1 - Odomirok1617SAO Flashcards

1
Q

Who prepares the Statement of Actuarial Opinion?

A

A qualified actuary (as defined by the NAIC) who is appointed by the company’s board then referred to as the appointed actuary.

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2
Q

How does the NAIC define a qualified actuary?

A

A person who meets the basic education, experience and continuing education requirements of the Specific Qualification Standard for Statements of Actuarial Opinion, NAIC Property and Casualty Annual Statement, as set forth in the Qualification Standards for Actuaries Issuing Statements of Actuarial Opinion in the United States, promulgated by the American Academy of Actuaries, and is either:
(i) A member in good standing of the Casualty Actuarial Society, or
(ii) A member in good standing of the American Academy of Actuaries who has been approved as qualified for signing casualty loss reserve opinions by the Casualty Practice Council of the American Academy of Actuaries

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3
Q

Can someone that doesn’t meet the NAIC requirements prepare the SAO?

A

The 2011 NAIC Annual Statement Instructions Property/Casualty go on further by saying that the requirements of the company’s domiciliary state may permit individuals to issue the SAO despite not meeting the definition of qualified actuary per the NAIC. In these instances, a letter from the state must be attached to the SAO indicating that the individual meets the state’s requirement to issue SAOs.

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4
Q

Possible exemptions from SAO requirement

A
  • Size of the insurer (less than $1 million of total gross written premiums during a calendar year and less than $1 million of total gross loss and LAE reserves at year- end)
  • Insurers under supervision or conservatorship
  • Nature of business written
  • Insurers under financial hardship (if the cost of the SAO is greater than either 1% of surplus or 3% of gross written premiums during the calendar year within which the exemption is requested)
    Simply meeting one of the above criteria does not provide automatic exemption. To qualify, the insurer has to file for exemption with its domiciliary commissioner. It is at the discretion of the domiciliary commissioner to decide whether to exempt a company from the SAO requirement.
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5
Q

Main purposes of the SAO

A
  • Provide the appointed actuary’s opinion on the reserves specified within the scope of the SAO.
  • Inform the reader, in particular regulators, of significant risk factors and/or uncertainties with respect to those reserves.
  • Advise whether those risks and uncertainties are reasonably expected to lead to material adverse deviation in the reserves.
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6
Q

Every appointed actuary should read and be familiar with the most current versions of the following when issuing a SAO:

A
  • Qualification Standards, as set forth by the American Academy of Actuaries (AAA)
  • NAIC Instructions for the SAO
  • AAA Committee on Property and Liability Financial Reporting (COPLFR) Practice Note
    on Statements of Actuarial Opinion on Property and Casualty Loss Reserves (COPLFR P/C Practice Note)
  • NAIC Regulatory Guidance On Property and Casualty Statutory Statements of Actuarial
    Opinion Prepared by the NAIC’s Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force101

Actuarial Standards of Practice (ASOP), including but not limited to:
* ASOP No. 20. Discounting of Property/Casualty Unpaid Claim Estimates (September 2011)
* ASOP No. 23. Data Quality
* ASOP No. 36. Statement of Actuarial Opinion Regarding Property/Casualty
Loss and LAE Reserves
* ASOP No. 41. Actuarial Communications
* ASOP No. 43. Property/Casualty Unpaid Claim Estimates
* Applicable state laws, in particular with respect to reserve requirements, SAO requirements, discounting, etc. (the Property/Casualty Loss Reserve Law Manual published annually by the AAA provides a compilation of this material) 102
* SSAP No. 55, Unpaid Claims, Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
* SSAP No. 62R, Property and Casualty Reinsurance
* SSAP No. 65, Property and Casualty Contracts

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7
Q

Required sections of the SAO

A
  1. Identification
  2. Scope
  3. Opinion
  4. Relevant comments
    Exhibit A
    Exhibit B
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8
Q

Exhibit A of the SAO

A

Exhibit A provides the recorded amounts associated with the items identified in the scope section, generally on a direct plus assumed and net basis.

