2.5.1 - 2.5.4 Flashcards
Economic cycle
Diagram to show economic growth
Boom, recession, slump, recovery
Boom
Optimum levels of spending and growth --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unstable growth Employment high Pay increases for workers Higher spending Unemployment lower Prices rise (demand-pull inflation) BofE increase interest rates to encourage saving and reduce spending (may slow growth rate) Abrupt end could be a recession (2007)
Soft landing
Bank of England increase interest rates to reduce growth
If this works then it is known as a soft landing
Recession
Two or more successive quarters of falling GDP
Phase of economic cycle where GDP is falling
Linked to rising unemployment and low business confidence
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Customers demand less
Businesses supply less
Fewer jobs
Less investment
Can lead to downward spiral
Stagflation
Combination of falling GDP and rising prices at comfortable rates
Social capital
Capital assets that are publicly owned
Eg. Schools, roads
Leading indicators
Falling confidence
Less investment
Share prices fall
House prices fall
Lagging indicators
Unemployment
Businesses adjust to falling customer spending
John Maynard Keynes
Animal spirits
State of mind of producers/consumers
Related to mood of customers
Hyman Minsky
People realise that they are unable to pay debts, bank loans, mortgages, etc.
Recovery
Technological breakthrough
Successful government action
Shift in consumer confidence
Dividends
Income received by the owners of businesses or shares
Leakages
Savings
Imports
Taxation
Injections
Income coming from other sources than the main injections
(I, G, X)
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Investment
Exports
Government spending
Aggregate demand
AD
Measures total demand from all sources of the economy
Capital growth
Productive assets, acquired by investment, which are expected to contribute in future
Aggregate supply curve
Diagram showing total quantities of output in the economy at different price levels
Supply constraints
Demand for scarce resources increases which forces prices upwards
Aggregate Supply
AS
Classical:
People will work for any wage if they want to work, Employment at 96%
(Looks like -I)
Keynesian:
Wages are “sticky” and do not fall below a certain point
People will not work for any wage
(Looks like -‘)
Philips:
As demand increases, jobs increase
Jobs increase, workers demand higher wages
As economy reaches full employment, workers demand more wages
(Include intermediate on graph)
Inflation
A rise in the general level of prices and fall in the purchasing power of money
Target is 2%
Deflation
When the rate of inflation becomes negative
Index numbers
Take data for a period of time every year and the index gives the percentage change from the base year
Weights
Allow us to adjust raw data to allow for the relative importance of items such as those items bought frequently in the case of a price index
Consumer price index
CPI
The main UK measures of inflation
Excludes mortgage payments and tax changes