4.1 International economics Flashcards

1
Q

Globalisation

A

The ever increasing integration of the worlds local, regional and national economies into a single international markets

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2
Q

Characteristics of globalisation

A

Free trade across national boundaries of goods and services so that trade between countries becomes as straightforward as trade within a country
Free movement of labour (EU)
Free movement of capital (Microsoft can buy smaller local UK gaming company)
Free interchange of tech and intellectual capital

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3
Q

Globalisation cont

A

This world of perfect free movement and no barriers of trade doesn’t exist.
In reality, there is huge variety but most of the world exists on a spectrum between two extremes
COVID19 and Donald trump slowed globalisation

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4
Q

Causes of globalisation

A

Growth of trading blocs
Political shift towards open free market forces e.g end of Cold War
Decrease in transport/ communication costs
Reduction of barriers in world trade e.g WTO
Increased importance of transnational companies - these companies establish operations in other countries and when they do this to lessen operational costs which is known as offshoring
Incentive provided by international financial flows - FDI has been seen as key reason for massive growth in China and Malaysia, encouraging other countries to adopt less protectionist policies

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5
Q

Impact on consumers (adv)

A

More consumer choice
There is a variety of diff products available on high streets that have been shipped from globally.
Fall in prices as production has shifted to lost cost locations abroad
Raised incomes

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6
Q

Impact on consumers (disadv)

A

Goods have become more homogenised losing individual features
Raising global income in LR can lead to higher prices as there is higher demand
Some goods display worrying tendencies to vary significantly overtime in price e.g oil price increase will be felt more widely

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7
Q

Impact on workers (adv)

A

Structural unemployment can be a good thing as it can cause a longer term shift toward a relevantly trained labour force
Immigrants can fill labour gaps and bring enterprise creating new industries which creates new jobs
Demand for high skilled labour increases, wages
Lowering inequality gap in developing countries as they can demand similar wages
Multinational companies operating abroad create jobs in their countries of operation

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8
Q

Impact on workers (disadv)

A

Job losses
Immigration increases competition for jobs which causes lower wage rates
COVID19 has sped up shift in multimedia companies to increasingly hire foreign national who can work remote so workers are competing with global citizenry
Low skilled labour in developed countries have seen real wage drops as firms try to drive costs down
Increased inequality in developed countries as there is upward wage pressure on high skilled and downward pressure on low skilled
Multi nationals have been criticised for hiring labour abroad rather than domestically

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9
Q

Impact on producer (adv)

A

Companies can take advantage of specialism abroad e.g better shipping quality
Reduce risk as a greater number of supply chains can mean companies losses are mitigated if one international customer closes down
Costs reduce as suppliers can be chosen from wider area + companies can employ from abroad where wages are lower
Shift of production to power countries is raising living standards in developing world as there is influx of new jobs

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10
Q

Impact on producer (disadv)

A

Companies can become dependent on long supply chains if they collapse = business failure
Tax avoidance as tics use transfer pricing (shifting pricing to countries where the most tax will be saved), tax haven offices or just generally shift production to a low tax country

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11
Q

Impact on gov (adv)

A

Adapting to challenges with new and innovative policies inc increasing spending on eduction and R&D to give national workers an edge in a globalised market place

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12
Q

Impact on gov (disadv)

A

Shifts of production to developing countries leads to lower tax revenue, domestic jobs and potentially exports
Pressure from tax avoidance has led to some countries lowering tax rates which negatively impacts gov revenue
Rising corruption in developing world as large TNCS have overly influenced gov policy

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13
Q

Environmental impact (adv)

A

Large TNCS have better environmental records that smaller national companies as their actions are moron gov spotlights and they have financial resources and tech to minimise environmental destruction

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14
Q

Environmental disadvantages

A

Positive correlation between globalisation and increased environmental damage - as large portions of forest and farmland have been stripped for resources as global demand soars

