2.5.1 & 2.5.2 Causes Of Growth & Output Gap Flashcards
Causes of economic growth
- increase in AD
- increase in the quantity/quality of factors of production (AS)
How does an increase in AD lead to economic growth?
- increases in the components of AD
- e.g an increase in investment.
- The size of the growth depends on the size of the multiplier & also on the shape of the AS curve
How does increase in AS lead to economic growth?
- increase in quantity or improvements in the quality of any of the factors of production e.g productivity growth or immigration
- This shifts the AS curve to the right
Difference between actual growth and potential growth
- actual growth is measured as an increase in real GDP
- potential growth is an increase in the capacity of the economy
Importance of international trade for economic growth
- some countries (e.g China) have generated economic growth through huge increases in the value of their exports (export led growth)
Distinction between actual growth rates and long term trends in growth rate
shown by changes in real GDP over time, these may be compared with changes in capacity over time or compared with trend or sustainable rate of growth
Negative output gaps
- long run capacity can be different to actual/current output
- if actual real GDP > potential real GDP = negative output gap
- this meaning the economy is operating with spare capacity and unemployment is likely to be relatively high
Positive output gaps explained
- in the short run, it is possible for actual real GP to be greater than potential real GDP
- the economy is operating at over-capacity and inflationary pressures are likely to be increasing
Positive output gap graphs
- the equilibrium level of national income (GDP) is more than long run potential output
- it is above the trend rate of GDP (boom)
- so output is positive
Negative output gap graphs
- the equilibrium level of national income (GDP) is less than long run potential output
- it is below the trend rate of GDP (slump)
- so output gap is negative
How to measure output gap?
- it’s difficult to estimate the size of the output gap for an economy as it involves estimating the economy’s maximum potential output level
AD diagram to show output gap graph
- can be used to show the size of the negative output gap
AS diagram to show output gap graphs
can be used to show the size of the negative output gap
Output gap
the difference between the actual level of GDP and its estimated potential level (level of spare capacity)
- usually expressed as a percentage of the level of potential output
What do Keynesian economists believe about output gaps?
They believe that a negative output gap can exist in the long run as well as the short run