2. Economic developments Flashcards
Arguements for devaluation?
- It would support the value of the pound and prevent inflation
- Solves the balance of payments problem
- Discourages imports
- Encourages exports
Arguements against devaluation?
- Make the UK look weaker across the world
- Peoples wages would have less purchase power
- Eventually leads to strike action
State of economy and budget deficit
- Labour inherited £800 million deficit
- ER in 1964, $2.80 to the £, too high but Wilson desperate not to be seen as the party of devaluation.
Arguements for deflation
- support value of pound
- stop inflation
Arguements against deflation
- old “stop-go” approach Labour determined to break away from
- fears it would stop labour meeting manifesto commitments = extra spending on welfare and tech.
Why was the Department of Economic Affairs created?
- modernise economy
- resolve economic problems
- avoid devaluation
- aim = secure restraint needed to prevent inflation rising which gov would then need to stop w/ controls.
Who led the DEA?
George Brown
Why did the DEA fail?
- overlapped with the Treasury and role of Chancellor, Callaghan didn’t know who to listen to.
- Brown – impulsive and lacked consistency (drink problem). Came up with National Plan – created in unison with trade unions and industry but did not have support of united government.
- some blames anti-Labour civil servents, felt BoE underminded browns efforts - refused to pass over documents + tapped Browns phone
Prices and incomes policy aim?
- to keep down inflation, gov intervention to set limits on prices and call for wage restraint in negotiations between unions and employers.
- alternative to DEA failure
What came frrom the prices and incomes policy?
Prices and incomes Board 1966 - to impliment it.
Key events led from inflationary policies to decision to devaluate
Sterling crisis in 1966 – due in part to strike by National Union of Seamen
- 1967 – aug national dockers strike affected BoP
- 1967 - war outbreak in middle east affected oil supplies
“pound in your pocket” speech
= Nov 1967 – decision to devalue: pound dropped by 14% to $2.40,
Policies along with devalution
- defence cuts
- introduced hire purchase restrictions
- higher IR
= deflationary pressures
Devaluation positives
- Improved Trade Balance
- Boost to Exports
- Increased Competitiveness
- Support for Industrial Modernization
- Potential Boost to Tourism
Devaluation weaknesses
- Initial Inflationary Pressures
- Political Backlash - tried so hard to aviod it, damaged credability.
- Effected EEC application = rejection
- Criticism and Perceived Economic Weakness
- Impact on Standard of Living - worsened living standards
- Increased Costs for Foreign Travel