2.5.2, 2.5.3 the business cycle, output gaps Flashcards
draw the business cycle
- boom
- slowdown/ slump
- bust (recession)
- recovery
define a recession
two or more consecutive quarters of negative economic growth
what happens in a recession?
- low animal sprits
- high unemployment
- negative economic growth
*low price level (deflation/disinflation) - increased government budget deficit
what is a boom
part of the business cycle where real GDP is at it’s highest
what is a slump?
part of the business cycles where real GDP is decreasing
what is a recovery?
the part of a business cycle where real GDP is increasing
why is there a increase in the trend (average) GDP ?
increase in technological potential
what is the potential trend GDP?
in reference to actual GDP
actual show the flucations of real GDP around this trend
average GDP
what is an ouput gap?
the difference between the actual GDP and potential trend GDP
* negative ouput gap : resources not fully employed
* positive out put gap: over using resources (overworking hours ) this becomes unsustainable
show the positive and negative ouput gaps of the business cycle on a diagram
define potential trend GDP
the sustainable rate of GDP growth caused by improvements in productive capacity overtime
define negative output gap and positive gap
- negative: when actual GDP is below potnetial trend GDP
- postitive: when actual GDP is above potential trend GDP
show negative output gap on a necolassical AS AD diagram
Y1 is below Ye
* ye shows the long run potential GDP
what does the neoclassical model about out put gaps?
- in the short run: output gaps are possible
- in the long run: no ouput gaps are possible as it is believed all resoucres will be used efficently and we will be at LRAS
positive are only short run and are unsustainable
how can ouput gaps be shown on the keynesian LRAS ?
no ouput gap at full empoyment
* NO POSITIVE OUPUT GAP POSSIBLE
* can have a long run negative output gap
*
no SRAS