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15
Q

Individual nations advantages

A

Rising incomes, more and better quality jobs, and more consumer choice

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16
Q

Individual nations disadvantage

A

Loss of industries = unemployment and lower ages
Urbanisation in poorer countries to keep pace with globalisation can have negative consequences

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17
Q

Non economic advantages

A

Increased multiculturalism/ cultural understanding and diversity
Decline in national sovereignty makes war less appealing

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18
Q

Non economic disadvantages

A

Weakens native cultures
Growth in trading blocs has led to some sacrifices regarding national sovereignty

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19
Q

Specialisation

A

When a country focuses on producing one or a narrow range of goods and services (mostly for export services)

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20
Q

Absolute advantage

A

An economy can produce a good for lower costs than another. It means that less resources are needed to produce the same amount of goods/ the same resources can produce a greater quantity of goods

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21
Q

Comparative advantage

A

Occurs when one country can produce a good or service at a lower opportunity cost than another. This means a country can produce a good relatively cheaper than other countries

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22
Q

Calculating opportunity cost

A

Opportunity cost of producing good A = Total units produced of good B / Total units produced of good A

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23
Q

Limitations of comparative advantage

A

Assumes there are no transport costs and these can lower/prevent CA
Assumes cots are constant and there are no EOS (which help to increase gains from specialisation
Goods are assumed to be homogenous which is unrealistic therefore countries product cannot be perfectly compared
Assumes FOPs are perfectly mobile, there are no trade barriers and there is perfect knowledge
Whether trade takes place will depend on the terms of trade between countries

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24
Q

Adv of specialisation and trade

A

Comparative advantage shows how world output can be increased if countries
specialise in what they are best at producing, this will increase global economic
growth.
Specialisation allows countries to benefit from economies of scale , which reduces
costs and therefore decrease prices globally.
Different countries have different factors of production and so trade allows countries to make use of factors of production, or the things produced by these factors, which they otherwise may have been unable to.
Trade enables consumers to have greater choice about the types of goods they buy,
and so there is greater consumer welfare.
Free trade between countries increases competition for firms, therefore there is
much greater focus on innovation.

