307 exam 1 Flashcards
descriptive analytics
what has happened?
ex: mean, max, min
predictive analytics
what could happen?
ex: regression, time series analysis
prescriptive analytics
what should we do?
ex: optimization, stimulation
scatter plot
can be used to show the relationship between two variables
correlation
used to measure the strength of the association of two variables
- correlation is only concerned with strength of the relationship
- no casual effect is implied with correlation
regression analysis
used to:
- predict the value of a dependent variable based on the value of at least on independent variable
- explain the impact of changes in an independent on the dependent variable
X and Y
X = ind. variable
Y = dependent variable
relationship between X and Y id described by a linear function
Linear vs. Curvilinear realtionships
linear = straight
curvilinear = curved
multiple regression
explores the relationship between two or more independent X variables and the dependent Y variable
positive curvilinear relationship
rises rapidly, but then levels off as time goes on
ex: age and maintenance of a vehicle
U shaped curvilinear relationship
as X increases. Y declines at first, but then begins to increase
ex: entrepreneurial activity and GDP per capita
exponential relationship
Y decreases very rapidly at first, but then slows down
ex: value of an automobile and its age
least squares method
determines the value of b0 and b1 that minimize the sum of the squared differences around the prediction line
regression analysis: relevant range
represents all values from the smallest to the largest X used in developing the regression model. When predicting Y for a given value of X, you cannot extrapolate beyond this range of X values
Measures of variation: SST
total sum of squares:
measure of variation of y values around their mean, predicted Y