3A Flashcards
What is BOP?
- It is a systematic record of all economic transactions made between the residents and non-residents of a country for a specific time period, usually a year.
- Central Banks of each country prepare BoP records as per the format given in IMF’s BPM-6 manual, all the figures are expressed in Dollar$.
- Since any country’s debit (outgoing money) is a credit (incoming money) for another country → World’s NET Balance of Payment is ZERO.
Bop classification
- BoP is further sub classified into two parts → Current Account and Capital Account, based on the nature of transactions.
RBI’s methods of BOP classification
Current Account -
Goods and services
Primary Income: wages, dividend, interest
Secondary income: remittance, gift, donation
Capital & Financial Account
- Direct Investment (FDI)
- Portfolio Investment (FPI)
- Loans / ECB
- Non-resident’s investment in Bank, Insurance, Pension schemes.
- RBI’s foreign exchange reserve
Current Account Deficit in the last 3 years 2016-2019 increased or decreased and reason?
- The Current Account Deficit ⏫ in last 3 years (2016-19) because
- crude oil price ⏫
- US/EU protectionism= our exports ⏬.
What is Balance of Trade (BoT)
It’s the difference between the value of import and export (of goods and services)
Export MINUS Import = MINUS (-)
- If -ve = Trade Deficit (i.e. Import > Export)
- If +ve = Trade Surplus (i.e. Export > Import)
What is Net Terms of Trade (NTT) or Commodity terms of trade?
𝑁𝑇𝑇 = 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡/𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡 ∗ 100 = 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑎 𝑖𝑡′𝑠 < 100.
Meaning ($ or value) we are importing more and exporting less.
What is Gross Terms of Trade (GTT)?
𝐺𝑇𝑇 = 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡/𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡 ∗ 100 = 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑎 𝑖𝑡′𝑠 < 100.
So, in physical quantity (kg, litres) we are exporting more than importing. This is possible because exported Indian rice’s quantity (kg) could be large even though its value ($) will not be very large.
India has trade deficit and trade surplus with which countries?
India’s top 5 trading partners?
We’ve large Trade Deficit: with China (cheap electronics, toys etc.) Switzerland (Gold, Luxury items), Middle Eastern nations (Oil).
We’ve Trade Surplus: with USA (Chemicals, textile, services etc.), UAE (Tea, Spices, textile etc.).
- India’s top five trading partners are USA, China, UAE, Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong
Largest importer and exporter in world for goods and services - 2018
(IYB20 Ch7): Largest importer and exporter in world
Goods (Merchandise)
Largest Importer #1:USA…..#10: India
Largest Exporter #1: China…. #19: India
Services
Largest Importer #1:USA…..#10: India
Largest Exporter #1: USA……#8: India
❓MCQ. The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of (Asked in UPSC-Pre-2013)
(a) All import & export transactions of a country during a given period of time, normally a year.
(b) Goods exported from a country during a year.
(c) Economic transaction between the government of one country to another.
(d) Capital movements from one country to another.
a
❓MCQ. Which of the following does not form part of current account of Balance of Payments? [UPSC-CDS-2014-II]
(a) Export and import of goods (b) Export and import of services
(c) Income receipts and payments (d) Capital receipts and payments
d
❓MCQ. With reference to Balance of Payments, which of the following constitutes/ constitute the Current Account? (Asked in UPSC-Pre-2014)
1. Balance of trade. 2. Foreign assets. 3. Balance of invisibles. 4. Special Drawing Rights.
Answer codes: (a) 1 only (b) 2 and 3 (c) 1 and 3 (d) 1, 2 and 4
c
❓MCQ (Pre19-SetA Q37). Among the following, which one of the following is the largest exporter of rice in the world in the last five years?
(a) China (b) India (c) Myanmar (d) Vietnam
b
MCQ (Pre19-SetA Q84). Among the agricultural commodities imported by India, which one of the following accounts for the highest imports in terms of value in the last five years?
(a) Spices (b) Fresh fruits (c) Pulses (d) Vegetable oils
d
What does the World Bank’s Remittance Report say about remittance of India?
- In quantitative figures too India received more amount compared to previous years. Because higher oil prices → Arabian Sheikhs are earning more and spending more → Indian workers in middle east are earning more overtime → more remittance to India.
- World Bank also noted: remittances have a direct impact in poverty removal for many households
- but Post Offices charge very high fees in remitting the money to household.
- so Financial inclusion, UPI/BHIM/IMPS blockchain Technology led money transfer mechanism are important in that context as well.
Global migration report 2020 released by?
Top amount of remittance received?
Top number of international migrants are from?
