  • Some people have argued that education tends to produce more socially liberal values e.g. greater acceptance of differnet racial groups and religions, and support for civil liberties - so more educated voters are more likely to reject the socially conservative elements of the Republican party
  • In contrast, some argue that there is a tendency for liberals or democrats to value education more, so they stay in education for longer - so being liberal leads to higher education not the other way around
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11
Q

Why are American interest groups so powerful?

A
  • Size and diversity of the USA
  • More access points, Federal Gov’t, State Gov’t, City Councils etc.
  • Absence of defined party policies allow many pressure groups to specialise in certain key areas and convince politicians to sponsor bills
  • Massive funding - Arms industry, Lockheed Martin etc.
  • Political influence
  • Partisan nature of US politics on certain ‘hot button’ issues
  • Unlimited access to the media
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12
Q

What are the 3 different types of interest groups in America?

A
  • Policy groups – attempt to influence government or public policy. E.g. American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC).
  • Professional groups – represent the economic interests of their members. E.g. American Medical Association.
  • Single-interest groups – advocate policy around a single issue. E.g. National Rifle Association (A range of issues all competing for the main policy advocacy in government)
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13
Q

Why are interest group’s so significant?

A
  • Groups’ rights are protected - Freedom of speech which allows all groups to say what they want with no repercussions , NRA and other Pro-gun groups (rights to bear arms)
  • There are many access points - Because of layer cake federalism and separation of powers. That’s why there’re so many different access points , The state government is more sympathetic to your goals than the … government
  • Politicians are open to persuasion - They don’t have manifestos and it’s easier to convince a politician to do something as they aren’t bound by policies by their parties, Funding
  • Elections are numerous and frequent - Presidential elections 4 years. Mayoral elections, and more
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14
Q

What are factors affecting interest groups?

A
  • An active membership - Particularly important in swing constituencies where lobbying members and contacting voters can have a real impact.
  • Money - Especially money donated to political campaigns.
  • Contacts - Professional lobbyists, developing policy network.
  • Expertise - Legal experts that can advise politicians and also members on how to litigate in support of their cause
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15
Q

What are 5 types of interest group tactics?

A
  • Publicity
  • Grassroots activity
  • Legal methods
  • Lobbying
  • Electioneering
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16
Q

How does ‘publicity’ work as an interest group tactic?

A
  • E.g. contacting potential voters who are likely to support the aims of the group.
  • The NRA used television adverts to stop Obama and Congress from passing new gun regulations after the fatal shooting of school children and staff at the Sandy Hook Elementary School in 2012.
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17
Q

How does ‘grassroots activities’ work as an interest group tactic?

A
  • E.g. Interest group members taking part in email writing campaigns, demonstrations and direct action.
  • Most interest group websites have a ‘take action’ section, with model letters and a ‘zip code engine’ to find the Andes of someone’s Congressperson or Senator
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18
Q

How does ‘legal methods’ work as an interest group tactic?

A
  • The NRA have had their cause protected in 2nd-amendment (the right to bear arms) Supreme Court cases such as DC v Heller (2008), which ruled that the 2nd amendment gives an individual a right to a gun.
  • (Amicus curiae - friendly to the port, where witnesses e.g. interests groups can speak on behalf of a particular cause in the Supreme Court)
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19
Q

How does ‘lobbying’ work as an interest group tactic?

A
  • AIPAC wanted to overturn the Iran deal that Obama had successfully negotiated, in which Iran agreed to halt its nuclear program.
  • They attempted to pass a Senate resolution to block the deal, lobbying key Democrats like Chuck Schumer (New York).
  • They despatched 60 activists to his office to hold a meeting which Schumer, and he later opposed the Iran deal
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20
Q

How does ‘electioneering’ work as an interest group tactic?

A
  • One main strategy is to maximise turnout among certain voters.
  • This has led to the creation of some interest groups specialising in affecting electoral outcomes, as can be seen in the case of the League of Conservation Voters
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21
Q

What are the arguments that interest groups enhance democracy (do a lot of good)?

