1.3 Fisher Model Flashcards

1
Q

What are the elements of the Fisher model?

A
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2
Q

How do we design an indifference curve diagram?

A
  • Trade-off between consumption in period 0 and period 1.
  • The curve shows the values of c0 and c1 that the individual is indifferent between.
  • Slope of the curve, the MRS of c1 for c0 shows how many units of c1 an individual is willing to trade off for units of c0 at a given utility level.
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3
Q

What characteristics do the utility curves have? How do we know this?

A

MRS is always negative: you must sacrifice units of c1 to be able to consume c0, there is a budget restriction between the two.

MRS falls in absolute value, left to right: diminishing marginal returns

Array of indifference curves

Moving to the upper-RHS corner = higher utility level

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4
Q

How can we illustrate different investment preferences? How would we show a more impatient investor?

A
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5
Q

Different points on the models and different preferences

A
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6
Q

Draw a Fisher model diagram for the example

A
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7
Q

For the example, assume Mark wishes to invest in A, B, and part of C; Lucy wishes to invest in A and part of B. What do their utility curves look like?

A
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8
Q

What happens if there is no capital market?

A

Each investor want to invest in projects that are tangential between their utility curve and the investment curve (transformation curve).

They invest in all projects with a higher return than their time preference rate (e.g. willingness to trade consumption today for consumption tomorrow).

Time preferences vary → disagreement on which projects to undertake. Decision on the “optimal” investment programme cannot be separate from individual consumption preferences.

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9
Q

What does a capital market look like? (model)

A
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10
Q

What does the line represent in the capital market model?

A

The sloping line is the present value line of all cashflows discounted or compounded.

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11
Q

What is the slope in capital market model?

A

The slope is -(1 + r)

where: r is the interest rate, E is the maximum consumption in period 0.

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12
Q

What do alpha, beta, and gamma represent here?

A

Alpha = level of income in years 0 and 1

A shift to Beta = investing in markets to delay year 0 consumption to year 1

A shift to Gamma = borrowing money and spending in year 0

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13
Q

What does the present value line represent?

A

All cashflow and consumption possibilities with an equal present value

The set of all investment and financing possibilities of all investors in a perfect capital market

Perfection - to be able to borrow and lend at the same interest rate r, and to find a counter-party at any point on the line.

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14
Q

How can you move alone the present value line? What movements are associated with which actions?

A

Move along the line by borrowing or investing at interest rate r.

Investing → compounding the interest → moving to the left and upwards

Borrowing → discounting the interest → moving to the right and downwards

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15
Q

How would they invest with a capital market?

A

Invest on the projects where the rate of return is equal to or greater than the capital market interest rate.

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16
Q

Assume interest rate in CM is 40%, construct a complete Fisher model diagram

A
17
Q

What is the Fisher separation theorem?

A

“In the presence of a perfect and complete capital market, investment decisions can be separated from consumption preferences (decisions).”

18
Q

Implications of the Fisher separation theorem

A

Optimal investment programme is the same for all individuals - you invest in projects with a higher return than the market, then individuals adjust using the capital markets.

Shareholder unanimity achieved: it can be agreed that the investment that achieve a higher return that the market (NPV>0) should be undertaken.

Maximising shareholder value.

Once shareholder value is maximised, capital markets can be used to meet investor consumption preferences.

19
Q

Are Fisher models useful or unrealistic?

A
  • Unrealistic assumptions.
  • Like a perfect vacuum.

But:

  • Simplification allows us to think about key issues and empirical generalisations.
  • Generalisations are approximations to real phenomena.
  • Validity is dependent on individual empirical generalisations.