Top destination country of migrants?
- The International Organization for Migration (IOM, HQ: Geneva, Switzerland) is a related organization of UN. As per its latest Global migration report 2020.
- Top amount of remittance received to 1) India 2) China 3) Mexico.
- Top number of international migrants are from 1) India 2) Mexico 3) China
- Top destination country of migrants is USA.
Under Remittance - what is Pravasi Bharatiya Diwas (PBD)?
1915 9th January: Gandhi-ji returned from S.Africa to Bombay (India).
2003 govt decides to celebrate Pravasi Bharatiya divas (PBD) annually every 9th January. First summit @New Delhi.
2015 govt converts PBD into “biennial” event i.e. grand festival every second year
- every other year, only a small event in India, and regional PBD event in a foreign country
2017 @Bengaluru, Karnataka.
2018 Singapore
2019 @Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh
- THEME: “Role of Indian Diaspora in building a New India.”
- 15th Pravasi Bharatiya Divas Convention was organized from 21 to 23 January 2019 instead of 9th January, so that NRIs could visit Prayagraj for Kumbh Mela and witness the Republic Day Parade at New Delhi on 26th January 2019
2020 @New Delhi. But just a small scale video conference type of event.
2021 - The theme of 16th Pravasi Bharatiya Divas Convention 2021, held virtually on 9th January 2021 is “Contributing to Aatmanirbhar Bharat”
at New Delhi
What is the Govt doing about its target of reducing the oil import by 10% by 2022 (compared to 2015)?
➢ Govt’s target of reducing the oil import by 10% by 2022 (compared to 2015).
➢ Therefore, boosting domestic oil exploration & production is necessary. So,
Domestic Oil Exploration Policies
- Nodal? Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH) Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas.
- Before the 1991’s LPG reforms, only ONGC and other Public sector companies were allowed to explore the oil, gas and hydrocarbon reserves in India. But under 1991’s Liberalization norms, this sector was opened for the private sector players as well.
- 1997: New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP: to award contract to public and private sector companies using bidding / auction system.
NELP’s limitations and replacement?
NELP’s primary limitations were →
- Separate license required for each type of hydrocarbon.
- NELP worked on production sharing contract (PSC: , wherein the Oil Explorer will pay a share to Govt from the profits from production.
However, - whenever the oil prices ⏬in the global market, Indian producers will also ⏬their production.
- Indian producers exaggerate their production costs to show less profit. → Govt earned less and lead to inspector raj and no ease of doing Biz.
Hence in 2016, NELP was replaced with Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy (HELP).
✓ Single uniform license sufficient to explore and produce all type of hydrocarbons from the given area. (oil, gas, coal bed methane, shale gas, tight gas and gas hydrates etc)
✓ Govt to receive a share from gross revenue from sale of oil / gas etc, irrespective of company’s profit.
✓ Government not to interfere in the marketing and pricing of the oil and gas.
✓ Relaxed norms for exploration in offshore areas, because they have higher risk and higher cost of production.
✓ Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP) → company can pick and choose the blocks from the designated area, even if no specific bids are invited by Govt before. Then Government will invite other companies for auction.
✓ 2019-July: Govt finished auctioning process of HELP-OALP round 2 and 3.
What are the objectives of India’s Strategic Oil Reserves ?
Objective? (When crude prices are low) India should buy and store crude oil for strategic- cum-buffer stock → to be used during war & other emergency.
- Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas should set up Govt petroleum companies in the east and west coast of India
- It should be stored in underground rock cavern facilities = more secure / safe during airstrikes, more economical and environmental friendly than conventional ‘Above Ground Storage Tanks’ (which may require additional cooling / AC).
OPEC year, members and HQ?
1961: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a group of oil producing countries Saudi, UAE, Venezuela, Iran, Iraq etc.
total 14 members. HQ: Vienna city of Austria.
Qatar withdrew from 1/1/19. Russia is NOT a member.
What is a Cartel?
Cartel is an association of manufacturers who collude to keep prices high, and keep the competitors away.
What is Sweet and sour crude oil?
Sweet crude oil = Low Sulphur content. Sour crude = High Sulphur content.
What is BRENT Index?
RENT Index is an index to measures crude oil price, mainly in North West Europe.
What is the fall of crude oil prices in negative figures?
- USA’s crude oil prices are monitored through West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contracts.
- Oil demand decreased due to Corona lockdown on vehicle/aviation traffic. But, American oil drilling companies can’t stop production because it’s more
expensive to ‘restart’ the production after shutting it. - And merchants/intermediaries can’t hold stock because their storage capacity is limited.