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25
Disadv of specialisation and trade
Trade can lead to over-dependence, where some countries become dependent on particular exports and imports. It can cause structural unemployment, as jobs are lost to foreign firms who are more efficient and competitive. The less mobile the workforce, the higher the chance that changes in demand due to trade will reduce output and employment over long periods of time. The environment will suffer due to the problems of transport as well as the increased demand for resources e.g. deforestation. Countries may suffer from a loss of sovereignty due to signing international treaties and joining trading blocs, for example in the EU.
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Patterns of trade
Refers to the changing nature of trade between economics e.g UK-EU trade
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Influences on POT
CA changing More exporting of manufactured goods Growing supply chains Emerging economies Trading blocs growing Exchange rates changing
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CA on patterns of trade
Countries tend to export g+s in which they have a CA and import those in which they have a comparative disadvantage This principle is a fundamental driver of international trade patterns
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Emerging economies on patterns of trade
Emerging economies often become major exporters of manufactured goods and services altering dynamics of global trade. They can both compete with and complement established economies
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Trading blocs
These agreements can significantly impact trade flows. Within trading blocs, member countries often enjoy reduced tariffs and trade barriers, leading to increased trade among them. Bilateral agreements can create preferential trading relationships between specific countries, boost trade in specific sectors
31
Exchange rates
Changes in the ER can have a direct impact on trade. A depreciation of a country's currency can make its exports cheaper and more competitive on the international market, leading to increased exports. Conversely, a stronger currency can reduce exports and increase imports
32
Terms of trade
The terms of trade of a country measures the price of a country's exports relative to the price of its imports or the ratio between average export prices and average import prices This concept is very important for developing nations who rely heavily on selling exports to purchase manufactured imports that cannot be produced in the country
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Exports
An inflow of money into the economy
34
Imports
An outflow of money from the economy
35
TOT formula
Index of average export prices / index of average import prices x 100 It is measured in the form of an index because it is calculated from the weighted average of thousands of different export goods and import goods prices
36
Value of TOT increases
This means a country can purchase more imports with its level of exports. This could be because export prices increased or import prices decreased.
37
Deterioration in TOT
We can now buy less imports with our current level of imports. This could be because import prices increased and export prices decreased
38
Factors affecting TOT
Change in ER a rise in ER = fall in price of imported goods = improvement in TOT Inflation Rise in inflation relative to other countries will improve the TOT as its x become more attractive to consumers Productivity levels Rise in productivity = lower COP = drop in price of x = deterioration in the TOT Increasing demand Rising demand for exports will increase the price of exports improving TOT Rise in demand for imports = price increase of imports = deterioration Increasing incomes Led to increased demand for certain sectors e.g tourism = increased prices for holiday = improvement in TOT for countries with large tourism sectors
39
Improving TOT
leads to higher living standards Country can import more for a given quantity of exports Cost push inflation can also be brought under control
40
Improving TOT pt2
Leas to deteociatio in the current account of the balance of payments - declines competitiveness of countries goods and services can cause problems
41
Exports price elastic TOT
this leads to an improvement in the TOT but a decline in the current account balance as the value of a country's exports declines
42
Export price inelastic TOT
The rise in export prices also leads to an improvement in the TOT, but as export volumes remain steadier – the current account position will still improve. A fall in export prices will cause the reverse.
43
Imports price elastic TOT
Rising import prices will deteriorate the terms of trade, but as the demand for that import falls away, the current account balance will improve. A fall in import prices will cause the reverse.
44
Imports price inelastic TOT
Rising import prices will deteriorate the terms of trade, but as the demand for that import remains resistant and high, the current account balance will suffer. A fall in import prices will cause the reverse.
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Trading bloc
A group of countries that have signed an agreement to reduce or eliminate tariffs, quotas and other protectionist barriers between themselves
46
Preferential trading areas
Are where tariff and other trade barriers are reduced on some but not all goods traded. Members sign a preferential trade agreement to create the area
47
Free trade area
Where all tariffs and quotas are removed on trade in goods between member countries. However each member country can impose tariffs and quotas on imports from outside the bloc
48
Customs union
Where there is free trade within the trading bloc and a common external tariff on goods coming from outside of the bloc
49
Common markets
Customs unions where both labour and capital have freedom of movement within the area and where produce standards and laws concerning free movement of goods and service are commonly held
50
Economic unions
Are where the economies of member countries are as fully integrated as a different regions within a country. It implies both fiscal union (central body controlling taxation and spending) and a monetary union (currency etc)
