Weeks 7-8 Flashcards

1
Q

Comparison of Techniques
to Hedge Payables

A

Optimal Technique for Hedging Payables
Select optimal hedging technique by:
* Considering whether futures or forwards are preferred.
* Considering desirability of money market hedge versus
futures/forwards based on cost.
* Assessing the feasibility of a currency call option based on
estimated cash outflows.
Choose optimal hedge versus no hedge for payables.
* Even when an MNC knows what its future payables will be, it
may decide not to hedge in some cases.
Evaluate the hedge decision by comparing the real cost of
hedging versus the cost if not hedged.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Hedging Transaction Exposure
FC Payables

A
  • Forward Contract
    – Buy FC Forward
  • Futures
    – Take a long position on FC futures
    – Gain / Loss on Futures offsets ∆Spot
  • Money Market
    – Borrow Domestic & Invest Internationally
  • Call Options
    – Right to Purchase
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

Hedging Transaction Exposure
FC Receivables

A
  • Forward Contract
    – Sell FC Forward
  • Futures
    – Take a short position on FC futures
    – Gain / Loss on Futures offsets ∆Spot
  • Money Market
    – Borrow Internationally & Invest Domestically
  • Put Options
    – Right to Sell
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

Comparison of Techniques
for Hedging Receivables

A

Optimal Technique for Hedging Receivables:
* Consider whether futures or forwards are preferred.
* Consider desirability of money market hedge versus
futures/forwards based on receipts.
* Assess the feasibility of a currency put option based
on estimated cash inflows.
Optimal hedge versus no hedge on receivables
* An MNC may know what its future receivables will
be yet still decide not to hedge. In that case, the
MNC needs to determine the probability distribution
of its revenue from receivables when not hedging

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Forward Hedge

A

Allows an MNC to lock in a specific exchange rate at
which it can purchase a currency and hedge payables or
receivables. A forward contract is negotiated between
the firm and a financial institution.
The contract will specify the:
* currency that the firm will pay.
* currency that the firm will receive.
* amount of currency to be received by the firm.
* rate at which the MNC will exchange currencies (called the
forward rate).
* future date at which the exchange of currencies will occur.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Forward Contract Variants

A

* Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDF)
Like a forward contract, represents an agreement
regarding a position in a specified currency, a specified
exchange rate, and a specified future settlement date,
but does not result in delivery of currencies. Instead, a
payment is made by one party in the agreement to the
other party based on the exchange rate at the future date.
[Madura p.700]
* Break Forwards
Forward with an optional exit

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Synthetic Hedge

A

The Problem:
– What if a forward contract was unavailable?
– Firms can create their own forward contract
using borrowing and lending in the money
market.
– We may desire a combination of currencies that
is currently unavailable or expensively priced.
* In our coming example we should acknowledge that
in reality both the AUD and the CHF are highly liquid
currencies.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q
A
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q
A
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

Money Market Hedge on Payables

A

Involves taking a money market position to
cover a future payables position.
If a firm prefers to hedge payables without
using its cash balances, then it must:
– Borrow funds in the home currency and
– Invest in the foreign currency
To hedge a receivable:
– Borrow funds in the overseas market

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

How to construct a hedge
using futures (1)

A
  1. Am I long or short in the physical market?
  2. If long in underlying, short in future.
    If short in underlying, long in future.
    To complete the hedge:
  3. Close the futures position
    * a profit/loss is made
  4. Transact in the physical market
    * profit/loss offset by loss/profit in the future
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

what is basis risk?

A

Basis risk refers to the risk that arises when the price of a hedging instrument (such as a futures or forward contract) does not move in perfect correlation with the price of the underlying asset being hedged. This difference between the spot price of the asset and the price of the derivative (futures or forward) is called the “basis,” and any fluctuation in this relationship creates basis risk.

Basis risk arises if:
1. Hedger uncertain as to exact date asset will be bought or
sold.
2. Hedge may require the futures contract to be closed out
well before its expiration date

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

Hedging with Options (Concepts)

A
  • Call option
    – The right to buy at a fixed price
    – Long position
  • Put option
    – The right to sell at a fixed price
    – Short position
  • Choice of option is dependent upon the type of transaction exposure.
    – Long transaction exposure
     Short hedge
     Buy put options
    – Short transaction exposure
     Long hedge
     Buy call options
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Hedging with Options (Result)

A

Assuming delivery:
* Future FC payment
– Short Transaction Exposure
– Buy Call option
* Future FC receipt
– Long Transaction Exposure
– Buy Put options
assuming cash settlement:
- as value FC increases -> cost decrease, value of option increase (gain)
- as value FC decrease -> receipts decrease, value of option increase (gain)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

why use options

A

Currency options have not been designed as a substitute for forward markets but as a new, distinct financial vehicle that offers significant opportunities and advantages to those seeking either protection or profit from exchange rates.