A
  • Participation - They provide citizens with alternative outlets to engage politically. AFL-CIO claimed to have used 2000 volunteers to contact 6 million voters in swing states with an anti-Trump message in 2016.
  • Checks on the government - The ACLU has played an important role in protecting civil liberties, promoting liberal democracy. NAACP have led the way on civil rights. The NRA have protected gun rights and campaigned against Obama’s gun laws.
  • Representation - They can protect the interests of smaller, more marginalised groups or groups that find it hard to have their voices heard in a two-party majoritarian political system
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22
Q

What are the arguments that interest groups restrict democracy (do a lot of bad)?

A
  • Violent and illegal activity - May restrict the rights of others or disrupt the representative process, such as when NAACP occupied the offices of a senior Republican politician in North Carolina.
  • Restriction of elected government - They have no electoral mandate and can prevent politicians carrying through promises made at election time. AARP (a retired people’s interest group) and the health insurance companies lined up to try and stop Obama’s Affordable Healthcare Act, this could arguably have undermined democracy.
  • E.g. (1993) Bill Clinton trying to get through his bill on health the private healthcare companies stopped it with their grass route campaigns
  • Inequality of representation -
    Wealthier interest groups that promote the interests of a minority of people may have an elite agenda that undermines the interests of the majority, whereas groups that promote pluralism in which all sections of society have some policy interests promote compromises, which is more democratic.
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23
Q

What is the ‘Electoral College’?

A

The group of presidential electors required by the Constitution to form every 4 years for the sole purpose of appointing the president and vice president.

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24
Q

What are the advantages of the ‘Electoral College’?

A
  • Respects the tradition of federalism - Emphasises the importance of smaller states that get more weighting than their population deserves.
  • Produces a clear winner - One candidate always wins an absolute majority thereby enhancing legitimacy.
  • Protects low-turnout areas - States where turnout is low will have the same impact as states where it is higher.
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25
Q

What are the disadvantages of the ‘Electoral College’?

A
  • The loser can win - As happened in 2000 with Bush jr and 2016 with Trump. Hillary Clinton won nearly 3 million more votes but lost because these votes were piled up in areas she had already won in.
  • Over-representation of small states - Restricts the democratic principle of political equality.
  • Swing states are over-represented - This leads to candidates spending most of their money, time and campaigning in places like Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio.
26
Q

Who/What are the ‘Founding Fathers’?

A
  • House of Representatives to be elected by the people, the Senate appointed by state governments and the President to be chosen by a small group of special electors in an electoral college elected by the people
27
Q

What is the presidential election process?

A
  • 2 - stage process since the 1960s:
  • Stage 1 - Primaries and caucuses - Candidates from each party compete against each other state-by-state
  • Stage 2 - The winning candidates from each party compete against each other in order to get elected to the presidency - The winner is decided in an electoral college based on each state, not the popular national vote
28
Q

What are primaries and how do they work?

A
  • Held in most states by both parties
  • Public vote by secret ballot, like an election
  • Each state party, nominates delegates, who agree to attend the party convention at the end and pledge their support to the winning candidate
  • The winning candidate in each primary will them get the pledged support from the party delegates that will go to the convention and cast their vote for that candidate
  • In Republican primaries - the winner gets all the delegates. In Democratic primaries, the delegates are awarded proportionally
  • They are held from February to June with New Hampshire going first
29
Q

What are the different voting rules in US primaries and caucuses?

A
  • Open primary states - any voter can choose either party’s primary to vote in e.g. Alabama, Texas
  • Closed primary states - Only registered party voters can take part e.g. Florida, New York
  • Semi-closed primary states - Allow registered party voters and independent voters to take part. Will not allow members of the other party e.g. New Hampshire, North Carolina
  • Caucus states - Hold a public meeting and a debate before voting. (Requires greater deliberation and effort, turnouts tend to be much lower, it can attract more radical, active voters e.g. Iowa, Nevada
30
Q

What are some extra contrasting points about primaries and examples of things that have happened?