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9
Q

Exhibit B of the SAO

A

Exhibit B provides relevant disclosure items with respect to the net reserves identified in the scope section, as identified in the relevant comments section. For example, loss and LAE reserves for asbestos are disclosed in Exhibit B on a net of reinsurance basis. There is no separate exhibit within the SAO showing asbestos reserves on a gross of reinsurance basis. Differences between the net and gross (direct plus assumed) amounts reported in Exhibit B may be discussed in the relevant comments section.

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10
Q

Identification section of the SAO

A

Actuary’s name and credentials
Actuary’s qualifications for issuing the SAO
Actuary’s relationship to the company
Date the actuary was appointed by the company’s board of directors (or its equivalent) to issue the opinion.
This section typically includes a statement identifying the intended purposes and users of the opinion, consistent with ASOP 36 requirements.

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11
Q

Scope section of the SAO

A

The scope section identifies the reserve items upon which the actuary is giving an opinion as well as the accounting basis for those reserves. The reserve items include:
* Loss and LAE reserves
* Retroactive reinsurance assumed reserves
* Unearned premium reserves for Property and Casualty (“P&C”) Long-Duration
Contracts103
* Unearned premium reserves for extended reporting endorsements, such as those
included in Schedule P Interrogatory No. 1 of the company’s Annual Statement
* Other reserve items for which the actuary is providing an opinion
Also identifies “review date” which is defined in ASOP 36 as “the date (subsequent to the valuation date) through which material information known to the actuary is included in forming the reserve opinion. If review date is not disclosed, assume it’s the date the opinion was signed.
It also contains a statement regarding who provided the data relied upon by the actuary in forming the opinion and that either the actuary performed a reconciliation of that data, or reviewed a reconciliation prepared by the company, to Schedule P of the company’s Annual Statement.
If the company participates in intercompany pooling, the actuary may wish to disclose this and the basis for reconciling data used in the actuary’s analysis to Schedule P. Must provide pooling percentage and info on the pooling arrangement

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12
Q

What are P&C Long Duration Contracts?

A

P&C Long Duration Contracts are defined on page 10 of the NAIC SAO Instructions as “contracts (excluding financial guaranty contracts, mortgage guaranty contracts and surety contracts) that fulfill both of the following conditions: (1) the contract term is greater than or equal to 13 months; and (2) the insurer can neither cancel the contract not increase the premium during the contract term. These contracts are subject to the three tests of SSAP No. 65-Property and Casualty Contracts of the NAIC Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual.”

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13
Q

Opinion section of the SAO

A

The opinion section provides the actuary’s opinion with respect to the reserves identified in the scope section. The actuary has five options in terms of the type of opinion, as outlined in ASOP 36. These are:
1. Reasonable: if the recorded reserve lies within the actuary’s range of reasonable unpaid claim estimates
2. Inadequate or deficient: if the recorded reserves are below what the actuary deems to be reasonable
3. Excessive or redundant: if the recorded reserves are above what the actuary deems to be reasonable105
4. Qualified: if the actuary is unable to issue an opinion on certain items and those items are believed to be material
5. No opinion: if the actuary is unable to conclude on the reasonableness of the recorded reserves
Note that in accordance with ASOP 36, the actuary should disclose the minimum amount that he or she deems reasonable when issuing an inadequate or deficient opinion.106 Similarly, the actuary should disclose the maximum amount deemed to be reasonable when issuing an excessive or redundant opinion.The actuary is also required to state whether the recorded reserves identified in the scope section meet the requirements of the insurance laws of the state the company is domiciled in and are computed in accordance with actuarial standards.
Additionally, if use was made of the work of another actuary, such as for pools and associations, for a subsidiary, or for special lines of business, in forming the SAO, the other actuary must be identified by name and affiliation within the opinion section.

