2.5 external influences Flashcards
what does GDP stand for?
gross domestic product
what is GDP?
a measure of a country’s total output of goods and services over a period of time
how are GDP changes over time respresented?
the business cycle
what are the different descriptors for levels of gdp?
peak = high level of GDP
trough = low level of GDP
expansion = increase in GDP
contraction = decrease in GDP
stages in the business cycle:
-boom
-recession
-slump
-recovery
what is a boom?
high rates of economic growth and production
features of a boom:
-high profits
-low unemployment
-high inflation
-shortages in supply
-high confidence
the impact of low unemployment in a boom:
-customers’ disposable income increases leading to higher sales revenue
-recruitment and staff retention may become more challenging, businesses may need to pay higher wages
the impact of high confidence in a boom:
-businesses look to expand and maximise profit
-production levels are likely to be increased
the impact of high inflation in a boom:
-interest rates are likely to rise
-the risk of capital investment rises
what is a recession?
output starts to fall & growth declines
features of a recession:
-production declines as demand falls
-governments use policies to stimulate growth
-consumer/business confidence starts to fall
-high unemployment
the impact of high unemployment in a recession:
-customers have less disposable income and are likely to reduce spending
-businesses may find it relatively easy to recruit workers due to a larger pool of candidates
the impact of low confidence in a recession:
-businesses may delay spending decisions and focus on reducing risk
-production levels are likely to be reduced
-businesses will stockpile products
what is a slump?
a prolonged period of economic decline
features of a slump:
-high levels of unemployment
-high rates of business failure/ closure
-low interest rates
-low levels of spending and investment
impacts of high rates of business failure during a slump:
-businesses adopt a strategy of rationalisation
-redundancies, scale down of production and reduction in capacity.
-businesses reduce prices and focus on their most profitable product lines
what is recovery?
economy starts to pick up after a period of decline
what is the exchange rate?
the price of one currency expressed in terms of another
why are exchange rates important for businesses?
-important for businesses that import raw materials and components
-important for businesses that export their products
(a UK business will purchase a foreign currency in order to buy products and services from overseas)
why do exchange rates fluctuate?
-changing demand for a currency
-economic growth
-changes to interest rates
what happens if the pound increases in value against other currencies?
it strengthens
(one pound can buy MORE of the currency)
what happens if the pound decreases in value against other currencies?
it weakens
(one pound can buy less of the currency)
what is the impact on exporting businesses when the currency appreciates?
-sales are likely to fall as products become more expensive when compared to overseas competitors
-in order to remain competitive exporting businesses may need to lower prices and accept lower profit margins
what is the impact on importing businesses when the currency appreciates?
-costs are likely to fall as supplies from overseas become cheaper when compared to those domestically-produced
what is the impact on importing businesses when the currency depreciates?
-sales are likely to rise as products become cheaper when compared to overseas competitors
-businesses may choose to increase selling prices to increase profit margins
what is the impact on exporting businesses when the currency depreciates?
-costs are likely to rise as supplies from overseas become more expensive when compared to those domestically-produced
-businesses may seek domestic suppliers to reduce costs and maintain profit levels
what is inflation?
the general rise in prices in an economy over time
how is inflation measured?
inflation is measured by the consumer price index (CPI)
is low or high inflation more manageable for a business?
-low rate of inflation, as it can be managed by businesses
-a high rate of inflation will increase costs and reduce demand
what is the CPI?
it measures monthly changes in the prices of a range of goods and services and compares these changes to earlier periods, calculating the rate of inflation
what is deflation?
a decrease in the general price level of goods and services
what are the impacts of deflation?
-businesses may struggle to pay debts - assets may have to be sold to pay off debts
-low demand may lead to redundancies
what are the impacts of low inflation?
-businesses feel confident in a stable economic environment
-businesses may look to invest and grow
5 issues caused by inflation:
-increased costs
-higher repayments on loans
-consumers change spending habits
-international competitiveness reduces
-uncertainty
issues caused by inflation: increased costs
-workers often demand higher wages to compensate for the increase in the cost of living
-suppliers increase the cost of raw materials and components
-utilities become more expensive
-businesses may have to increase prices