A
  • The winner of the New Hampshire by tradition doesn’t always go on to win in the other primaries
  • If you put it a good showing in New Hampshire (anything over 20%) you are still considered viable as a candidate
  • E.g. Bill Clinton lost in New Hampshire and revamped his campaign and got a new team and then won his next primary
  • If you score in single figures, you’re unlikely to improve on that number and it would be recommended to drop out
  • New Hampshire goes first as in 2008 the Democratic Party in Michigan and Ohio decided they were going to do their primaries
31
Q

What are Caucuses?

A

A group that shares the same beliefs or have shared the same ideas of a specific political party or movement that have a meeting

32
Q

How do caucuses work?

A
  • Caucus states do not hold primaries.
  • A series of party meetings are held at specific locations across the state on a given day.
  • Members of the public will raise their hands in support of their preferred candidate, the results are tallied and then the delegates awarded in the same way as in a primary vote.
  • Because meetings are held at different times of the day, it can be awkward for ordinary people to get to so caucuses tend to attract more radical, motivated people who will support candidates of the same ilk.
  • The first primary is in Iowa which is in late January
  • E.g. Nevada (2016) - There was a dead heat between Sanders and Clinton, and they resolved it by flipping a coin to see who got the seat
33
Q

What are the advantages of the primary and caucus process?

A
  • Provides maximum scrutiny for candidates (questioned about everything so voters know where they stand)
  • Very inclusive because you can have up to 20 candidates in the initial stages
  • It gives all wings and opinions of the party a day and coverage - good test of party opinion
  • Voter choice and democracy - Maximum voter participation (voters are included at every stage of the process), Choice of competing ideologies/ policies within party, Choice by social characteristic, e.g. race, gender, especially true of open primary states
  • Electability/ proven candidates - Tests ability to raise funds, proven candidate more likely to win the presidency, test’s ability to overcome deficiencies/ personal issues
  • Raises key issues - ‘Ideas factory’ - more ideas than from just one candidate, Competition between candidates tests different policies, political education, successful policies of losing candidates can be adopted by winning candidates
34
Q

What are the disadvantages of the primary and caucus process?

A
  • Timing - Starts in late January and does finish until the national conversion in late July- long period of time which can lead to voter fatigue and disinterest, Voting over an extended time, late states can be disenfranchised, rendering voting pointless, early states influence late states
  • Less popular candidates don’t tend to get as much exposure and coverage and drop out much earlier
  • The kinds of people that primaries and caucuses attract tend to be more ideological, extremist people
  • Specific procedure
  • Creates low turnout and excludes certain voters, some states have dubious practices such as non-blinding elections, creates low turnout and excludes certain voters
  • Internal divides in parties - People can lose faith in candidates, especially problematic if only one party has a primary, exposes divisions within party, negative campaigning common, even within party, can reduce popularity of winning candidate
35
Q

What is ‘Invisible primary’?

A
  • The period before the primaries take place, in which candidates attempt to establish their ability to be successful in the primaries.
  • It is also sometimes called the ‘money primary’ as candidates spend most of their time raising money in an effort to show their political strength
36
Q

What are some factors which occur within the first stage of voting the ‘Invisible primary’ and examples?

