2.6 - Conflicting trade offs between objectives and policies Flashcards
Macroeconomic policies and objectives
Economic Growth vs. low and stable inflation
- Rapid economic growth can lead to inflationary pressures as demand outstrips supply.
> increase in demand for G/S may be greater than economy’s ability to produce those G/S - demand pull inflation
Low Unemployment vs. low and stable inflation
Policies to reduce unemployment, such as lowering interest rates, can increase inflation.
Economic Growth vs. Environmental Sustainability
Economic growth often increases pollution, negative externalities and the depletion of non-renewable resources. The higher the growth, the faster the depletion
Economic Growth and Inequality
During periods of high economic growth, the profits the owners of the factors of production receive are disproportionate to any increase in workers’ wages leading to greater inequality
Economic Growth and Balanced Budget
Economic growth driven by expansionary fiscal policy often requires a budget deficit
Economic Growth and Balancing the Current Account
Economic growth usually leads to higher incomes which leads to an increase in imports by households thereby worsening the current account balance - trade deficit?
Low Unemployment and Low Inflation
- The closer an economy moves to full employment the less workers will be available for hire and wage inflation will help increase overall inflation
- Policies to reduce unemployment, such as lowering interest rates, can increase inflation
Unemployment vs. Balanced Budget
Reducing unemployment may require government spending, leading to budget deficits.
The Short-run Phillips Curve
- Observes that there may be a trade-off between unemployment and inflation
- Rising inflation is accompanied by falling unemployment
- Rising unemployment is accompanied by falling inflation
> This trade-off makes it difficult for the government to achieve both low unemployment and low inflation
Policy Conflicts and Trade-offs
- Raising interest rates (contractionary monetary policy) eases demand-side inflationary pressure but raises the cost of borrowing for firms and slows down supply-side investment
- Tackling short-term inflation delays long-term supply-side growth
- An increase in government spending (expansionary fiscal policy) can bring about improvements on the supply-side of the economy in the long-run (LRAS)
- Conversely, it may cause a shortage in short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) as government spending causes excess demand in the economy, leading to inflation
- Increased environmental policies may lead to a fall in economic growth and lower LRAS
- Fossil fuel industries have traditionally enabled increases in LRAS
Phillips curve (short-run)
- A curve that shows the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the short run.
- The original downward-sloping Phillips Curve showed that there was a trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
The Long-run
Phillips Curve
- A vertical Phillips Curve.
- This shows that in the long-run there is no
trade-off between inflation and unemployment. - You cannot reduce
the unemployment rate without inflation increasing.
NAIRU
The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment. The rate of unemployment at which the inflation rate is stable – if it falls lower,
inflation begins to accelerate.