2.3 Macroeconomic objectives Flashcards
What is unemployment
someone who is
- willing and able to work
- actively seeking for work
- unable to find work
and
- of working age (15 - 65)
What is the unemployment rate formula
number of unemployed/total labour force
x 100
What is the labour force
consists of everybody in work plus all people who are of working age but our of work and actively seeking employment
What factors does the labour force make up
employed + self employed + unemployed
What are four errors that make s difficult to measure unemployment
Hidden unemployment
Discouraged workers
underemployment
regional, ethnic, age and gender disparities
What are difficulties in measuring unemployment
the existence of hidden unemployment (those who have given up searching for a job)
part time staff who are not working full time
workers who are overqualified
the existence of underemployment
it is only an average and does not reflect who it is worse for
What are the consequences of unemployment
Loss of GDP
Loss of tax revenuee
Increased cost of unemployment benefits
loss of income for individuals
greater disparities in the distribution of income
What are the four types of unemployment
Frictional
Seasonal
Cyclical
Structural
What is frictional unemployment
short term or temporary, caused by moving between jobs, it is a natural unemployment and not vary alarming
What are possible policies to deal with frictional unemployment
lower unemployment benefits
improve the flow of information between employers and people looking for jobs
What is seasonal unemployment
some industries employ seasonal, constructing, tourism, agriculture
natural, not alarming
possible policies for seasonal unemployment
encourage people to take different jobs
lower unemployment benefits
improve flow of information between potential employers and job seekers
What is structural unemployment
caused by changes in the structure of the labour market or changes in the structure of the economy
changes in the demand for particular new skills - new technologies
changes in the geographical location of industries - relocating overseas
labour market rigidities - minimum wage, powerful trade unions, laws protecting workforce unwillingness of workers to accept lower wage rates
Draw a diagram to demonstrate structural unemployment
cheaper costs of labor, increasing automation in developed countries, demand for manufacturing workers decreases
(wage for manufacturing workers) wage goes down
Quantity of manufacturing workers goes down
Possible interventionist policies for structural unemployment
improve educational systems to train people to be more occupationally flexible
improve occupational mobility by spending on adult retraining programs so that structurally unemployed can gain new skills to match available jobs
giving subsidies to provide trainers or to relocate
support apprenticeship programs for workers to acquire skills
however,
- high opportunity cost
- only effective in the long run
What are market based policies that could deal with structural unemployment
- reduce unemployment benefits to encourage workers to accept available jobs even if wages are lower
- increasing labour market flexibility through labour market deregulation - reducing restrictions for businesses to hire and fire workers, removing minimum wage laws, reducing power of trade unions and increasing flexibility in the labour market, will encourage businesses to take on mroe workers
however,
- disempower workers and empower businesses - can lead to exploitation of workers and worsening of working conditions
- can lead to growing inequity in the economy
What are natural types of unemployment
Frictional, seasonal and structural
they exist even when the labour market is in equilibrium - exists even when the economy is at full employment on LRAS and producing full employment level of output
What is cyclical unemployment
also known as demand deficient
caused by a fall in AD fro G and S in the economy and hence a fall in aggregate demand for labour (AD) as a result of firms cutting back on production
occurs when economic growth slows frown or when economy experiences recession
occurs because businesses are mroe likely to fire workers in times of recession rather than cut their wages, because of downward inflexibility of wages due to minimum wage laws or power trade unions
What is stagflation
when an economy experiences both high unemployment and high inflation
can be caused by a fall in short run aggregate supply
What are solutions to cyclical unemployment
use fiscal pooches to increase AD - lower taxes and increase government spending
use monetary policy to increase AD - lower interest rates and increase money supply
however
high opportunity cost and worsen government budget deficit
possible crowding out, government might borrow to finance budget deficit
there is a time lag between implementing policy and seeing the unemployment fall
could be inflationary
in practice it is no alway easy to identify types of unemployment
What is disequilibrium unemployment
occurs when there is a fall in demand for labour in the economy, but sticky wages prevent the market from reaching equilibrium
What are the economic consequences of unemployment
loss of GDP
loss of tax revenue
increased cost of unemployment benefits
loss of income for individuals
greater disparities in the distribution of income
Possible personal and social consequences of unemployment
increased crime rates
increased stress levels
increased indebtedness
homelessness
family breakdown
What is inflation
a sustained increase in the average price level of an economy