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14
Q

Relevant Comments section of the SAO

A

The relevant comments section provides commentary and disclosures relative to the reserves opined on to assist the reader in understanding the context and composition of those reserves. Commentary is required on the following items:
* The actuary’s materiality standard for purposes of addressing the risk of material adverse deviation
* Significant risks and uncertainties that could result in material adverse deviation
* The significance of items listed in Exhibit B, including:
* Anticipated net salvage and subrogation
* Nontabular discounting
* Tabular discounting
* Net reserves for the company’s share of voluntary and involuntary pools and
associations
* Net reserves for asbestos and environmental liabilities
* Claims-made extended loss and LAE reserve reported as unearned premium
and as loss reserves
* Retroactive or financial reinsurance
* Uncollectible reinsurance
* The results of IRIS ratios 11, 12 and 13 and explanation for exceptional values
* Changes in methods and assumptions from those employed in the most recent prior
opinion that are deemed to have a material effect on the recorded reserve or actuary’s
unpaid claim estimate
* Unearned premium reserves for P&C Long Duration Contracts
* Net reserves for Accident and Health (“A&H”) Long Duration Contracts that the
company carries on the Liabilities, Surplus and Other Funds page as Losses, Loss Adjustment Expenses, Unearned Premium or other Write-In items (e.g., Premium Deficiency Reserves, Contract Reserves, or AG 51 Reserves)

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15
Q

Materiality Standard

A

Common methods are based on a percentage of reserves, surplus and movements in Risk-Based Capital (RBC) levels, among others. Materiality standards such as 10% of loss and LAE reserves or anywhere from 10% to 20% of surplus are commonly used.

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16
Q

Major Risk Factors

A

“If such risk exists, the actuary should include an explanatory paragraph to describe the major factors, combination of factors, or particular conditions underlying the risks and uncertainties that the actuary reasonably believes could result in material adverse deviation.”

Note that the actuary is not expected to list all risks that the company is exposed. Rather, only those major risk factors that could result in the reserves developing adversely by an amount that is material relative to the actuary’s materiality standard.

17
Q

Actuarial Opinion Summary Supplement - when must it be filed?

A

The Actuarial Opinion Summary Supplement (AOS) is required to be filed by the company with its domiciliary state by March 15 of the year following the Annual Statement date (December 31).

18
Q

What is the Actuarial Opinion Summary Supplement?

A

A confidential document containing the appointed actuary’s range of unpaid claim estimates and/or point estimate, as calculated by the actuary, in comparison to the company’s recorded reserves on a net and gross of reinsurance basis. Due to its confidential nature, it is filed separately from the public Annual Statement document, which is due on March 1.

19
Q

What is included in the Actuarial Opinion Summary Supplement?

A

The AOS also provides a statement regarding whether the company has experienced one-year adverse development in excess of 5% of surplus in three or more of the past five years. If the company has experienced adverse development in excess of 5% of surplus in three or more of the past five years, an explanatory paragraph is required so that the regulator can determine what additional review, if any, is required. he concern, of course, is whether the company is consistently understating reserves and therefore overstating surplus.

20
Q

What is the purpose of the SAO (Statement of Actuarial Opinion)?

A

OIA
Opinion: provide the appointed actuary’s opinion on reserve amounts for items in SAO scope (whether the reserves are reasonable, inadequate, excessive…)
Inform: inform readers/regulators of significant risk factors regarding reserves
Advise: advise whether risk factors could lead to MAD in reserves (MAD = Material Adverse Deviation)

If you advise that certain risks may lead to Material Adverse Deviation in the reserves, management might get MAD. (It’s just a dumb little memory trick to help you remember all this dull information!)

21
Q

Describe the organization of the SAO

A

The SAO consists of 4 sections, and 2 exhibits:
ISOR + (A,B)
Identification
Scope
Opinion
Relevant comments
Exhibit A: recorded amounts for items in scope (loss reserves, reinsurance…)
Exhibit B: disclosure items regarding NET reserves in scope

22
Q

How might an insurer get an exemption from filing the SAO?

A

SLuSH
Size: the insurer is small (less than $1m annual GWP) & (less than $1m gross reserves @ year-end)
LOB: certain lines of business are exempt
(u: doesn’t stand for anything, but I needed a vowel)
Supervision: exempt if insurer is under supervision
Hardship: if insurer is under financial hardship (cost of SAO is a burden)

An insurer may qualify for financial hardship if the cost of the SAO exceeds the lesser of:
1% of CY capital & surplus (from latest quarterly statement)
3% of GWP for year (projected from last quarterly statement)

23
Q

What is included in the Identification section of the SAO?