51
Trade creation
Trade created as a result of the establishment of a free trade agreement/ trading bloc - often a result of the removal of trade barriers
52
Trade diversion
When trade is diverted from efficient exporters outside of the bloc to less efficient producers/exporters inside the bloc - can cancel out any global output gains from
53
Benefits of trading bloc
Trade creation Increase in FDI TNCS gain unrestricted access in selling goods to consumer in the bloc Increase in economic power - a larger trading bloc may be able to represent the countries involved better than if said economies been on their own e.g US can be traded with in EU that wouldn't work on own Monetary unions could also create - elimination of transaction costs - price transparency (consumers can compare prices across borders ) = improved efficiency within bloc - eliminate currency fluctuations between member countries = encourages business investment
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Costs of a trading bloc
Trade diversion Joining monetary union can sometimes involve transition costs as a country jettisons its old currency for euro e.g Loss of independent monetary policy (lose ability to set own interest rates) ECB controls monetary policy Loss of E.R flexibility - own currencies are lost Trade blocs don't benefit all members equally in every way
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Characteristics of common markets
No customs posts identical product standards harmonisation of taxes (to prevent distortions within market) Common currency
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Single market
Often used to reference the common market of the EU
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Benefit for membership in CU/CM for countries
If trade creation is greater than trade diversion
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Further advantages of membership in common market
Competition is greater in the SR as custom union eliminates barriers to trade encouraging increased efficiency as UK companies are now competing across the single market EOS - CU allows for national companies to operate and invest across Europe taking advantage of regional variation to lower COP to drive down prices and increase efficiency Different countries paying in diff amounts leads to a transfer of resources within the CM leading to benefits or costs depending on country
59
Further disadv of membership in CM
There are problems with competition in LR as inefficient producers will be eliminated moving the entire single market into the grips of larger monopolies EOS can be difficult to achieve if consumer tastes within the market are not homogenous Real resources can easily flow from richer members of single market to poorer members - they are targets of highly skilled labour immigration and I (reverse happens to poorer members - brain drains and net capital outflows) = increased regional inequalities
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World trade organisation
Set up in 1995 to replace the GATT. WTO exist to reduce barriers and trade in a series of negations Has 166 member states - comprising over 98% of global trade and GDP
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Regulate global trade
Ensuring countries abide by signed trade agreements Any country can file complaint with WTO against the competitive practices of another country (trade dispute) Hearing can then occur determining an outcome Winner can legally set up sanctions against the loser if the losing country rejects the outcome WTO acts as intermediary reducing punitive protectionism from one state against another
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Promotion of trade liberalisation
Talks e.g Doha round Recent topics of debate and settlement include agriculture, commerce and I.P rights Avoid proliferation of regional trade diversion and minimal gains from comparative advantage RTAs can be signed without WTO permission
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Criticism of WTO
Anti globalist = takes national economic independence from countries and forces them to adopt policies for global community to detriment of their own citizens Environmental Richer countries gains more ability under a free trade set up to mine resources and destroy the environment Development WTO allows richer countries to lower trade barriers whilst relenting to richer keeping them in place. Allows richer countries to force down prices of goods from developing countries whilst allowing their goods to increase in price
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Protectionism
Represents any attempt by a government to impose restrictions on trade in goods and services between countries Aims to protect domestic industry
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Reasons for protectionism
To correct deficit in trade in goods and services To prevent a more powerful foreign trading partner dumping cheaper imports into internal markets - potentially undercutting and bankrupting domestic producers Therefore to reduce unemployment To reduce over-dependence on exports and imports dictated by international specialisation (CA) To limit growth of powerful TNCs To protect infant industries within the domestic economy
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Tariffs
Taxes on imports to a country. This raises the price consumers pay for imports e.g UK (2021) the UK government introduced a temporary import tariff on certain agricultural products, inc beef, lamb and poultry
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Eval of tariffs
Effect dependent on elasticity of demand. If inelastic, there will be small welfare loss, if elastic there will be bigger decline in welfare and fall in consumption of the good Tariffs may cause production to shift to smaller firms with fewer EOS Issue of retaliation. If one country places tariffs on imports, then retaliation will occur - decline in exports Some jobs may be saved in domestic industry but jobs in export industries will be lost Less disposable income, consumer spending will fall and there will be some decline in output in other sectors
