206 Flashcards
Corp finance 3 key words
what to invest in
how to fund it
how to manage it
investing is all about
budgeting what to invest it
how to fund it is about
raising cap with d/e
how to manage it is about
managing CA/CL
agency issues is when
principles (stockholders) and agents (managers) interests not aligned
what causes agency issues
sep of control and ownership
agency costs are
losses to shareholders wealth
mitigate agency issues by
external audits, pay reviews
TVM is not
linear
CAGR
compound annual growth rate
What is CAGR?
investments annual growth rate over a given period
For NPV what is the minimum price sell
NPV not including initial cost
for NPV, a higher r means
lower NPV and higher risk
What does a flat term structure mean?
r constant
advantages of NPV (2)
- includes TVM
- looks at all cash flows
IRR assumes
all future CFs are reinvested at IRR
how to work out the inflection point of 2 projects
A-B for each CF (or B-A)
IRR advantages
easy
IRR disadvantages (5)
doesn’t account for TVM
doesn’t distinguish financing vs investment
might not exist/ might have multiple
assumes term structure is flat
size/scale/timing of mutually exclusive
IRR rules for investing
if -CFS front loaded invest if IRR>r
if -CFS back loaded invest if IRR<r
investment vs financing projects
investment
- more conventional/traditional
- buy now, generate CFS
financing
- less conventional
-receive loan today, pay later
-already set up
investment vs financing projects
investment
- more conventional/traditional
- buy now, generate CFS
financing
- less conventional
-receive loan today, pay later
-already set up
A higher IRR means
more return, more efficient
What’s scaling?
scaling up the more efficient project
Modified IRR 3)
Discounting
Reinvestment
Combination
Discounting MIRR
discount -Cfs back to 0 and = to Initial cost
Reinvestment MIRR
put all cfs (not CF0) to end of project
Combination MIRR
discount -Cfs back to 0 and = to ICost and pt all cfs not CF0 forward to end
Independent projects
Choose any
Mutually exclusive
rank/choose 1
When does NPV and IRR not give the same decision?
non-conventional CF
mutually exclusive where IC and timing of CFs are VERY different
Payback period advantages
easy
favors liquidity
disadvantages of the payback period
subjective
bias towards higher CFs early on
ignores some CFs and TVM
NPV could be -
Profitability index
ratio between generation of Cfs vs generation of cost
Advantages of PIndex
when initial investment is limited
easy
correct if independent
accounts TVM
Disadv of PIndex
problems with mutually exclusive
ignores higher NPV
Capital budgeting decision is the
investment in NCA
3 key parameters of FCFs
size, timing, risk
finance vs accounting cfs
Finance
- valuing a CFs
- what is it, timing, risk
-where are we going?
Act
- what happened, where are we now?
- place to start
Revenues, Costs and Depreciation contribute (+/-) to CFs
+-+
$1 increase in x (inc/decr) CF
inc r, inc cf
inc c, decr cf
incr dep, incr cf
Depreciation is not
a real CF
Depreciation is a ___ because
tax shelter because it reduces taxable income
EBT
Earning before tax
R-FC-FC-Dep
Tax
EBT x TR
EAT
EBT- Tax
OCF
EAT + dip
NWC
cash to run day-to-day
not consumed but employed
increase in WC is an
outflow because it is tied up and cannot be used anywhere else and does not make any returns
NWC is in
inventory on books
Income tax is a
cash outflow
Book value
is how much you can sell for from IRR
a positive externality is a
synergy and increases CF of the project
a negative externality is a
erosion and decreases CF of the project
change in NWC
NWC yesterday - NWX today
nominal
actually generated without impact of inflation
real
Cfs with adjustment for inflation
inflation
increasing prices in economy, when basket of goods (CPI) increases
What’s wrong with mutually exclusive projects with different lives?
NPV may not be accurate as to where the big CFs fall
Ways to even out project lives
Lowest common multiple life
NPV perpetuity
Equivalent Annual Annuity
LCM life
extend/replicate out to lowest common life
NPV perpetuity assumes
assumes both chains of replacement continues forever
EAA, EAC, EAV
Equivalent annual annuity, equivalent annual costs, equivalent annual value
PVIFA
PV interest factor annuity just short version of the annuits of CFS
Do you want higher/lower EAV, or EAC?
high EAV, low EAC
LCM, Perp, EAA rules have identical returns and diff
identical, all 3 give the same
diff, NPV perp is best
NPV perp and LCM give diff and EAA not appropriate
2 types of uncertainty
Direct
- binary
- diffuse
Indirect
Direct uncertainty-binary, diffuse
binary is competition investment
diffuse, consumer demand or cost of inflation
indirect
financial markets/access to cap
Sensitivity analysis
effect on NPV while changing one variable and holding the others constant
Sensitivity analysis
effect on NPV while changing one variable and holding the others constant
a changing variable for sensitivity analysis could be
market size
Scenario analysis
effect on NPV of a particular combination of assumptions
Accounting break even
sales which net profit=0
Finc break even
sales when NPV=0
Accounting vs finc break-even point for NPV
accounting NPV=(-)
finance NPV=0
finc break-even IRR
= r required
marginal cost
cost to produce 1 more unit
marginal cost is the same as
variable cost
what does the monte carlo simulation do?
models real-world uncertainty
steps of monte carlo simulation
-est cf that could occur (from given distrib and og CF) then use that to calc NPV and it does this 100 times then models them to see the sitribution of what the NPV could look like
financial option
owner has the right but not the obligation to buy something in the future for the price set today
e.g having the option to wait and invest when CFs get bigger
Real options
opportunities to vary the nature or longevity of the project
expand, abandon, delay
real options analysis disadvantages
complicated and complex to communicate with managers/shareholders
lots of theories/assumptions
could increase agency problems
decision trees are good because
they are graphical, so easy to understand
Total value of assets is
current assets + fixed assets (tang and intangible)
Total value of firm to investors
current liabilities, long-term debt, shareholders equity
Capital structure is made up of?
debt, equity
Goal of capital structure mix is to find the mixture that
minimizes WACC, maximizes firm value
A=
E+L
Value of a firm
D+E
Accounting vs finc approach for valuing a firm
acct:
on a ledge D+E=Value
finc:
V=PV of all CFs
Business risk
possibility profits could be lower
equity risk arising from firms operating activities
business risk does not inc
financing effect
business risk is influenced by
numerous factors (competition, demand, govt policy)
financial risk
equity risk from financial policy (cap structure)
financial risk means and a
additional risk on shareholders as a result of financial leverage
financial risk depends only on
type of securities issued
financial leverage
use of debt
Advantages of leverage
- higher return on equity
-higher variability in return equity
-increases opportunities
Net income
EBIT-Interest