2 09.10.-23.10 Strategic Positioning. Environment Flashcards
Layers of the business environment
- The organisation
- Markets and Competitors
- Industry (or sector)
- The macro-environment
The PESTEL framework categorises environmental factors into six key types:
- Political
- Economic
- Social
- Technological
- Ecological
- Legal
What PESTEL helps with?
PESTEL helps to provide a list of potentially important issues influencing strategy. It is important to assess the impact of each factor.
What belongs to Political factors:
The role of the state e.g. as an owner, customer or supplier of businesses. Other political factors include government policies, taxation changes, foreign trade regulations, political risk in foreign markets, changes in trade blocks (e.g. expansion of EU).
What belongs to Economic factors:
The role of macro-economic factors. This includes business cycles, interest rates, personal disposable income, exchange rates, unemployment rates, differential growth rates around the world.
What belongs to Social factors
Including changing cultures and demographics. Examples are the ageing population in Western societies, income distribution, lifestyle changes, consumerism, changes in culture and fashion.
What belongs to Technological factors:
New discoveries and technology developments. Examples include developments on the internet, nano-technology or the rise of new composite materials.
What belongs to Ecological factors:
This refers to ‘green’ environmental issues, such as pollution waste and climate change. Examples are environmental protection regulations, energy problems, global warming, waste disposal and re-cycling.
What belongs to Legal factors:
Legislative and regulatory constraints or changes. Examples are IPR, competition law, health and safety law, employment law, liberalisation of trade law.
What are Key drivers for change?
This are the environmental factors likely to have a high impact on the success or failure of strategy.
Typically How Key drivers vary?
Typically, key drivers vary by industry or market.
Give an example of Key drivers change
For example, retailers are concerned with social changes and customer behaviour which have driven a move to ‘out of town’ shopping. Personal disposable income also drives demand for retailers.
Name Three concepts are useful for focusing on change while at the same time avoiding too much detail:
- Megatrends
- Inflexion Points
- Weak signals
Explain what are Megatrends
Megatrends – large-scale changes that are slow to form but influence many other activities over decades to come. Examples include ageing populations and increase economic growth in Asia. F.E. f.e. in Asia are a lot of young people but what to do to be able to finance all their rents in future. F.e. digitalisation is a megatrend
Explain what are Inflexion points
Inflexion points – when trends shift sharply upwards or downwards. E.g., sub-Saharan Africa may have reached an inflexion point after decades of stagnation (and may embark on a period of rapid growth). Also sometimes called “Tipping Points”
Explain what are Weak signals
Weak signals – advanced signs of future trends that may help to identify inflexion points – often unstructured and fragmented bits of information. E.g., mortgage failures in California in 2007 were a weak signal for the financial crisis that hit the global economy in 2008.
How to use PESTEL:
- Apply selectively – identify specific factors which impact on the industry, market and organisation in question.
- Identify factors which are important currently but also consider which will become more important in the next few years.
- Use data to support the points and analyse trends using up-to-date information.
- Identify opportunities and threats – the main point of the exercise!
What are Scenarios?
Scenarios are plausible views of how the environment of an organisation might develop in the future based on key drivers of change about which there is a high level of uncertainty.
Scenarios typically:
- Build on PESTEL analysis and key drivers of change.
- Offer more than a single view. An organisation will typically develop a few alternative scenarios (2–4) to explore and evaluate future strategic options.
- The point is not to predict, but to encourage managers to be alert to a range of possible futures. Effective scenario-building can help build strategies that are robust in the face of environmental change.
- Scenario analysis is used in industries with long planning horizons, for example the oil industry or airlines industry.
Name 5 basic steps that are often followed to carry out scenario analyses
- Identify the most relevant scope of the study – the relevant product/market and time span.
- Identify key drivers of change – PESTEL factors which will have the most impact in the future but which have uncertain outcomes and are mutually independent.
- For each key driver select opposing outcomes where each leads to very different consequences.
- Develop scenario ‘stories’. That is, coherent and plausible descriptions of the environment that result from opposing outcomes.
- Identify the impact of each scenario on the organisation and evaluate future strategies in the light of the anticipated scenarios.
- Establish early warning systems. Identify indicators that might give an early warning of the way the environment is changing and monitor such indicators.
What does Scenario Cube suggest?
The scenario cube suggests two additional criteria are relevant: uncertainty, in order to make different scenarios worthwhile; and mutual independence, so that the drivers are capable of producing significantly divergent or opposing outcomes.
What is an industry?
An industry is a group of firms producing products and services that are essentially the same. For example, the automobile industry and the airline industry. (look from companies’ side)
What is a market?
A market is a group of customers for specific products or services that are essentially the same (e.g. the market for luxury cars in Germany). (Look from customer side)
What is a sector?
A sector is a broad industry group (or a group of markets) especially in the public sector (e.g. the health sector). (look from companies’ side)