- 2020-April: sellers are (temporarily) paying $$ to buyer to take the stock of oil barrels. Hence negative minus $40 per barrel price.
- India may not benefit, since we mostly import from the middle-east and not the USA.
BoP: Current → Petrol & Diesel Prices in India?
- 1970s to 2002: Administered Price Mechanism (APM) - Wherein the government fixed the prices of petroleum fuels and paid subsidy to the oil marketing companies (OMC) for their losses.
- 2002-2014: Government gradually began decontrolling the fuel prices, to reduce its own subsidy burden.
- Present system Dynamic Fuel pricing system wherein OMCs decide the prices of petrol and diesel on DAILY basis, based on the movement in international prices.
- “Trade parity price (TPP)” is related to this
- Benefit of dynamic pricing? In theory, If the oil prices lowered in the international market, petrol diesel should become cheaper in India. But,
- Corona crisis = ⏬ transport → ⏬ demand of crude oil → prices have fallen or remained moderate.
- But, Corona crisis → direct tax and GST collection ⏬. Government required more ₹₹ to run the schemes. So, continuously ⏫ excise & VAT.
- Consequently, by 2020-Jul: Petrol and diesel costing around ₹80/litre in Delhi
impact of Negative Real Interest Rate?
From 2010 onwards, Indian economy was suffering from high level of inflation (8-12%) due drought → Food & Pulses shortage. MNREGA scheme → higher wages in the hands of villagers without proportional growth in supply of commodities etc.
- So households earned ‘Negative Real Interest Rate on
their bank deposits → started investing in gold. - But, high level of gold consumption → more trade deficit, current account deficit → Indian rupee gets weaker. Gold transactions also help in the storage of black money and tax evasion. India is the second largest consumer of Gold after China.
Schemes introduced to reduce the gold consumption due to Negative real interest rate?
RBI and Indian government launched following schemes to reduce gold consumption:
RBI’s 80:20 Scheme (2013-14)
Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme (2015)
Gold Monetization Scheme (2015)
Indian (Sovereign) Gold Coins (2015)
What is RBI’s 80:20 Scheme (2013-14)?
- It is one of the schemes introduced to reduce gold consumption/import due to Negative real interest rate.
- RBI mandated that minimum 20% of the imported gold must be exported back. Until then the Jeweller/ bullion dealers will not get permission to import next consignment of gold.
- RBI gets this power under Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA).
- Although, 2014: Scheme was stopped as the gold craze had declined.
What is Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme (2015)?
- It is one of the schemes introduced to reduce gold consumption/import due to Negative real interest rate.
RBI (on behalf of Union Government) issued Gold bonds in the denominations of one gram and its multiples. One person can buy upto 4 kgs.
- They can be purchased from commercial banks, post offices and authorised agents. RBI continued to release them in 2018 and 2019 as well.
- Tenure? 8 years. (But investor can exit from 5th year).
- Fixed ~2% interest every year. On the redemption date you get the principal equivalent of the latest price of gold in grams. So, if gold price increased then you get more
profit. - Bonds can be tradable in stock exchange. Can be used as collateral for loans.
- They are exempted from the TDS and Capital Gains Tax.
- Benefit? People were investing in gold with speculation that when gold prices increase they’ll profit. Gold Bonds offer them similar without actually giving them gold. So it helps reducing gold import.
What is Gold Monetization Scheme (2015)?
- It is one of the schemes introduced to reduce gold consumption/import due to Negative real interest rate.
- Under this scheme, RBI allows commercial banks accept customers’ idle gold / jewellery for 1 year to 15 years tenure.
(2019- RBI also allowed Charitable Institutions
and Central Govt to deposit their gold in the commercial banks)
- Commercial Banks pay the depositor ~2% interest.
- Min. 30gm to maximum any amount of gold can be deposited.
- Gold goes to → Metals and Minerals Trading Corporation of India →
- Gold sold to jewellers, electronic circuits companies and
- Some of the gold used for Minting “Indian Gold Coin.”
- Upon maturity you can redeem deposit in the form of gold coin/bars or cash equivalent.
- The profit exempted from Capital Gains Tax.
❓MCQ. Which of the following are the main objectives of Gold Monetization Scheme launched in the country ? (IEnggS-2018)
1. To monetize gold holdings in the country 2. To increase export of gold from the country 3. To reduce India’s import bill 4. To meet the targets of reduction in fiscal deficit Answer Codes: (a) 1 and 4 only (b) 2 and 4 only (c) 2 and 3 only (d) 1 and 3 only
d
❓MCQ. What is/are the purpose/purposes of Government’s ‘Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme’ and ‘Gold Monetization Scheme’? (Asked in UPSC-Pre-2016)
1.To bring the idle gold lying with Indian households into the economy.