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Quote
A quota is a physical limit on the quantity of imports a country e.g China has quota on Cambodian rice exports of 300000 tonnes per year
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Impacts of quotas
Firms see an increase in revenue since production expands Higher price of goods suggest increase in producer surplus Consumers see higher prices so lower consumer surplus Less demand for imports means TOT increase since import prices drop Foreign firms may retaliate Domestic producers expand production inefficiency, leading to loss in world efficiency
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Subsidies
Act to reduce the costs of production for domestic producers/ firms Makes firms more competitive on the world market, especially against countries where prod has not been subsidised, mainly LEDCs e.g Indian Gov provided extensive support to sugarcane growers
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Eval on subsidies
Over dependency on export subsidies and producers may fail to improve their cost efficiency. Low productivity is a barrier to long term growth Subsidies are often expensive, diverting state spending away from other growth enhancing areas such as education (opportunity cost) Other countries may regard subsidies as unfair form of protectionism (threat of bringing case to WTO or imposing counter vailing import tariffs)
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Non tariff barriers
Health and safety regs - pushing out cheaper imports which don't meet defined criteria Environmental regs - pushing out longer distance imports due to emission worries Labelling of products (BRITISH GROWN) Increased bureaucracy - putting off importers with paper work
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Impact of Non tariff barriers
To disincentivise foreign countries from attempting to export goods to the protectionist economy
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Pros of protectionism
Reduction in trade deficit because less is imported due to tariffs and quotas on imports Infant industries might need protecting Prevents import dumping where a foreign firm provides exports at a price below cost (predatory pricing) Gov might want to protect domestic jobs May be retaliation against other countries so protects net trade Raises gov rev which can be spent on the economy Avoids risk of overspecialisation
75
Cons of protectionism
Higher prices for consumer leading to loss of CS and choice Loss of world efficiency. domestic producers are producing a good they do not have a comparative advantage in Risk of retaliation, distorts global trade Tariffs lead to greater income inequality as it impact lower income earners far greater than those on higher income
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Balance of payments
Refers to a record of all international transactions between countries. Consists of a current account, a capital account and financial account
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Current account
Trade balance in goods (manufactured goods, raw materials, capital tech) Trade balance in services (banking, insurance, tourism, transport, shipping, research, education, health) Net primary income from overseas assets (profits, interest and dividends from I in other countries, net remittance flows from migrant workers) Net secondary income (overseas aid/debt relief, UK payments to EU)
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Capital account
Sale/transfer of patents, copyright, leases and other transferable contracts (e.g selling of land by businesses) Debt forgiveness/cancellation (counted as -ve) Capital transfers of ownership of fixed assets Old capital account now called financial account
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Financial account
Includes transactions that result in a change of ownership of financial assets and liabilities between UK residents and non residents Net balance of FDI Net balance of portfolio I flows (equator and debt) Balance of banking flows Changes in value of reserves of gold and foreign currency
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Displaying balance of payments
BOP must be equal to zero When there are errors, a balancing item is introduced in order to allow for any credits and debits that haven't fully been logged minus signs show disinvestment
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Increasing international capital flows
Government bonds are increasingly offered to foreign investors to increase credit within a national economy Speculation - gambling on advantageous ER to quickly (dis/re)invest Transfer of private funds abroad e.g tax evasion Overseas loans can be more advantageous when purchasing foreign goods than obtaining a domestic loan and paying exchange costs Banks have found profit in leading to an international audience in the short term
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Advantages of capital flows
Facilitates trade by financing growth in trade Increased FDI can take the form of technological and info transfer Provision of capital in areas where capital is scarce e.g developing countries
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Disadvantages of capital flows
Availability of international credit facilities borrowing e.g West Africa in 1970s Over reliance on FDI can lead to security threats e.g Russian I in North Sea oil Disruptions in global financial centres can ripple globally e.g collapse of Lehmann Bros
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Current account deficit
external deficit net outflow of income from the economy circular flow deficit countries need to run a financial account surplus might be achieved by attracting inflows of financial capital from other countries CuA deficit nation are debtor countries
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Current account surplus
External surplus net inflow of income into economy allows a country to run a financial account deficit External surplus countries may use accumulated foreign currency reserves to establish a sovereign wealth fund Current account surplus nations are creditor nations
