14: Risk Management Flashcards
Define risk
The ability to quantify the chance of something happening, perhaps using past data as a guide
Define uncertainty
The inability to predict the outcome from an activity due to a lack of information
How can risk be categorised
Downside risk (pure risk): the possibility that the outcome will be worse than expected I.e. somethitn will go wrong
Upside risk (speculative risk or opportunity): the possibility that something could go better than expected I.e. a best case scenario
What is risk management
The process of identifying and assessing risks and the development, implementation and monitoring of a strategy to respond to those risks.
What are considerations for risk management ?
- Profit potential vs risk
- stakeholders each have own appetite for risk
- risk must be balanced against all factors, as seen in corporate governance rules
What is the risk management process?
1.Establish risk management group and set goals
2. Identify risk areas
3. Understand and assess scale of risk
4. Develop risk response strategy
5. Implement strategy and allocate resources
6. Implementation and monitoring of controls
7. Review and refine process, and repeat
What is a risk register?
Recordings of risk, mitigations in place and planned responses.
Recording included:
- description
-nature
-parties affected
-likelihood/jmpaxt
- tolerance/appetite
- treatment/control
- potential action
What are the four ways of expressing risk appetite
Defenders - prefer low risk, secure markets, tested solutions
Prospectors - prefer results, entrepreneurial and pro-active (happy to take risks)
Analysers - enjoy a core of stable products and markets as a source of earnings. Consider moving to new market, follow change but not initiate.
Reactors - no consistently defined strategy but somehow muddle through, oblivious to risk
What are some influences on risk appetite
Expectations of shareholders
Organisational attitudes
Regulatory framework
Nature of ownership
When identifying risks what should we consider?
- broad theories of internal/external environment and changes in them e.g. pestel/porters five forces
- activities and process of org
- culture within org
- potential for unexpected outside events
How can entity risks can be classified/categorised? 5
Strategic risk - long term objectives, potential variability of returns as a result of strategy.
Operational risk - issues from day to day activities
Hazard risk - exposure to natural events, actions of employees, disastrous events
Financial risk - hearing, exposure to credit, liquidity, interest/exchange rates etc
Compliance risk - potential that org fails to comply with laws or regulations
Risk analysis matrix
P156 book
Trade off between frequency/likelihood and impact/severity
Loss of staff
Loss of Customers
based on their level
Risk evaluation and addressing risk matrix
Same axis
Based on actions you take e.g. control, abandon, retain/accept, transfer
How can risk be transferred
Insurance
Financial hedging
Pass risk up or down supply risk
Seeking a joint venture to share risk
How can risk be reduced
Prefent
Detect
Correct
Direct