5 Flashcards
Risk at startups
- risk is not black & white
- risk is adjustable
- high risk can be managed
- founders need to de-risk ideas
minimum viable product
1-7
- maximize validated learning for least effort
- first complete solution that contains the most basic functionalities
- leaves out additional features and design
- goal: test initial assumptions/hypotheses about the product solution
- reach the market ASAP
- generate feedback, feedback is used to improve product
- sold to early adopters
- multiple MVPs possible
Prototype
1-5
- test feasibility and proof of concept (POC)
- demonstrates promised value
- small audiences (stakeholder)
- not for sale
e.g. mock-up, video, presentation
Build-Measure-Learn Cycle
0 Idea
Step 1 Build: Hypothesis of Value & Growth
Step 2 Product: Build the MVP (Test hypotheses, target early adopters)
Step 3 Measure: Reliability ≠ vanity metrics
Step 4 Data: Split tests / cohort analyses
Step 5 Learn: Validated learning
Step 6 Idea: pivot or preserve
Definition Validated Learning
The process of creating an empirical proof, that value-creating facts for the contemporary and future business model of the company were found.
Step 1: Process of Building Experiment for Validated Learning
1-3
1 define Leap of Faith (Hypotheses of Value & growth)
2 answer the questions
- do consumers recognize the problem you are solving?
- if there was a solution, would they buy it?
- would they buy it from you?
- can you create a solution?
3 build and sell MVP, measure success
Step 1: Building Experiment, Deriving & testing Hypotheses
Derivation:
- focus on largest uncertainty and how to reduce it
- focus on affordable loss
Testing:
- build MVP
- collect maximum amount of validated learning about customers
Fears of early market launch
1-3
1 Legal fears
- discretion regarding ideas to be patented
- set up legal structure of company (GmbH, UG, ..)
2 competition & idea theft
- ideas are rarely unique (Facebook vs StudiVZ)
- ideas usually change
- execution is success driver
3 Loss of marketing & brand value
- startups have nearly zero brand value
- early adopters forgive
Vanity Metrics
- absolute numbers
- represent the truth poorly
- e.g. number website visitors per week
Cohort analysis
- separating the customers into segments
- looking at numbers that really matter
- what customers add value? does this number increase?
important KPI: paying users (A, not increasing, B increasing)
-e.g. number of paying customers per week
Characteristics of Data for validated learning
- data relevant for growth model
- clear outline of cause and impact
- reports as simple as possible
- access for every involved party
- data has to be trustworthy
Placement of MVP & Business Model Canvas into product life cycle
Definition Business Model (Osterwalder)
A business model describes the rationale of how an organization creates, delivers and captures value.
Business Model Canvas
1-9
1 Customer segments
2 value proposition
3 channels
4 customer relationships
5 revenue streams
6 key resources
7 key activities
8 key partners
9 cost structure
Optimization & Pivot
Optimization
- change step by step
- optimize product
- add more features
e.g. change Logo
Pivot
- optimizations show no improvements
- change strategy
e.g. Palm handhelds —> Website
Vision
- stays the same
- even if optimization or pivot vision stays the same
e.g. Paypal: Bank of the future