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Consequences form current account deficit
Loss of AD if there is trade deficit (M>X) which causes weaker GDP growth and reduced living standards and rising unemployment Big current account deficits will cause currency to depreciate leading to higher cost push inflation and a deterioration in TOT Can lead to country running short of vital foreign currency reserves Trade deficit may be reflection of lack of competitiveness / supply side weaknesses in the economy Some may choose to borrow to achieve financial account surplus - risks Unsuitable CuA deficits lead to loss of investor consequence
87
Demand management (current account deficit)
A tightening of fiscal and/or monetary policy reduces real spending power of consumers and leads to lower spending on imports (fall in M improves trade balance) Lower exchange rate reduces the foreign price of exports and makes imports more expensive – causes changes in demand
88
Supply side improvement (CuA deficit)
Policies to raise labour productivity and encourage start-ups with export potential e.g. Life sciences, digital etc. Investment in human capital to boost productive capacity and competitiveness in high-value industries such as bio-technology, engineering, medicine, tourism Protectionism measures such as import quotas and tariffs
89
Exchange rates
Refer to the value of a currency relative to another currency/basket of currencies e.g £1 vs $1.27
90
Factors affecting value of currency
Trade balance - strong + surpluses tend to see currencies appreciate as money flows into circular flow from exports of g + s and from investment income FDI - economy that attracts high FDI will see an increase in currency demand = rising E.R Portfolio investment - strong inflows of portfolio I into equities and bonds from overseas can cause currency appreciation I.R differentials - high I.R can expect to see hot money flowing across the currency markets causing appreciation of E.R
91
Floating exchanging rates
The market determines the value of the currency without government / central bank intervention Exchange rate is set purely by forces of supply and demand
92
Fixed exchange rates
Exchange rate is pegged Occasional realignments e.g. usually a devaluation Day to day, the external value of the currency is usually stable
93
Revaluation and devaluation
Revaluation when a country decides to increase the E.R of its currency under a system of fixed exchange rates Devaluation is when a country decides to decrease the ER of its currency under a system of fixed ER
94
Appreciation and depreciation
Appreciation refers to an increase in the ER of a country's currency under a system of floating ER Depreciation refers to a decrease in the ER of a country's currency under a systems of floating ER
95
Pros floating ER
reduces the need to hold large amounts of currency reserves Freedom to set monetary policy interest rates to meet domestic objectives Insulation for an economy after an economy after an external shock especially for export dependent countries Partial automatic correction for a current readjustment process Less risk of currency becoming significantly over/undervalued
96
Eval of floating ER
Volatility might be detrimental to attracting inward investment Lower, more competitive ER does not necessarily correct a persistent balance of payments deficit immediately Curve and importance of non price competitiveness and constant readjustments
97
Pros fixed ER
Certainty of currency values gives confidence for inward investment Reduced costs of currency hedging for businesses e.g forward markets Stability helps to control inflation i.e discipline on businesses to keep their unit labour costs low Imposes responsibility on gov macro policies Less speculation if the fixed ER is credible
98
Eval of fixed ER
Reduced freedom to use IR for other macro economic objectives many developing countries do not have sufficiency foreign currency reserves to be able to maintain a fixed ER Difficult for countries to use competitive devaluation of their fixed ER which creates political tensions and might lead to a protectionist response Devaluation of fixed ER can lead to surge in cost push inflation - damaging for competitiveness and has regressive effects Devaluation may be against WTO rules
99
Impacts of changes in exchange rates
A devaluation/depreciation of currency would cause a decrease in the foreign currency price of a country's exports and an increase in the domestic price of its imports This would generally cause both an increase in competitiveness of the country's goods and services and an improvement in its balance of payments of the current account
100
Marshall - Lerner condition
States that a depreciation/ devaluation of ER will lead to a net improvement in the trade balance provided that the sum of the price elasticity of demand for exports and imports > 1
101
Further impacts of changes in ER
Devaluation should cause an increase in AD as net exports rise leading to rise in real output. Could lead to an increase in employment levels Increased price in imported commodities will often lead to increase in COP - cost push inflation Depreciation in a currency might tempt foreign investment i.e their foreign currencies brought in from outside would be worth more with depreciated currency
102
Measures of competitiveness
Relative unit labour costs Relative export prices Export prices compared to import prices
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Benefits of being internationally competitive
Current account surpluses International investment Employment and growth Wage growth Domestic PP
106
Problems of sustaining competitiveness
Short term low wages vs longer term wage rises Price increases over time ER variables Protectionism
107
Supply side policy (competitiveness)
Improvements in education/training will improve labour productivity Tax incentives on investment could stimulate capital productive which could reduce costs Deregulation can increase domestic competitive with the same impact
108
Inflation control (competitivness)
Inflation rises export prices - workers demand higher wages Macro stability encourages firms to save revenue aside for investment - later innovation - more competitiveness