1.2 Conditional Probability Flashcards

1
Q

Conditional Probability

A

When knowing more information about experiment, the sample space gets smaller

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2
Q

Is condiitonal probability more likely to happen or Uncondintional probability

A

Conditional, because the sample space is smaller

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3
Q

How many stages in conditional probability

A

2 stages

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4
Q

Given vs And

A

Given is restricting samples space

And is the original sample space

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5
Q

Keywords conditiona probability

A

If given assuming knowing

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6
Q

Two ways to solve conditional probabiltiy question

A

Contingency Table

Tree Diagram

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7
Q

KEY THING TO NOTE ABOUT CONTINGENCY TABLES!!!

A

Is it a % of a subsect? You multiply by the subsect!!!!

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8
Q

KEY THING ABOUT TREE DIAGRAMS

A

To get Intersection you must multiply both the first and second branches of your conditional probability

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9
Q

How to go from Tree Diagram to Contingency Table

A

Multiply both branches! and then fill out using the COND PROB FORMULA

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10
Q

P(AIB)

P(BIA)

A

=P(AnB)/P(B)
=P(BnA)/P(A)

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11
Q

Independance

A

Knowing one event does not restrict the sample space of the other event

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12
Q

if A and B independant then?

2 things

A

A times B= AnB

A and B are independant
A and Bcomp are indepent
Acomp and B are independant
Acomp and Bcomp are independant

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13
Q

IF DEPENDANT

A

tHen A x B does not equal A n B

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14
Q

How to use Contingency Tables with GIVEN this quesitons

A
  1. Isolate a row/Column
  2. Figure out N(A)
  3. Divide by N(S)
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15
Q

How to use Tree Diagrams to solve condiitonal

A
  1. First branch is the condition
  2. Second are not
  3. Write out aas condiitonals for all four branches
  4. Multiply branch 1 by 2 to get the intersection value
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16
Q

a secret way to check

cont table

Tree diagram

A

Cont table all the centre cells should equal the outside cells

In tree diagrams, first branches should equal 1, each sub branch secto=ion equal 1, once caluclated all of intersection probabilites, all equal 1 too

17
Q

Independance vs Mutually Exclusive

A

P(AnB)= P(A) x P(B)

P(AnB) = 0

Knowing one doesnt change the prob of the other

vs. they have no
overlap!

18
Q

If given that info is independant

A

Then use P(A)xP(B)= P(AnB) LOGIC

Fill out ocont table and solve!