A
  • Potential candidates start to surface at least 2 or more years before a presidential election.
  • They will usually publish a book, or start taking to the media more often.
  • E.g. Hillary Clinton - ‘Hard Choices’, her take on current affairs was seen very much as her ‘manifesto’ for 2016.
  • E.g. Barack Obama - ‘The Audacity of Hope’. Published in 2007, his bid for the 2008 election.
  • E.g. Trump - ‘Art of the deal’……..
  • Polls on potential candidates will usually decide whether or not they make a formal declaration at this stage. ‘Razminsan’ and ‘gallop’ (polling companies that do this a lot)
37
Q

Factors surrounding the Iowa Straw Poll in elections? (extra info)

A
  • The Iowa Straw Poll used to be part of the Republican election fixtures, but was not held before the last election. It used to be one of the first initial, non-binding tests taking place in Iowa, where the Republicans got to vote on potential candidates.
  • As it was non-binding, it didn’t actually count for much, but it was seen as an acid test.
  • The winner of the straw poll didn’t always go on to become the candidate.
  • E.g. In 2011, Michele Bachmann won the Republican Iowa straw poll and was dumped ‘the queen of rage’ by times magazine. She fizzled away quickly afterwards as they found out she was a born again Christian and made many odd/ controversial comments
38
Q

Examples of the Wisconsin Straw Poll in elections? (extra info)

A
  • In Wisconsin, Hillary Clinton was the favourite of Wisconsin Democrats in a straw poll in June 2015 - but not by much.
  • She drew the support of fewer than half of the 511 delegate votes cast for the party’s presidential nomination at the Wisconsin Democratic Party convention this weekend, and held a slim win over Democratic primary challenger Bernie Sanders.
  • Clinton had 252 votes, or 49% support, while the Vermont senator drew 208 votes, or 41% support.
  • Vice President Joe Biden (who was on the hypothetical ballot) and former Maryland Gov.
  • Martin O’Malley, who eventually failed in his bid, each took 3% support.
39
Q

What is the ‘National Convention’ and its features?

A
  • The party’s big, glitzy media event.
  • Held every 4 years.
  • Different city each time.
  • Timing varies, end of July, early August.
  • Lots of speakers, celebrities, politicians etc.
  • Bands, films, ‘fringe’ events.
  • All the main media networks cover the convention.
40
Q

What are party conventions?

A
  • Their place within the presidential electoral process is after primaries/ caucuses and before the election
  • National party conventions take place for each party in a presidential election year, usually lasting over three or four days
  • Modern conventions are attended by the delegates selected through the primary process
  • They mark the end of the primary process and kickstart the presidential election campaign
  • The role of conventions is determining who wins the nomination and the party platform has now been lost mainly to the primary process itself
41
Q

What are the significant roles of party convention?

A
  • Choosing the party’s presidential and vice candidate:
    1. The delegates arrive from all over the country. Each state party sends a certain number, according to size, population etc.
    2. Most delegates already ‘pledged’ (going to support the candidate not always cause there might sometimes be a contest but rarely happens) since the primaries. The official candidate is usually therefore a foregone conclusion. (Although not always).
    3. ‘Superdelegates’ – special delegates (nominated party officials). Their votes count for more. Their purpose is a pure review. They’re there to vote for who they think is the pure/right candidate
  • Decides the policy platform:
    1. Parties will have held various town hall meetings, focus groups etc. (like a manifesto)
    2. Website contributions and online campaigns.
    3. The nominated candidate will then stand by all of the final policy decisions going into the election.
    4. Usually very generic so as to not alienate anybody.
    5. Exceptions: Goldwater in 1964, McGovern in 1972 and of course now Trump in 2016, with his wall included as part of the party platform.
42
Q

What are the superficial roles of party convention?

