2.5.3 - Trade Cycle Flashcards
Boom
Part of trade cycle when rate of growth of real GDP is higher than long-term trend
Recession
Part of trade cycle when an economy suffers fall in output, investment, employment, confidence for at least 6 months (2 quarters)
Characteristics of a boom
Rising income, rising confidence, rising employment, rising wages, rising inflationary pressures, rising profits, rising trade deficit, accelerator effect
Characteristics of a recession
Falling income, falling confidence, falling employment, stagnant wages, falling inflationary pressure, falling profits, falling trade deficit, falling investment
Causes of recession
Recession in trading partner, higher interest rates, drop in confidence, fall in asset prices or credit supply
Long term effects of recession
Rising structural unemployment, low rates of investment, persistent budget deficits, falling real wages, inequality,
Legacy of recession
Hysteresis - permanent loss of national output, Creative destruction - economy bounces back, new businesses open