What is deflation
a negative rate of inflation when the average price level in an economy decreases
there is both good and bad deflation
What is disinflation
the slowing down of inflation, prices are still rising but at a slower pace
How is inflation and deflation measured
Using a consumer price index (CPI) - a weighted index that measures the changes in prices of a basket of goods and services consumed by the average household
items that take up a larger proportion of income are given a higher weight
What are the challenges involved in measuring/calculating the inflation rate
differences in income distribution (lower incomes spend a larger proportion of income)
changes in consumption patterns (typical goods need to be reviewed or removed at times)
selection of goods (different typical household goods)
changes in quality over time (inflation is only concerned with changes in prices, but there is also quality)
What is a producer price index PPI
focuses more on producers
measures the changes in the prices of factors of production
may be useful in predicting futuree inflation because if prices of Fops rise, cost of production will rise, higher costs
the basket for measuring PPI may include prices of raw materials like crude oil and copper, prices of components ad semi finished goods sold to manufacturers
What are the consequences of inflation
- greater uncertainty ( affects investors negatively, causes anxiety for workers and employers)
- redistributive effects (hits lower income individuals and households harder than higher income individuals and households, benefits borrowers/debtors vs harm savers)
- loss of purchasing power (same amount of income can now buy fewer G and S)
- less savings (uncertainty + loss of purchasing power = less likely to save)
- damage to export competitiveness
What is a stable inflation rate
2 - 4%
What is good deflation
caused by improvements in technology and more efficient methods of production and increased productivity, increases in SRAS and LRAS
What is bad deflation
caused by falls in AD
What are the possible consequences of deflation
high levels of cyclical unemployment - delaying purchases , deferred consumption, lower consumption spending and lower AD, lots of unsold stock, business lay off workers
bankruptcies - lots of businesses may shut down due to decreases AD and making huge losses or not being able to pay back their debts - decreased business confidence and lower investment
effects on debtors - homeowners who have mortgages will see the value of their houses fall relative to the value of their debts - decreased consumer confidence
How are demand pull inflation caused
by changes in the determinants of AD, resulting in an increase in AD
What is demand pull inflation
inflation caused by an increase in AD
potentially in C I G or (X - M)
What is the neoclassical view of inflation
- an increase in AD will always raise the average price level and cause demand pull inflation
because neoclassical economists believe that the economy will adjust itself to reach full employment of output
What do the Keynesian believe of demand pull inflation
they only believe it will happen if the economy is at full employment
not all increases in AD will cause demand pull inflation
it is only when the economy is at full employment producing Yfe will any further increases in AD will cause demand pull inflation
What policies can deal with demand pull inflation
contractionary/ deflationary demand side policies - since it is caused by increases in AD government will use policies to lower AD
What two sorts of policies could deal with demand pull inflation
contractionary monetary policy - central bank will raise interest rates and reduce the money supply
deflationary fiscal policy - will raise direct and indirect taxes and lower government spending (G)
What are the disadvantages of the policies that deal with demand pull inflation
raising taxes and cutting government spending is very politically unpopular - may upset voting population
government budget cuts are not easy because of the governments commitments to the public
long time lags involved in making changes to fiscal policy, making government budget cuts and seeing effects fo these cuts on inflation
higher interest rates will hurt borrows and people who have taken out loans and mortgages
deflationary policies may deal with inflation, but cause higher unemployment and slow down economic growth
What policy is often deemed more effective for managing AD
nowadays monetary police is viewed as more effect in managing AD and fighting inflation this is because central banks are often independent of the government and do not need to worry about being re-elected
What is cost push inflation
inflation caused by an increase in the costs of factors of production and results in a decrease in SRAS
What causes cost push inflation
increases in cost of labour (wage push inflation)
increases in costs of imported capital and raw materials
fall in the value of a country currency as imports become more expensive
Draw demand pull inflation
look kognity
draw cost push inflation
look kognity
What happens during an inflationary spiral
demand pull inflation leads to a higher average price level, which means the costs of production will rise too as workers demand higher wages
these rises in costs or production will then cause cost push inflation causing average price level to rise even further (SRAS - SRAS1)
now with higher wages, workers will spend more causing even more demand pull inflation
cycle continues
govnermnet usually needs to interfers