2.2- Finance Planning Flashcards
What is a sales forecast?
A sales forecast estimates the volume or value of future sales using market research or past sales data.
How do sales forecasts avoid cash flow problems?
- can help the business manage their production, staff and financing needs more effectively.
- can help a business to write the income part of the cash flow forecast.
What are the factors affecting sales forecasts?
- Consumer trends.
- Economic variables.
- Actions of competitors.
How do consumer trends affect sales forecasts?
- Documents like reports that Mintel produce can help a business to identify an upcoming trend.
- Fashion shows and trade fairs are also ways that a business can research new popular products.
How do economic variables affect sales forecasts?
Economic variables such as interest rates, inflation, unemployment rates and GDP can all affect how a business plans its sales forecast.
For example some sales contracts may not be renewed due to inflation.
The UK economy is now in the recovery phase, so low cost retailers like Poundland’s may need to forecast lower sales.
How do actions of competitors affect sales forecasts?
If a business has products that gave declining sales, perhaps because of a competitors superior product, they may decide to produce or sell less of those products.
What are the difficulties of sales forecasting?
- No guarantees
- Dynamic markets
- Short term thinking
How might no guarantees affect a sales forecast?
- It could affect it negatively.
A sales forecast has no guarantees that sales will meet the levels predicted.
This could be due to any number of uncertain factors e.g. impact of terrorism on tourism in some countries.
How might short term thinking affect a sales forecast?
A sales forecast is useful for a business which can produce and sell products or services in a one year period.
For some businesses e.g. hotels, a one year forecast will not be useful for a multi-billion dollar contracts over a longer time period.
How do sales forecasts free up management time?
- A well constructed forecast can allow the business owners to spend more time developing their business rathe than responding to day to day development in sales and marketing.
- Managers will have more time to focus on the rest of the business.
How does production capacity affect sales forecast?
- The business can use the forecast to estimate if they need to increase or decrease production, this will help them to see if they have enough production capacity to deal with expected demand.
- The business may need to buy or rent new premises if there is a huge increase in sales forecast.
How does sales forecast allow businesses to employ more workers?
- If the business has high sales forecast for a new product it may need to take on new employees to cope with the new levels of demand.
- Failure to meet required staffing levels could result in poor reviews in customer service and this may have an impact on future sales.
How do sales forecast start promotional activity?
- If sales are forecast to be very low and the profit is not in decline phase of the produce lifestyle, then the business may decide to try and increase sales through promotion and marketing.
- Sales forecasts can also direct a business to a specific season or month when promotion activity would be likely to net the most sales revenue e.g. Christmas.
Sales volume formula
Sales volume = sales revenue/selling price
Sales revenue formula
Sales revenue = selling price x sales volume
What are fixed costs?
Fixed costs are costs that don’t vary with the level of output e.g. rent
What are variable costs?
Variable costs are costs that do bath with the level of output e.g. fuel, cost of stock sold, wages