Workbook Questions Flashcards
What is the financial objective of a profit making company?
Maximising shareholder wealth
One of the most important financial management potential conflicts is between shareholders (_____) and directors (_____)
Principals
Agents
What are the ESG objectives?
Environmental, social and governance
Poor environmental behaviour can lead to what? (3)
Fines
Loss of reputation
Legal claims
Poor governance can lead to what? (3)
Poor decision making
Taking on too much risk
Fraud
Define payback
The time taken for cash inflows from a project to equal the cash outflows
Payback decision rule:
Accept if payback ___ target
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- Define ARR
- Give both formulas for ARR
- For ARR, profit is before or after depreciation?
- Accounting rate of return
- i) (average annual profit from investment) / (initial investment) * 100
ii) (average annual profit from investment) / (average investment) * 100, where average investment = (initial outlay + scrap value) / 2 - After
ARR decision rule:
accept if ARR __ target
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Define NPV
Net Present Value: the maximum an investor would pay for a given set of cash flows compared to the actual amount he/she is being asked to pay
NPV decision rule:
Accept is NPV is _____ (usually)
Positive
Define IRR
Internal rate of return: a cost of capital at which the NPV of a project is £0
IRR decision rule:
Accept if IRR % __ cost of capital (usually)
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Give the IRR interpolation formula using two discount rates
IRR = a + (NPVa / (NPVa - NPVb)) * (b - a)
a = the lower discount rate giving NPVa
b = the higher discount rate giving NPVb
Define relevant cash flows
Future, incremental, cash flows arising from the decision being made
The figures out into NPV working must be relevant to the decision being considered:
1) cash flows only, ie _____ should be ignored
2) _____ amounts only
3) ______ relevant costs only
4) finance related cash flows
5) _____ costs, ie include costs incurred or revenue lost from diverting existing resources from their existing use
Depreciation
Future
Directly
Opportunity
Does working capital form part of the taxable cash flows?
Yes
What are the two effects taxation has on investment appraisal?
- Tax payments on operating profit
- Tax benefit from capital allowances on capital expenditure
Calculate capital allowances at ____ on a reducing balance basis
18%
Are there capital allowances in the year of sale?
No; a balancing allowance/charge is calculated instead
Corporation tax is assumed to be paid at ____
25%
Although large companies make tax payments in four equal instalments during the accounting year, what do we assume for examination purposes?
The whole tax payment is to be made at the end of the year to which it relates
True or false:
The tax rate can be assumed to be constant over the life of the project
True
True or false:
It should be assumed that working capital flows have no tax effects
True
What are the real rates of interest?
The rates of interest that would be required in the absence of inflation in the economy
Give the Fischer Equation
(1 + m) = (1 + r) * (1 + i)
m = money (nominal) rate
r = real (effective) rate
i = general inflation rate
The money method uses the money (nominal rate). Give two issues with this methodology
- General inflation may not be constant
- Longer term estimates become more prone to error
What are the four environmental costs to consider?
- Environmental prevention costs
- Environmental appraisal costs
- Environmental internal failure costs
- Environmental external failure costs
When is the equivalent annual cost (EAC) the quickest way to determine the optimal replacement cycle?
Give the EAC formula
When cash flows do not inflate
EAC = (NPV of one cycle of replacement) / (AF for this cycle length)
AF = annuity factor
Define capital rationing
The situation where insufficient funds exist to undertake all positive NPV projects, so a choice must be made between projects
What is the difference between hard rationing and soft rationing?
Hard rationing: external limits exist on funds available
Soft rationing: internal constraints are imposed
Profitability Index (PI) = ?
NPV / Outlay (outlay is the funds required)
Define an indivisible project
A project which must either be completed in full or not at all
Rank the following in correct order
A) implement and control
B) determine mission and objectives
C) analyse the current position of the business
D) identify and select strategies
C), B), D), A)
Define Shareholder Value Analysis (SVA)
The process of analysing the activities of a business to identify how they will result in increasing shareholder wealth
Below are four key drivers of value for SVA. What are the remaining three?
