3. Efficient Markets Flashcards
What are the four types of efficiency
Operational : minimal transaction costs
Allocations: funds allocated to most productive users
Informational: freely available and cheap
Pricing: prices fully and fairly reflect all relevant information
What can happen to a share price if good news is announced
Slow reaction
Anticipatory price movement
Over reaction followed by deflation
Persistent inefficiency
What makes a market efficienct
When prices instantly and fully reflect all relevant available information in an unbiased way
Over/undervalued stocks is not possible
Outperforming the market is not possible
What are the conditions needed for an efficient market
Lots of trading Homogenous product No transaction costs/ barriers to trade Free and available info Rational investors
What are the 3 levels of market efficiency
Weak - prices fully reflect info about past share movements
Semi strong - prices reflect all publicly available info
Strong - prices reflect all info public or private
HM plc has 200m shares in issue & the share price is £2.50 on OCT 10th
On Oct 12th HM plc wins a contract to build a bridge, their wealth is expected to increase by £20m. This is due to be announced in Oct 14th
What is the companies market cap ?
What will happen to the share price and when ?
What would be different in a strong market ?
£500m
Share price will increase to £2.60 on Oct 17th
In a strong market it would increase on the 14th
What are the efficient market anomalies
Return greater then risk taken
Timing effects
Small firms
Surges and bubbles