2.1 Supply Chain Dynamics Flashcards
Impact of Bullwhip Effect on Supply Chain Performance
→ Profit of the SC decreases, as the higher (required) level of product availability causes costs to increase
→ (Growing) lack of communication between supplier and manufacturer
Cause-Effect Relationships of Bullwhip Effect
→ Impact of the Bullwhip Effect:
Increase in demand fluctuations when each stage plans individually (sequential/uncoordinated planning)
Incentive Obstacles - Local Optimization
Decisions are based on maximizing profits of only a single stage, without considering overall SC profits
Incentive Obstacles - Sales Force Incentives
Incentive systems, which reward sell-in (quantity sold to distributers/retailers), not sell-through (quantity sold
to final customers), lead to order variability being larger than customer demand variability
Information-Processing Obstacles
- Forecasting based on orders and not customer demand
- Lack of Information Sharing
▪ Short-term sales promotions can cause retailers to increases their order quantity
▪ Manufacturers may interpret this as a permanent increase in demand
▪ The lack of information results in a high inventory level
Operational Obstacles - Ordering in Large Lots
Orders in large lots, e.g., due to high fixed costs or quantity discounts for the batch size
Operational Obstacles - Large Replenishment Lead Times
If demand is overestimated (e.g., by a random increase), this translates into a higher forecast and order
quantity. This distortion is magnified if replenishment lead times between stages are long
Operational Obstacles - Rationing and Shortage Gaming
▪ Where capacity is limited, production quantities are often allocated to retailers in proportion to their order quantities. This creates an incentive for retailers to increase their order quantity in order to receive more supply.
▪ The manufacturer could interpret this increase as an increase in demand, even though customer demands are unchanged
Operational Obstacles - Example: Impact of ordering in large lots
→ By bundling the demand to larger lots, the variability increases
Pricing Obstacles - Lot-Size-Based Quantity Discounts
Discounts based on lot size increase the lot size of orders, which in turn magnify the bullwhip effect.
Pricing Obstacles - Price Fluctuations
Trade discounts (e.g., price promotions) by the manufacturer result in forward buying by retailers, which order large lots during the discounting period to cover future demand. The retailer only places very small orders after the promotion period.
Pricing Obstacles - Example: Promotion (Price Reduction by Manufacturer)
→ During the promotion, order lot sizes increase. After the promotion they decrease to the normal level.
Therefore, variability increases.
Behavioral Obstacles
- Local Points of View
- Different stages blame one another for fluctuations: SC members become enemies rather than partners
- No stage of the SC learns from its actions: The consequences from its actions only become visible in other SC stages.
- A lack of trust leads to opportunistic behavior- Information is not shared or ignored