1.2 Conditional Probability Flashcards
Conditional Probability
When knowing more information about experiment, the sample space gets smaller
Is condiitonal probability more likely to happen or Uncondintional probability
Conditional, because the sample space is smaller
How many stages in conditional probability
2 stages
Given vs And
Given is restricting samples space
And is the original sample space
Keywords conditiona probability
If given assuming knowing
Two ways to solve conditional probabiltiy question
Contingency Table
Tree Diagram
KEY THING TO NOTE ABOUT CONTINGENCY TABLES!!!
Is it a % of a subsect? You multiply by the subsect!!!!
KEY THING ABOUT TREE DIAGRAMS
To get Intersection you must multiply both the first and second branches of your conditional probability
How to go from Tree Diagram to Contingency Table
Multiply both branches! and then fill out using the COND PROB FORMULA
P(AIB)
P(BIA)
=P(AnB)/P(B)
=P(BnA)/P(A)
Independance
Knowing one event does not restrict the sample space of the other event
if A and B independant then?
2 things
A times B= AnB
A and B are independant
A and Bcomp are indepent
Acomp and B are independant
Acomp and Bcomp are independant
IF DEPENDANT
tHen A x B does not equal A n B
How to use Contingency Tables with GIVEN this quesitons
- Isolate a row/Column
- Figure out N(A)
- Divide by N(S)
How to use Tree Diagrams to solve condiitonal
- First branch is the condition
- Second are not
- Write out aas condiitonals for all four branches
- Multiply branch 1 by 2 to get the intersection value