Sales growth rate
Operating profit margin
Corporation tax rate
Investment in non-current assets
Investment in working capital
Cost of capital
Life of projected cash flows
Real option equation:
Project worth = Traditional NPV + ?
Value of any real options
Overseas investment can include political risk, product risk and _____ risk
Cultural
What is the difference between risk and uncertainty?
Risk: probabilities are both known and can be quantified
Uncertainty: possible outcomes are known but probabilities are unknown
The following techniques are used for handling what?
1) setting a maximum payback period for projects
2) increasing the discount rate subjectively in order to submit the project to a higher ‘hurdle’ rate in investment appraisal
3) making prudent estimates of outcomes to assess the worst possible situation
4) assessing the best and worst possible situations
5) using sensitivity analysis to measure the margin of safety on input data
Uncertainty
Sensitivity analysis equation?
Sensitivity = (NPV of project) / (PV of cash flows subject to uncertainty) * 100%
Sensitivity analysis is a formalised approach to incorporating ______ ______ in the project evaluation
Alternative forecasts
Strengths of sensitivity analysis:
- Presented in a form which facilitates subjective ______
- Identifies areas which are _____ to success
- The theory is not ______
Judgement
Critical
Complicated
Weaknesses of sensitivity analysis:
- Only one _____ at a time can be analysed
- If assumes that changes to ____ can be made indecently
- It only identifies how far a variable needs to change, it does not look at the…?
- It provides information on the basis of which decisions can be made, it does not …?
- Factor
- Variables
- Probability of such a change
- Point directly to the correct decision
What two types of data does predictive analytics use to create predictions about the future?
Historic and current
Define linear regression
A statistical technique which quantifies the relationship between a dependent variable and an independent variable so that forecasts can be made
Linear regression advantages:
- They are ___ to use and _____ to explain
- Can be used to predict the impacting of expanding variables beyond _____ estimates
Simple, easy
Current
Limitations of regression analysis:
- Not always a ______ relationship between variables and outcomes
- _______ models are needed to consider multiple variables
- _______ relationship between variables and outcomes may be identified
- The data collected may be _____ or there may be a large error variable
Linear
Complex
Spurious
Inaccurate
Define decision trees
A statistical technique used to identify the impact of different decisions and variables on the outcome of an investment
Two advantages and disadvantages of decision trees
- Simple decision trees are easy to explain and logical to use
- Can be used to analyse different outcomes based on a number of variables
- Variables have to be simplified and restricted to avoid over complicating the decision tree
- Large decision trees can be difficult to interpret
Define simulation
A technique which allows the effect of more than one variable changing at the same time to be assessed
What is the Monte Carlo simulation?
A simulation technique based on the use of random numbers and probability statistics to investigate problems
If outcomes are less widely dispersed about the mean, the standard deviation will be ______
Smaller
Advantages of simulation:
- It gives more ______ about possible outcomes
- It gives more information about the impact of ____ costs on new ventures
- It is useful for problems which cannot be solved ______
Information
Environmental
Analytically
Limitations of simulation:
- Only obtains information, not a technique for _______ making
- Can be ______ due to complexity
- Requires _____ to be made about probability distributions which may turn out to be inaccurate
Decision
Expensive
Assumptions
Define selection bias
When data is not selected randomly and leads to a sample that is not representative of the population
Define self-selection bias
Occurs when individuals select themselves to be part of a sample
Define observer bias
Occurs when observing and recording results and relates to interpretation
Define cognitive bias
Relates to human perception and includes bias depending on how data is presented
The higher the standard deviation, the…?
Give the excel function for this
Wider the data spread and the greater the risk of the expected return
=STDEV
Give the coefficient of variation equation
What does a higher percentage of this mean?
Standard deviation / mean * 100
The wider the dispersion of data around the mean
What is a normal distribution?
Any distribution of data which is symmetrical around the mean
Define portfolio
A combination of investments