  • Asymmetric payoff
    – Option holder will only exercise options that are ‘in the
    money’
    – Able to limit risk while still maintaining exposure to
    favourable exchange rate movements
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

what is financial engineering

A
  • The upfront cost of hedging with options can be substantial.
  • Companies who do not wish to incur this cost while
    remaining hedged may of course use futures or forward
    contracts.
  • However, it is possible that companies may wish to retain
    some of the positive characteristics associated with option
    contracts yet may not wish to incur the full cost of hedging
    in this manner.
  • To reduce the cost of hedging, various option strategies can
    be taken which alter the payoff structure of the hedge
    while reducing the upfront cost to the company.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

zero-premium options

A

Zero-premium options (also known as zero-cost options or costless collars) are a type of options strategy in which an investor or company sets up two offsetting options (usually a call and a put) in such a way that the premiums of the options cancel each other out. This results in no upfront cost (zero premium) to the investor for establishing the hedge.

–Cylinder Options
–Range Forwards
–Participating Forwards

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

Synthetic Forwards (Options)

A

Previously we created a synthetic forward using a money market hedge.
– We can also create a synthetic forward using a combination of option
contracts.
This is done by combining call and put options with the same strike price.

  • Premium & Chosen Strike Price
    – Note that there will be NO initial cost if the chosen
    strike price (X) is equal to the current market forward
    rate (F).
    – We would expect this to hold as there is no difference
    in payoffs between the synthetic forward using options
    and the actual market forward contract available,
    which has no initial cost.
  • Alternatively:
    – We can choose a settlement price different from that of the Forward
    Rate (F).
  • Should the strike price vary from the market forward contract, then
    this strategy will have an expected payoff of F-X.
    – Thus, we would expect to pay (or receive) the present value of F-X to
    pursue this strategy. This will occur at t0, as the difference between the
    premium of the call and put options.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

Path Dependent Options

A

Options where the payoff is dependent upon the
path of the underlying asset over all or part of
its life.
* Barrier Options
* Average Rate Options
* Average Strike Options

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

Barrier Options

A
  • Example: Knock-out option is like a standard option
    but becomes worthless should the FX rate cross a
    pre-defined barrier.
  • Once the FX price moves beyond a ‘barrier’ the option
    expires.
    Thus, the writer of the option only demands compensation for
    the risk that they face up to a certain point, making these
    types cheaper than standard options.
  • Alternatives: Down and Out, Up and Out, Down and In, Up and In
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

Average Rate Option (Asian Option)
Average Strike Option

A

Average Rate Option (Asian Option)
* Where the final spot rate applied is the average of
the spot rate over the life of the option.
Less expensive than standard options.
Useful for hedging a cash flow stream evenly spread
over a period.
Average Strike Option
* Final strike applied is the average spot rate.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

Compound Options

A

An option on an option.
* Very little outlay. Premium is to maintain
the right to either pay or receive the second
premium
* Two different maturity dates
* Useful for hedging against potential distant
and highly contingent exposures.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

Options on Futures

A

An option on a Futures Contract
* Two different maturity dates
* Call option on Futures
* If exercised, you receive a Long position in a
Futures contract plus cash
* Put option on Futures
* If exercised, you receive a Short position in a
Futures contract plus cash

