13: Aggregate Plan Flashcards
Objective: meet forecasted demand while minimizing cost over planning period
Aggregate demand: concerned with determining quantity and timing of production for intermediate future.
Uses info regarding families or product lines, not individual products
Manufacturers: AP ties strategic goals to production plans
Service orgs: AP ties strategic goals to workforce schedule
Objectives of AP:
- Minimize cost
- Maximize customer service
- Minimize inventory investment
- Minimize changes in workforce levels
- Minimize changes in production rates
Characteristics of AP:
- Considers a planning horizon.
- Looks at aggregate product demand
- Looks at aggregate resource quantities
Required inputs for AP:
- Info (resources and facilities)
- Demand forecast
- Cost (alternatives and resources)
- Organizational policies (usage of alternatives)
Required for AP:
- Unit for measuring sales and output
- Forecast of demand
- Method for determining costs
- Model that combines forecasts and costs
3 dimensions of AP:
- Product families
- Labor
- Timing
Sales & Operations Planning:
Coordination and integration of the internal and external resources necessary for a successful AP.
AP:
- part of larger production planning system
- disaggregation: process of breaking AP into greater detail = Master Production Schedule
MPS = timetable that specifies what is to be made and when.
MPS provides input to MRP systems
Aggregate Planning Strategies:
Capacity Options
- Changing Inventory levels
- Varying workforce size by hiring or layoffs
- Varying production rate through overtime or idle time
- Subcontracting
- Part-time workers
Demand Options:
- Influencing demand
- Back ordering during high-demand periods
- Counter-seasonal product and service mixing
Mixing Options to Develop a Plan:
- Chase Strategy (production = demand)
Keep up with changing demand by varying production rate.
“Chase” demand forecasts using temporary workers, overtime.
Vary workforce or production rate to match capacity to demand.
- Level Strategy (production rate constant)
Use other techniques to keep up with demand changes. (Pricing, promotion, back orders)
This strategy maintains a steady rate of regular time output while meeting variations in demand by a combination of inventories, overtime, part-time, subcontracting and backorders.
Methods for AP:
- Graphical (popular, easy, trial and error)
- determine demand
- determine capacity
- find labor costs
- consider company policy on workers and stock levels
- develop alternate plans
- Mathematical Approach:
- Transportation Method of Linear Programming (produce optimal plan)
- Management Coefficients Model (managers experience and performance)
- Linear decision (minimizes costs)
- Simulation (uses search procedures to try different combinations of variables)
AP in Services:
Controlling cost of labor critical
- Accurate scheduling of labor hours, assure quick response to customer demand
- On call labour resource, unexpected demand
- Flexibility of individual worker skills
5 service scenarios:
- Restaurants
- Hospitals
- National chains of small service firms
- Miscellaneous services
- Airline industry