A
  • Promoting unity:
    1. Conventions can be very importnat for parties after the divisive primary process. The battle between candidates from the same party can be put aside. Losing candidates often give speeches endorsing the winner. This can craete positive publicity and help win the election
    2. An opportunity for candidates defeated in the primaries to rally round the victor. This time (2016), Ted Cruz controversially did not endorse Trump. Most of the other defeated candidates stayed away.
    3. Former presidents sometimes speak. Clinton in ‘08 and ‘12 for Obama and again for Hillary in 2016.
    4. Lots of endorsement speeches from serving party politicians.
  • ** Enthusing the party faithful/ rallying party activists**:
    1. Conventions are attended and watched by party activists who are crucial in helping a candidate win. They organise events, contact voters and raise funds. A good convention will address these people, as well as the general public, to thank and enthuse them
    2. E.g. Knock on doors, Make phone calls, Email shots, Host events, Fund raise, Organise rallies, etc.
  • Appealing to swing or independent voters/ to act as publicity for the candidate:
    1. It’s the main opportunity to showcase the candidate. The acceptance speech is closely watched. The question gets asked Will there be a ‘poll bounce’?
    2. Key part of the campaign where most americans start to pay attention. The winning candidate can sell their message to the public, often through attacks on the other party, stage-managed speeches by other politicians and endorsements by celebrities. The choice of state is also important: party conventions are often held in swing states
    3. E.g. This didn’t happen for Jon Carey in 2004 for the democrats as his speech was very wooden and his poll ratings dropped after convention speech
    George Mcgoven (1972) - Acceptance speech was at 2am and most people missed it because it was so late and at that time in the world they could only watch it live
43
Q

How does electoral college work?

A
  • Art II states that the president must be elected every 4 years using an electoral college.
  • Founders - fear of mob rule, peer-assessing.
  • Although the names of the presidential candidates are on the ballot, in reality, the voter is simply sending their preference to the electors for their state who will then cast their votes for the candidate who wins a plurality in that state.
  • Each state has a number of electors that reflects the number of members of congress it has. E.g. California has 2 senators (like every state) and 53 members of the house, therefore it gets 55 electoral college votes.
  • Electors are specially appointed people for this specific job, they are NOT members of congress.
  • Voters turn out and vote. Whichever candidate wins the popular vote in the state gets ALL of the electoral votes and they go into his column.
  • Two states, Maine and Nebraska allocate their electoral votes to the candidates that win each congressional district in the state. In 2016, Clinton won 3 electoral votes in Maine and Trump, 1. The other states are winner takes all.
  • The winning candidate needs 270+ votes to win.
  • Even if they win the popular vote nationwide, as Clinton did in 2016, the victory MUST be in the electoral college to win.
  • If there is a tie, the House chooses the President, the Senate, the Vice President.
  • Rogue, faithless electors allowed in 21 states.
44
Q

Whats extra information about the electoral college relating to the votes? (not neccessary)

A
  • Each state has a certain amount of electoral votes by population
  • There are 538 electoral votes
  • The number of electoral votes per state reflects the number of representatives per state
  • They have nothing to do with the electoral college
  • It’s reviewed every time there’s a census
  • Some states might go up and some might go down
  • California, Texas, Colorado, etc. are growing in population so it’s going up
  • The first caveat is that electors don’t have to vote for the winner of that state, however they usually do.
  • The second caveat is that sometimes you get a rogue elector or a vague elector who won’t cast their vote for the winner of that state, however it doesn’t make much difference
  • There are 2 states that do this differently: Maine and Nebraska - they award their electoral votes by congressional districts e.g. Maine 2016 - Clinton received 3 and Trump received 1 or 2
45
Q

Who are the electors in an electoral college?

A
  • Nearly always state officials e.g. mayors, council members, etc.
  • When the votes are counted and there’s a result from every state, the electors will cast their vote and the vice president will go through each state and announce who gets each vote
  • E.g. Mike Pearce was told by Donal Trump not to certify the vote in the senate because the vote was fixed but he defied trump and certified anyway
46
Q

What does the term ‘party system’ mean?

A

The number of parties that have a realistic chance of forming government within a political system

47
Q

What is the importance of the third parties in election success? how have they been successful through indirect influence (with examples)?