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
23
Q

Implicit Options

A
  • Firms may create ‘implicit’ options through
    transactions involving foreign currencies
  • Examples of how you create implicit options:
    – Fixing a price list in multiple currencies
  • Hedge - Buy a FC put option
    – Bidding on a project with FC revenue and HC costs
  • Hedge - Buy a FC put option
    – Takeover bid on a foreign firm
  • Hedge - Buy a FC call option
  • When your firm has given an implicit option in a foreign currency,
    hedge the risk by buying the same kind of currency option
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
24
Pure vs. Selective Hedging
* Pure Hedging – Removal of risk – No regard to expectations – Derivatives assumed to be fairly priced * Selective Hedging – A person who hedges only when he or she believes that prices are likely to move against him or her – Currency expectations are considered
25
Pure Hedging
Forward : Fixed and inviolable Option : A right but not an obligation Foreign currency outflow – Quantity known : Buy FC Forward, Long Futures – Quantity unknown : Buy FC Call Options, Buy Compound Options on Calls, Buy Call Options on Futures – Date unknown : Long Futures, Call Options (Exchange), Contracts for Difference. Foreign currency inflow – quantity known : Sell FC Forward, Short Futures – quantity unknown : Buy FC Put Options, Buy Compound Options on Puts, Buy Put Options on Futures – Date unknown : Short Futures, Put Options (Exchange), Contracts for Difference.
26
Selective Hedging
* Selective hedging is a form of speculating * Employing the use of company forecasts in the selection of hedging policies – Direction – Volatility * Direction – View on the direction only, then use Futures, Forwards, Spot or Options * Volatility – View on volatility only, then use Options
27
Limitations of Hedging
* Limitation of hedging an uncertain payment – over-hedging / under-hedging * Limitation of hedging an uncertain date * Long-term hedging – availability – expectations incorporated in an efficient market * Repeated short-term hedging – rolling the hedge forward * Unavailable hedge asset – cross hedging
28
Global Financing Motivations
**Theoretical Arguments** A firm is potentially able to lower its cost of capital through Global Financing by: * Improving liquidity for its securities – increasing the supply of capital, both old and new * Reduction in agency cost (Stulz, 1996) * Inclusion in market indices * Overcoming market segmentation In addition, a firm can benefit from Global Financing by: * The ability to use those shares in firm acquisitions * Marketing * Local employee profit sharing arrangements
29
Market Segmentation
* Pricing of securities by domestic standards A market can be efficient yet still segmented by international standards * Causes: Imperfections (Direct or Indirect Barriers) – Government constraints, investor perceptions and specific country risks. * Examples: Regulatory barriers, risk of insider trading and political risk. * Overcoming market segmentation Evidence - Mixed
30
External Sources of Equity
* Domestic Equity Offering – MNCs can engage in a domestic equity offering in their home country in which the funds are denominated in their local currency. * Global Equity Offering – Some MNCs pursue a global equity offering in which they simultaneously access equity from multiple countries. * Public or Private Placement of Equity – Public issues: Listed on domestic or foreign exchanges – Private issues: Offer a private placement of equity to financial institutions in their home country or in the foreign country where they are expanding.
31
Issuance of Foreign Stock in the U.S.
* Yankee stock offerings – Non-U.S. corporations that need large amounts of funds sometimes issue stock in the United States * American Depository Receipts (ADR) – Certificates representing bundles of stock. ADR shares can be traded just like shares of a stock. * Effect of Sarbanes-Oxley (2002) Act on Foreign Stock Listings – Many non-U.S. firms decided to place new issues of their stock in the United Kingdom instead of in the United States so that they would not have to comply with the law.
32
International Money Market
Corporations or governments need short-term funds denominated in a currency different from their home currency. **Money Market** A money market facilitates the process by which surplus units can transfer funds to deficit units. **European Money Market: **Dollar deposits in banks in Europe and other continents are called Eurodollars or Eurocurrency. Origins of the European money market can be traced to the Eurocurrency market that developed during the 1960s and 1970s. **Asian Money Market:** Centred in Hong Kong and Singapore. Originated as a market involving mostly dollar- denominated deposits and was originally known as the Asian dollar market.
33
Eurocurrencies
**“Euro”** Outside of the country which issues the currency of denomination **Eurodollar** “dollar deposits in banks in Europe (and on other continents)” Madura p.699 **Eurocurrency** A time deposit in a bank account located outside the banking regulations of the country which issues the currency. **Eurobank** Commercial bank that participates as a financial intermediary in the Eurocurrency market.
34
Eurocurrency Creation
Eurocurrencies are not bought and sold. Eurocurrencies are created through a series of transactions beginning in the home country. Example: A firm has a deposit with a U.S. bank. Ownership of the deposit is transferred to a UK bank. The UK Bank has a deposit with the U.S. bank, and a liability to the firm, both is USD.
35
Global Equity Offerings: Euro-Equity Issues
