17 - Cost of Capital : Advanced Topics Flashcards
weighted average cost of capital
Top-down (i.e., external or macro) factors include:
Capital availability.
Market conditions.
Legal and regulatory considerations, country risk.
Tax jurisdiction.
Bottom-up (i.e., company-specific) factors that affect the cost of capital include:
Business or operating risk.
Asset nature and liquidity.
Financial strength and profitability.
Security features.
Publicly Traded Debt - Estimating Cost of Debt
If the company’s debt is publicly traded, the yield to maturity for the longest maturity straight debt outstanding is generally the best estimate of the cost of debt.
Non-Traded/Thinly Traded - Estimating Cost of Debt
If the company’s debt is not traded or is thinly traded, we can use matrix pricing to consider the yields on traded securities with the same maturity and credit ratings.
If the debt is not credit rated, then financial ratios of the company such as interest coverage (IC) ratio or financial leverage (D/E) ratio may be used to infer a credit rating for that debt.
Leases—and specifically, finance (i.e., capital) leases—can be used to estimate the cost of borrowing
rate implicit in the lease (RIIL)
implied cost of capital in a lease
rate implicit in the lease (RIIL) can be estimated as the IRR of
PV of lease payments + PV of residual value = Fair value of leased asset + Lessor’s initial direct cost
incremental borrowing rate (IBR)
the rate on a new secured loan over the same term
country risk rating (CRR)
reflects risks related to economic conditions, political stability, exchange rate risk, and the level of capital market development
Country Risk Premium
The excess of the median interest rate for that country relative to the benchmark country rate determines the country risk premium
The required return on equity security i can be calculated as:
two types of estimates of the equity risk premium
historical estimates and forward-looking estimates.
Historical Estimates of the Equity Risk Premium
consists of the difference between the historical mean return for a broad-based equity market index, and a risk-free rate over the same period.
A weakness of the historical approach Historical Estimates of the Equity Risk Premium
assumption that the mean and variance of the returns are constant over time - equity risk premium actually appears to be countercyclical—it is low during good times and high during bad times
may suffer from survivorship bias
Forward Looking Estimates of the Equity Risk Premium
use current information and expectations concerning economic and financial variables
There are three main categories of forward-looking estimates
survey-based estimates,
dividend discount model estimates, and
estimates from macroeconomic modeling.