A

WARDIN
W: who made the appointment
A: affirmation of credentials/qualifications
R: relationship to the company
D: Date of appointment
I: Intended users
N: Name and title

24
Q

What is included in the Scope of the SAO?

A

must identify:
- reserve items in opinion
- accounting basis for reserves
- review date (also defined in ASOP 36)
- data source

25
Q

What is included in the Opinion section of the SAO?

A

[A] & [B]: statements about laws & actuarial standards
[C]: type of opinion: R, I, E, Q, or N
[D]: miscellaneous: other loss reserve items, work of others,…

Types: Reasonable, Excessive, Inadequate, Qualified, None (could memorize as I-REQN, pronounced I reckon)

26
Q

What is included in the Relevant Comments section of the SAO?

A

CCRIER:
Covid-19
Changes in methods and assumptions
RMAD
IRIS
Exhibit B
Reinsurance

27
Q

Identify some reserve items (3) and disclosure items (6) in the Scope of the SAO

A

Reserve items:
Loss and LAE reserves
Retroactive reinsurance assumed reserves
Unearned premium reserves for long-duration contracts
Disclose:
Whether reserves are discounted or undiscounted
Basis for risk margin (or state there is no risk margin)
Gross or net of recoverables (reinsurance, sal-sub)
Whether uncollectible recoverables were considered
Types of expenses included in LAE (DCC, A&O,..)
Anything else the actuary thinks is necessary to understand the analysis

28
Q

Review date definition for the SAO

A

The date subsequent to the valuation date through which material information known to the actuary is included in forming the reserve opinion
-the review date is not the same as the signing date
-the signing date comes on or after the review date
-info arising between the review date and the signing date is not relied on by the actuary

29
Q

Describe the ‘data reconciliation statement’ in the SAO

A

It states: The actuary either performed or reviewed reconciliation to Schedule P

30
Q

Identify the items required in the Relevant Comments section of the SAO

A

Mr. BICUR
-Materiality Standard regarding risk of MAD
-Risks that may result in MAD
-B - Exhibit B: anticipated sal-sub, discounting (tabular and non-tabular), insurer’s share of reserves for pools and associations
-IRIS (ratios 11, 12, 13)
-Changes: material changes in reserving assumptions/methods since prior opinion
-UEP: Unearned premium for long-duration contracts
-Reinsurance: retroactive reinsurance and uncollectible reinsurance

31
Q

Who is the intended audience for the AOS?

A

File with regulators of the domiciliary state
(Note: do not file AOS with NAIC)
(the AOS is not a public document because it contains proprietary company information)

32
Q

How is the AOS organized? (Think of it in 2 parts)

A

Part 1: (comparison section, 4 items)
A: range of actuary’s reserves, if the actuary calculated a range, otherwise a range is not required (case + IBNR on net & gross basis for all items)
B: point estimate by actuary
C: carried reserves by company
D: difference (company – actuary)

Part 2: (adverse development section, 1 item)
E: statement regarding whether there has been: 1-year adverse development (relative to prior year surplus) greater than 5% in 3 of last 5 calendar years
if there hasn’t been → best practice is for the actuary to state this fact (although no comment is specifically required)
if there has been → actuary should provide sufficient detail so the regulator can determine whether additional regulatory review is required
If you know about IRIS ratios, you’ll see you’re really just calculating IRIS Ratio 11.
Possible point of confusion: The SAO includes two exhibits called Exhibit A & Exhibit B, but they are different from items A & B in the AOS.

33
Q

Where in the Annual Statement is the adverse development of reserves disclosed?

A

-Five-Year Historical Data, line 74 (statutory basis Annual Statement)
(the raw data comes from Schedule P, Part 2 - Summary)

34
Q

If there has been adverse development, how could item E in the AOS be worded?

A

-State that there has been adverse development and for which years
-Summarize the reason for the adverse development (strengthened loss reserves)
-Explain the reason in more detail (increased exposure – various specific reasons are given)
-Mitigate the effects of this adverse development (purchase unaffiliated retroactive reinsurance)

35
Q
A