2. To promote FDI in the gold and jewellery sector.
3. To reduce India’s dependence on gold imports.
Answer codes:(a) 1 only (b) 2 and 3 (c) 1 and 3 (d) 1, 2 and 3
c
What are Indian (Sovereign) Gold Coins (2015)?
- It is one of the schemes introduced to reduce gold consumption/import due to Negative real interest rate.
- Issued by a Govt company “Metals and Minerals Trading Corporation of India”.
- Available in denominations of 5, 10, 20 grams.
- These gold coins are not fiat money because not issued under the powers of Coinage act, they don’t bear any markings indicating rupee denominations. Their markings only indicate gold grams.
- And since they’re not ‘fiat money’ → so, not ‘legal tenders’.
- Benefit? Trusted Purity → Easily resold → Easy liquidity, and Profit (if) gold price⏫.
What is GI Tag?
BoP → Current → Export → GI Tag
- A Geographical Indication (GI) is a sign used on products with specific geographical origin and unique qualities due to that origin.
E.g. Darjeeling tea from W.Bengal- It was the first to obtain GI tag from India.
- Benefit? GI tag adds premium quality to a product, helps fetching higher prices in the international market → better income for farmers and artisans.
GIs are governed under?
GIs are governed under:
- WTO’s Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights Agreement (TRIPS) and
- India’s Geographical Indication of Goods Act, 1999.
Once a product gets GI tag, it’s valid for 10 years (and can be renewed further.)
GI name cannot be used for products that are manufactured outside of the designated region, else party can be punished under the law
- International Nodal? UN’s specialized agency World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO), HQ @Geneva,Switzerland
- Indian Nodal? Commerce ministry → Controller General of Patents, Designs and Trademarks → Geographical Indications Registry in Chennai.
GI-Controversies?
- 2010: GI status given to the Basmati rice grown only in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and parts of western Uttar Pradesh and Jammu & Kashmir. Madhya Pradesh state government had been fighting to get GI-status for its Basmati rice as well, but 2018 rejected by GI Registry @Chennai.
- 2017-19: W.Bengal and Odisha were fighting to get GI for Rasagola, ultimately they are given separate GIs: ‘Banglar Rasogolla (2017)’ and ‘Odisha Rasagola (2019-July)’.
Guidelines for usage of GI logo?
‘Invaluable Treasures of Incredible India’ → Commerce Ministry’s logo for GI products to make them more attractive to foreign buyers.
2019-June: Commerce Ministry’s Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) issued guidelines for its usage:
- DPIIT’s prior permission required before using this logo.
- DPIIT will not charge any fees.
- Permission duration will be decided on case-to-case basis.
- DPIIT would not be responsible for the authenticity or quality of the products with these logos.
- Foreign GI products are not allowed to use India’s GI logo.
What are SEZs?
BoP → Current → Exports → SEZ
- Special Economic Zones (SEZ) is a specifically demarcated area of India which is deemed as foreign territory for the purpose of Tax laws and Trade laws.
- Thus, exempted from Excise / GST (Mfg), Customs Duty (import/export), Corporation Tax/ Income Tax (on profit) (OR)/ subjected to lower rate of taxes of Union and State Govts.
- This relief is for a specific time-period only, which is called “Tax holiday”
What is SEZ Sunset clause in Income Tax Act?
Income Tax Act (Section 10AA) provides for a tax-holiday for SEZ firms for a period of “X” years only.
Corona = Economists suggest this deadline should be extended to attract more foreign companies in India.
Benefits given to SEZ?
Its benefits and challenges?
- They get single window clearance for various import / export licenses / permissions
- Government will bear the cost of developing the roads, sewage, affluent treatment, weighing-packaging-labelling etc infrastructure within the SEZ.
- They are regulated under SEZ policy (2000) and Special Economic Zone Act, 2005. State Govt forwards the proposal to create SEZ → Union’s Commerce Ministry
approves. - 1965: Asia’s first SEZ was set up in Kandla, Gujarat (At that time it was called Export Processing Zone/EPZ). Currently we’ve 220+ SEZ in India.
- Benefit? More exports, employment, economic growth.
- Challenges? SEZ entrepreneurs use legal loopholes → Tax avoidance, Workers deprived of EPFO/ESIC/Maternity benefit. When entrepreneurs’ Tax holiday is over in one SEZ, they shutdown operation and move to another SEZ with new name/registration.
Agricultural and forest lands diverted to build SEZs → future challenges in food security, pollution control and climate change.