2.2 - Net trade Flashcards
Aggregate demand
What are the main influences on the net trade balance?
- real income
- exchange rates
- state of the world economy
- degree of protectionism
- non-price factors
Real Income
Real income refers to the income of individuals or nations adjusted for inflation and so reflects the purchasing power of the income
Impact of real income on net trade balance
- Domestic Income Increases: Higher real incomes typically lead to increased consumption, including imported goods, potentially worsening the trade balance/net trade decreases
> However, if an increase in real income is due to export-led growth then net trade will increase. - Foreign Income Increases: Higher real incomes abroad can boost demand for exports from other countries, improving the trade balance.
Impact of Exchange Rates on net trade balance
- Depreciation: A weaker domestic currency makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, potentially improving the trade balance.
- Appreciation: A stronger domestic currency makes exports more expensive and imports cheaper, potentially worsening the trade balance. (exports become less price competitive)
Impact of state of world economy on net trade balance
- Global Economic Growth: When the global economy is strong, demand for goods and services increases, benefiting exporting countries.
> Example: The global economic boom in the early 2000s increased demand for exports from emerging markets. - Global Recessions: During economic downturns, global demand drops, negatively affecting export-dependent countries
State of the World Economy
The overall health and trends of the global economy.
Impact of Degree of protectionism on net trade balance
- High Protectionism: Tariffs, quotas, and other trade barriers can reduce imports, potentially improving the trade balance but also risking retaliatory measures.
- Low Protectionism: More open trade policies can increase imports, potentially worsening the trade balance but promoting competition and efficiency.
Non-price factors
These include aspects other than price that affect competitiveness and therefore trade, such as quality, innovation, branding, and trade agreements.
Impact of non-price factors on net trade balance
- Quality and Innovation: High-quality, innovative products can maintain strong export performance despite price changes.
- Branding: Strong brand recognition can sustain demand for exports.
- Trade Agreements: Agreements can reduce barriers and enhance trade flows.