A
  • 2 party system. All presidents in the modern era have some from these parties.
  • The spoiler effect - When a third part candidate helps to prevent oen of the Democratic or Republican Party from winning.
  • E.g. In 2000, the Green Party candidate, Ralph Nader, may have prevented Al Gore (the Democratic nominee) from winning the presidency against Bush by takinh=g votes away from Gorge. If Gore had won Florida, he would have won the presidency but lost the state by just 537 votes. Nader, whose supporters were much more likely to support Gore than Bush, received 97,000 votes
  • Influencing the policy of Democratic or Republican Parties - The last third-party candidate to recieve significant votes for the presidency was Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996. While he failed to win the presidency, his popular economic policy of a balanced budget was embraced by Republicans and accepted by President Bill Clinton, with Perot’s policy being successfully executed
  • **Infiltrating the two main parties, using primaries to gain prominence within a party **- President Trump is an example of a successful third-party candidate, using the Republican primaries to run under their banner, even though the Republican establishment opposed his bid
48
Q

What is incumbency?

A

The time during which a president is within office

49
Q

What is the power of incumbency?

A
  • It is a big advantage awarded to the those seeking reelection to an office they already hold
  • Where a long term office holder is seeking reelection they are likely to have greater name recognition in the state/district so publicity is less of an issue than with a challenger. Furthermore, with graeter recognition also comes with greater access to funds through sponsors and donors. Established candidates are likely to have a significant donor base either personally or through their political party making it easier to afford to run a campaign.
  • A sitting president up for re-election generally tends to win
  • E.g. George HW Bush was a one-term pres (broke a promise, as he said no new taxes and then raised them in the eyes of the public), as were Jimmy Carter (couldn’t get the Iran hostages out and the economic recession) and Gerald Ford (because people thought there was a tiff between him and Nixon)
50
Q

What are the advanatges of Incumbency?

A
  • Executive control and experience - Presidents can bring benefits to key groups and swing states or make popular policy shifts before an election. In 2011, Obama announced the main withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. He could claim a major success in the killing of Osama bin Laden in 2011. In office, he rewarded key voting blocs, such as Hispanics p, with executive orders on immigration and the appointment of the first Hispanic Supreme Court justice. Mitt Romney could do none of this
  • Name recognition and media attention - Presidents can attract publicity and sell their message. The Rose Garden strategy, in which the president addresses the nation, highlights the importance of the incumbent’s work. Obama’s speech on the death of US officials in Benghazi in 2012 highlighted his role as commander in chief at a time of great national significance
  • Electoral resources and experience The incumbent has an established campaign team with a proven track record. Incumbents also typically outspend their opponents. A rare exception was in 1992 when Clinton outspent the incumbent Bush. Here, however, it was Clinton the challenger who won the election
  • Lack of primary challenge - Incumbent presidents do not usually face a primary challenge. Challengers often face a long, bitter and expensive battle in which they are attacked by members of their own party. Romney faced this in 2012 when one of his defeated opponents, Ron Paul, continued to attack Romney at the party convention
51
Q

What are the limitations of incumbency?

A
  • Executive control and experience - Being in the White House can be double-edged. Presidents can receive praise, but also blame when things go wrong. E.g. Obama had to counter accusations of leadership failure over health care reform. The failing economy under President George H.W. Bush and his subsequent willingness to compromise on his famous campaign promise (‘Read my lips: no new taxes’) helped his demise
  • Name recognition and media attention - Others can exploit the media. Presidential television debates allow challengers to impress on voters their advantages over a president. E.g. Reagan put Carter in his place in a television debate performance, asking the audience if they were better off than they were four years ago, and commenting ‘There you go again’
  • Electoral resources and experience Money does not guarantee success. E.g. Jeb Bush raised record sums in the 2016 Republican primaries, but still lost. Clinton outspent Trump in 2016. Also popularity may raise money, not the other way around. Perhaps Obama raised more than Romney because he was more popular
  • Lack of primary challenge - If incumbents do face primary challenges, this can be a bad omen for presidential bids. E.g. In 1992, George H.W. Bush won a primary challenge, but lost the election. Primaries may give a challenger the opportunity to show political strength and to take media focus away from the incumbent president
52
Q

What is ‘campaign finance’?

