1. Property & Mortgage Markets Flashcards
Why are first time buyers vital to the overall health of the housing market?
Without these new entrants, homeowners further up the chain are unable to sell and trade up
What steps have Government taken to support first time buyers?
- Measures to make buy-to-let investments less attractive
- Exemption from SDLT for first time buyers
- Incentives such as Help to buy ISAs & LISAs & shared ownership schemes, etc
- Planning rules requiring affordable housing to be included in new developments
What issues affect the mortgage market?
- Interest rates
- Inflation
- The economy
- Supply and demand
- Government action
- Non-property funding
How do interest rates affect the cost of repaying a mortgage?
When rates are high, homeowners struggle to meet repayments, first time buyers cannot afford to enter the market, and house prices are likely to fall.
When rates are low, people find mortgage repayments affordable and will usually be prepared to commit to higher mortgages. The willingness to borrow lifts prices generally, resulting in a property boom.
However other economic factors such as a recession (or a less severe downturn) may lead to lower property prices even when interest rates are low such as in the financial crisis of 2007-09.
Explain what are: LIBOR, Bank rate and a Basis point.
LIBOR: London interbank offered rate, the rate at which banks lend to each other. ‘Three-month LIBOR’ means the rate for loans that will mature in three months’ time
Bank rate: The rate at which the Bank of England lends to other financial institutions. You might also see it referred to as a base rate
Basis point: One-hundredth of one percent
Are mortgage interest rates more closely linked to bank rate or LIBOR?
Although mortgage interest rates are broadly linked to bank rate, they are more directly affected by the three-month LIBOR.
Historically, the LIBOR or has been between 10 and 20 basis points above the bank rate. E.g. if the bank rate is 2%, the LIBOR is expected to be between 2.1 and 2.2%
This means that in normal conditions, mortgage rates go up and down broadly in line with the bank rate. However, in difficult market conditions the differential can be wider.
Historically, by how many basis points does LIBOR follow the bank rate?
Between 10 & 20 basis points.
For example, if the bank rate is 2%, the LIBOR is normally expected to be between 2.1% and 2.2%
Many lenders have moved away from traditional variable-rate mortgages in favour of tracker mortgages at follow bank rate or LIBOR. During the boom times it was common for trackers to be set slightly above, or even slightly below bank rate.
What percentage margin do modern trackers tend to have?
Modern trackers tend to have a much wider margin, offering rates as high as 3% above bank rate.
In the past, bank rate has been used as a crude but reasonably effective method of trying to calm or stimulate the housing market.
What is Sonia?
The Sterling overnight index average. It is based on wholesale market overnight interest rates. It is seen as close to a risk-free measure of borrowing costs and is based on actual transactions, which makes it difficult to manipulate the figures (unlike LIBOR; see Barclays scandal 2012).
Who is working on the transition from LIBOR to Sonia and for what reason?
The Bank of England, together with the FCA and market participants are working on the transition from LIBOR to Sonia as the primary interest rate benchmark for sterling markets.
The transition is expected to be completed by the end of 2021.
What affects interest rates?
- Level of government borrowing: when the government needs to raise money for public spending it can raise taxes or borrow; borrowing is less likely to cause political problems. Upward pressure is placed on interest rates when the government increases borrowing significantly.
- Higher levels of individual borrowing: rates tend to move up when there is high demand for borrowing. Too much borrowing at an individual level is a worry for governments as money flows into the economy and prices creep up. If interest rates increase dramatically, many people will be severely overstretched financially.
- Monetary policy: The government uses interest rates as a way of controlling the economy.
- Foreign interest rates: The value of sterling against foreign currencies is affected by interest rates. When UK interest rates are higher than those abroad, the pound is popular and the exchange rate increases. This can have a negative effect on industry because UK goods become expensive abroad and sales may be affected.
Which body is responsible for setting the bank rate?
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee
What are the two elements to inflation in the property market?
- General inflation: The decrease in the spending power of money over a period. For example, If inflation runs at 2.5% over a one-year period, £100 at the start of the period will buy goods with approximately £97.50 at the end of the period, i.e. in order to buy the same goods at the end of the period, the buyer will need £102.50
- House-price inflation: relates to the increases in the price of houses over a period. In general, house price inflation runs well ahead of general inflation.
What amount of inflation is considered good for the economy?
2 to 2.5% inflation is considered good for the economy.
The government has set the Bank of England a target for inflation of 2% as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI).
Through its Monetary Policy Committee, how can the Bank of England reduce and increase general inflation?
Reduce inflation
The Bank of England increases interest rates > People’s disposable income reduces > Prices become generally lower
Increase inflation
The Bank of England lowers interest rates > People’s disposable income and their spending increases > Prices become generally higher