“Euro” Outside of the country which issues the currency of denomination Euro-Equity * Where a company issues underwritten equity across foreign equity markets – Can be simultaneous with a domestic issue * A market created by financial institutions * Began with the privatisation of British Telecom (1984)
36
International Debt Financing
**Debt Financing** – Concept: Standardised Floating Interest Rates – Concept: Intermediation vs. Disintermediation – Considerations in the Choice of the Type of Debt **International Debt Financing (Sources)** – Eurocurrency Loans – Euronotes (NIF’s, ECP & EMTN’s) – International Bonds * Foreign Bonds * Eurobonds – Floating Rate Notes * Zero Coupon Bonds
37
Standardised Floating Interest Rates
* Standardised floating interest rates are used extensively in pricing Eurodebt facilities. * Examples – SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) – US Prime Rate – ESTR (Euro Short Term Rate) – SORA (Singapore Overnight Rate Average) – BBSW (Bank Bill Swap Rate / Australia) – LIBOR : Discontinued (Used by Shapiro)
38
Financial Intermediation vs. Disintermediation
* Financial Intermediation – The process of raising debt finance through an intermediary * Disintermediation – The process of raising debt directly from the market, by issuing securities to debtholders – Reduces the cost to borrowers – Increases flexibility
39
Considerations in the Choice of the Type of Debt
The MNC’s cost of debt affects its required rate of return when it assesses proposed projects. Features of debt such as currency of denomination, maturity, and whether the rate is fixed or floating can affect the cost of debt, and therefore affect the feasibility of projects that are supported with the debt. (Madura) * Minimise the after-tax cost of debt * Currency matching – Matching the cash flows from Assets and Liabilities in similar denominated currencies – Managing changing exposures as debts are repaid * Maturity matching – Matching the durations of Assets and Liabilities – Controlling exposure to movements in interest rates * Fixed versus floating * Forward hedging * Parallel loans * Ability to Swap
40
Currency Matching
* If subsidiaries of MNCs desire to match the currency they borrow with the currency they use to invoice products, their cost of debt is dependent on the local interest rate of their host country. * A subsidiary in a host country where interest rates are high might consider borrowing in a different currency to avoid the high cost of local debt.
41
Countries with High Interest Rates
* Subsidiaries based in developing countries may be subject to relatively high interest rates. * The matching strategy would force MNC subsidiaries in developing countries to incur a high cost of debt. * The parent of a U.S.-based MNC may consider providing a loan in dollars to finance the subsidiary so the subsidiary can avoid the high cost of local debt. However, this will force the subsidiary to convert some of its funds to dollars to repay the loan.
42
Debt Maturity Decision
A MNC must decide on the maturity for its debt. **Assessment of Yield Curve** * The shape of the yield curve can vary among countries. An upward sloping yield curve may indicate that investors require compensation for illiquidity associated with long-term debt. **Financing Costs of Loans with Different Maturities** * Must decide whether to obtain a loan with a maturity that perfectly fits its needs or one with a shorter maturity if it has a more favourable interest rate and then source additional financing when this loan matures.
43
Fixed versus Floating Rate Debt Decision
MNCs that wish to use a long-term maturity but wish to avoid the prevailing fixed rate may consider floating rate bonds (tied to a reference rate). **Financing Costs of Fixed versus Floating Rate Loans** * If an MNC considers financing with floating-rate loans it can first forecast the rate for each year, and that would determine the expected interest rate it would pay per year, allowing it to derive forecasted interest payments for all years of the loan.
44
Managing Economic Exposure (Through Policy)
*** Change the firm’s operating policies** – Leads and Lags * Interfirm vs. Intrafirm – Reinvoicing Centers – Netting *** Change the firm’s financing policies.** – Natural Hedging (matching) – Forward Contracts + Debt – Diversifying Currencies – Parallel Loans – Currency Swaps
45
Using Parallel Loans to Execute the Matching Strategy
* If an MNC is not able to borrow a currency that matches its invoice currency, it might consider financing with a parallel (or back-to-back) loan so that it can match its invoice currency. * In a parallel (or back-to-back) loan, two parties provide simultaneous loans with an agreement to repay at a specified point in the future. * Particularly attractive if the MNC is conducting a project in a foreign country, will receive the cash flows in the foreign currency, and is worried that the foreign currency will depreciate substantially.
46
Swaps
* Definition: – …a swap – whether an interest rate swap or a currency swap – can simply be described as the transformation of one stream of future cash flows into another stream of future cash flows with different features. * Swaps allow two parties to transform the nature of their liabilities/assets – interest rate swap: agreement to swap interest payments whereby interest payments based on a fixed interest rate are exchanged for interest payments based on a floating interest rate. – currency swap: agreement to exchange one currency for another at a specified exchange rate and date. Madura p.704 (includes principal) – a combination of the above * A financial intermediary is usually involved
47
Interest Rate Swaps: Purpose