A

Any money raisee or spent in order to influence election campaigns

53
Q

Why is McCutcheon v FEC 2014 important?

A
  • The Supreme Court struck down limits on individual campaign donations and Political Action Committees (PACs) were limits on free speech
  • Chief Justice John Roberts ruled that Congress ‘may not… regulate contributions simply to reduce the amount of money in politics, or to retsrict the political participations of some in order to enhance the relative influence of others
54
Q

Wherte does campaign finance go?

A
  • They can go to three differnet places: national parties, presidential candidates, Super PACs
  • There’re major concerns about spending/ role of money in US elections
  • The three main concerns are: excessive influence of major donors, secrecy around donations, inequality of expenditure
55
Q

What was introduced to help regulate the money spent in elections?

A

The Federal Election Reform Act 1974 (FECA)

56
Q

What are the main impacts of the FECA?

A
  • Places legal limits on campaign contributions - a private individal can only donate $2700 and agroup can only donate $5000 to an individual candidate
  • Creates a maximum expenditure limit for each candidate in the presidential election
  • Requires candidates to disclose sources of campaign contributions and campaign expenditure
  • Created federal funding of presidential and primary elections, which works on a matching funds basis (for every dollar a candidate raises, they are given a dollar by the federal government). To qualify, a party must receuve 5% or more of the vote in the previous election
  • Created Political Action Committees. A PAC has to be created by any group wanting to donate money to a campaign. Businesses and interest groups create a PAC that 8is legally registered with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), a six-member bipartisan committee to oversee financial rules
57
Q

What are the flaws of the FECA law which has reduced the effectiveness of the regulations?

A
  • Soft money - Loopholes allowed for continued donations or spending without regulations. E.g. Business or interest groups spend money on campaign advertising for or against a candidate, without directly donating money to a candidate’s campaign
  • **The Supreme Court **- Rulings within the court, often based on the 1st amendmnet, undermined legislation, making it harder to restrict donations and expenditure. E.g. the restrictions cover the funding of candidates, but not funding of parties. A party can spend money supposedly for the purposes of party building and voter education, but in fact use this to support a candidate. The Supreme Court also decided that the candidate’s own money was exempt from restrictions
  • The end of federal funding - Candidates became increasingly effective at raising money. In 2000 George W. Bush raised more than the campaign limit (approximately $120 million) without using federal funds. By rejecting federal funds he was not constrained by campaign expenditure limits. This made it much harder for Al Gore, who took matching funds, to compete. In 2004 Bush repeated the feat against Kerry, who took matching funds. 2012 was the first election when neither candidate accepted matching funds; this was repeated in 2016
58
Q

What is soft money?

A
  • Money donated by interest groups or individuals or spent by parties or candiates that could not be regulated under the law of FECA
  • Cash contributed to a political party with no limits attached to the amount that can be recieved
59
Q

What difficulties have campaign finance laws faced achieving effective reform?

A
  • Loopholes with soft money.
  • Key provisions struck down by the Supreme Court citing the 1 amendment.
  • Unwillingness of politicians to regulate themselves, so lack of legislation.
  • Difficulty in amending the constitution to regulate elections - Bernie Sanders failed ‘Democracy for all’ amendment
60
Q

Why were Super PACs created and what is their role?

A
  • The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act 2002 was dealt a major blow with the Citizens United v Federal Election Commission ruling in 2010, which struck down key parts of the legislations. The 5-4 ruling declared that the BCRA infringed 1st amendmnet rights
  • This gave rise to new organisations set up solely to influence electoral outcomes without directly working with or donating to a candidate.
  • Super PACs raise funds from individual and group donors and spend this mainly on campaign advertising, without any campaign finnace restrictions. Super PACs are typically created to support a particular presidential candidate
  • Since the 2010 mid-term congressional elections, campaigns have been dominated by these organisations. Opensecrets.org reported that by 2016 there were 2398 Super PACS, raising over $1.5 billion during that years elections