* to hedge interest rate risk * to take a position in interest rate markets * to reduce the cost of debt if imperfections exist * allows construction of longer horizon hedges.
48
Hedging Interest Payments with Interest Rate Swaps
* If MNCs are concerned that interest rates will rise, they may complement their floating rate debt with interest rate swaps to hedge the risk of rising interest rates. * Financial institutions such as commercial and investment banks and insurance companies often act as dealers in interest rate swaps. * In a plain vanilla interest rate swap, one participating firm makes fixed rate payments periodically in exchange for floating rate payments. – The payments are based on a notional value.
49
Financial Intermediaries
There is a cost of time and resources associated with searching for a suitable swap candidate and negotiating the swap terms. Each swap participant also faces the risk that the counter participant could default on payments. Financial Intermediaries ➢ ensure legal compliance ➢ act as swap warehouses ➢ reduce information asymmetry of the parties ➢ bear credit risk ➢ share in the potential gains * we will extend the previous example in which the maximum possible benefit (100 b.p.) is achieved
50
Currency Swaps / FX Swaps
Currency Swap: agreement to exchange one currency for another at a specified exchange rate and date. Madura p.698 ***Bank of International Settlements*** *** Currency Swap:** – Contract which commits two counterparties to exchange streams of interest payments in different currencies for an agreed period of time and to exchange principal amounts in different currencies at a pre-agreed exchange rate at maturity. *** FX Swap:** – Transaction which involves the actual exchange of currencies (principal amount only) on a specific date at a rate agreed at the time of conclusion of the contract and a reverse exchange of the same two currencies at a date further in the future and at a (generally different) rate agreed at the time of the contract.
51
Using Currency Swaps to Execute the Matching Strategy
* An MNC faces exchange rate risk when it is not able to exchange in the same currency as its invoice currency. * A currency swap specifies the exchange of currencies at periodic intervals and may allow the MNC to have cash outflows in the same currency in which it receives most or all of its revenue
52
Why do Swaps Work?
* Comparative advantage – Ricardo’s explanation of international trade – a convincing argument for swaps? * Market segmentation * Mispricing of risk – if risk is mispriced, what are the consequences? * Low-cost flexibility
53
The Benefits of Swaps
We have seen how swaps work – swaps can help corporations vary their cost and structure of debt – swaps can hedge interest rate risk – swaps can hedge foreign exchange risk SWAPS offer corporations a longer time horizon for their hedging than do exchange traded products and many OTC products.
54
Sources of Debt
**Domestic Debt Sources** – Loans from Financial Institutions * An MNC’s parent commonly borrows funds from financial institutions. * Syndicated loans (Commonly used in Australia) – Credit – Overdraft – Commercial Paper – Medium-Term Notes – Bond Market * MNCs commonly engage in a domestic bond offering in their home country in which the funds are denominated in their local currency. **International Sources of Debt** – Eurocurrency Loans – Euronotes – International Bonds * MNCs can engage in a global bond offering, in which they simultaneously sell bonds denominated in the currencies of multiple countries.
55
International Sources of Debt -Eurocurrency Loans-
Loans sourced in the Eurocurrency markets. * Syndicated Loan (chapter 3) Sometimes a single bank is unwilling or unable to lend the amount needed by an MNC or government agency. A syndicate of banks can be formed to underwrite the loans and the lead bank is responsible for negotiating the terms with the borrower. * Lower Interest Rate Spreads – Wholesale market – High credit ratings – Lower costs – Lower requirements
56
International Sources of Debt -Euronotes-
* Euronote Market – Short to medium term debt sourced in Eurocurrency markets * Major Classes – Underwritten * Short term promissory notes * Underwritten by an arranger bank – Non-Underwritten * Euro Commercial Paper * Euro Medium Term Notes
57
International Bond Market
Market Participants – Countries, MNC’s, large domestic corporations, and international institutions. * Foreign bonds – Bonds sold in the country of denomination with a foreign issuer – e.g. USD bonds sold and underwritten in the U.S. by an Australian firm – Registered: * Owner’s name is on the bond – Alternatively, a record of serial numbers is kept * Updated as bonds are traded * Eurobonds – Bonds sold in countries outside of the country of denomination
58
Eurobonds
**Types** * Straight fixed issue / floating rate note / convertible bonds **Common features** * Large denomination & long duration * Bearer form * Possession is evidence of ownership * No ownership records are kept * Call provisions – The borrower has the option of retiring the bonds prior to maturity * Sinking Funds – A fixed amount of bonds is retired each year after a period of time – Supports the market price by reducing bondholder risk as not all the debt will fall due at once
59
Advantages of Eurobonds
**Fixed rate** * Useful for hedging known cash flows **Relatively inexpensive, fast and flexible to issue** * Lack of regulations and disclosure requirements (self regulated market) * Tax advantages (bearer form) **Swap driven** * Raise one currency in one market to swap for an alternative interest rate structure or currency – Choose a currency where you have high demand, to achieve a saving by swapping for the curren
60