week 8: externalities + uncertainty Flashcards

1
Q

Climate change presents several critical features:

A

Stabilizing yearly emissions isn’t enough; total greenhouse gas levels affect climate.

Climate change effects are partially irreversible, impacting future generations.

Uncertainty exists about the scale and timing of global change effects, urging consideration of worst-case scenarios in policy.

International cooperation is vital, especially among powerful nations, to address climate change effectively.

Balancing interests of individuals in different economic situations and future generations presents a conflict.

We have a limited “carbon budget” of 1 to 1.5 trillion tonnes of CO₂ to reasonably limit temperature increase to 2°C. Even achieving this, there’s a 1% chance of a catastrophic 6°C rise. Exceeding the limit to 3.4°C raises the probability of climate-induced economic catastrophe to 10%.

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2
Q

Like other environmental problems, climate change can be addressed by … what policies?

A

Environmental Damage Abatement Policies

e.g.

1] Discovering + adopting technologies that are less polluting

2] Choosing to consume less environmentally damaging goods

3] Banning/limiting use of environmentally harmful goods

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3
Q

However, the ________ of immediately eliminating all CO₂ emissions would surely exceed the environmental benefits.

A

economic costs

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4
Q

What is the trade-off between the benefits of producing and consuming more, and the enjoyment of a less-degraded environment?

A
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5
Q

The abatement cost curve shows the ______

A

Per-unit cost of abating greenhouse gas emissions using abatement policies, ranked from the most cost-effective to the least

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6
Q

The degree of abatement chosen depends on what?

A

The relative costs + benefits

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7
Q

What is the marginal cost curve of the abatement curve?

A

Shows cost of an additional tonne of abatement at any given level of abatement.

– assuming that we adopt the most efficient technologies first

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8
Q

Abatement curve diagram

A
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9
Q

What is the least-cost abatement curve?

A

Shows how total abatement (at least cost) depends on total abatement expenditures

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10
Q

The least-cost abatement curve gives _________

A

All combinations of environmental quality [E on y axis] and cost of abatement [x axis], when abatement technologies are adopted in ascending order of cost.

combinations of expenditures & resulting abatement when the
lowest-cost changes are introduced first and higher cost ones introduced later

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11
Q

Least-cost abatement curve diagram

A
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12
Q

Explain this diagram

A

the least cost abatement curve: shows all the combinations of environmental quality (E) and cost of abatement, when the abatement technologies are adopted in ascending order of cost.

Point A is dominated by points A’ and A”, but may still be chosen if:

**abatement policies are inefficient **

e.g. adopting more costly methods first

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13
Q

Flipping the least-cost abatement curve horizontally gives the _______

A

The Feasible Set

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14
Q

Environment-consumption trade-offs: feasible consumption and environmental quality.

EXPLAIN THE DIAGRAM

A

☆ Vertical axis still measures the quality of the environment

☆ Horizontal axis now measures the goods available for consumption** after **abatement costs (from left to right).

☆ – Abatement expenditures are now measured from right to left.

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15
Q

The slope of the feasible frontier is known as the

A

marginal rate of transformation (MRT)

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16
Q

What does the MRT of the feasible set show?

A

It measures how much of the quantity on the vertical axis you would get by giving up one unit of the quantity on the horizontal axis

(marginal rate of transformation of foregone consumption into
environmental quality)

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17
Q

Formula for MRT?

A

inc in environmental quality/decrease in consumption

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18
Q

What is the policymaker’s environment-consumption indifference curve?

A

Indifference map showing how much consumption citizens are willing to trade in exchange for better environmental quality

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19
Q

The slope of the indifference curve is called the…?

A

Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)

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20
Q

How to calculate the MRS from the policy-makers environment-consumption IC?

A
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21
Q

Diagram of policymaker’s environment-consumption IC

A
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22
Q

The higher the indifference curve, the ___________ of utility from consumption and environmental quality

A

Higher the level of utility

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23
Q

A Steeper indifference curve means the marginal utility of abatement is ____

A

LOW

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24
Q

What does a steeper indifference curve mean for MRS?

A

LARGER MRS

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25
Q

What does a steeper indifference curve mean about how the individual values consumption to environment?

A

A preference where consumption is valued highly by the citizens (large M.U of consumption)

while abatement of environmental damage has low value

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26
Q

Draw an indifference curve diagram where consumption is valued higher than the abatement of environmental damage

A
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27
Q

Why are the indifference curves straight?

A

We are assuming, for simplicity, that:

The marginal utility of consumption/ environmental quality are both constant i.e they do not depend on the quantity of consumption or on the amount of abatement

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28
Q

A flatter environment-consumption indifference curve means…?

A

Consumption is valued less highly by the citizens relative to the value that they place on the abatement of environmental damage

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29
Q

In a flatter IC, marginal utility of abatement is ____

A

High!

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30
Q

Which point on the feasible set will the policy maker choose?

A

MRS = MRT

31
Q

Policymakers use two principles to make a decision about the level of abatement.

What 2 principles do policymakers use?

A
  1. They consider only abatement policies on the frontier of the feasible set: this eliminates higher-cost abatement policies that are inside the shaded area
  2. They choose the combination of environmental quality and
    consumption that puts them on the highest possible indifference curve
32
Q

Where would be the level of abatement policymaker wants to implement?

A

Point X is the lvl of environmental protection the policymaker wants to implement, with environmental quality at E*.

33
Q

What’s wrong with B?

A

MRS < MRT (the slope of the feasible set at B)

So the policymaker would be better off by switching more resources from consumption into improving environmental quality.

☆ spending more on abatement shifts the policymaker onto higher indifference curves until point X is reached ☆

34
Q

Policymaker’s aim: to achieve ____________________ (e.g units of CO2) at MINIMUM cost

A

desired amount of effective abatement

35
Q

How can we achieve the desired level of abatement? [2]

A

Through abatement policies

[1] price-based policies: taxes and subsidies to affect prices
- aims to internalise the external effects of individual choices

[2] quantity-based policies: bans, caps and regulations

36
Q

What is cap and trade? (main type of tradable pollution permit)

A

A policy that combines a legal limit on the amount of emissions with an incentive-based approach to assigning the abatement required to meet this legal limit among firms and other actors.

37
Q

How does Cap and Trade work?

A
  1. Government sets total level of abatement required: the ‘cap’
  2. Gov creates permits
  3. Gov allocates permits: They can be given to the firms operating in industries emitting the pollutant, or they can be auctioned
  4. Permits are traded:

➼ for some firms, polluting is very profitable and abatement costly.

So they will buy permits from other firms. Firms that produce little pollution or have low costs of abatement may have excess permits, which they can sell.

Trade occurs until the gains from trade are eliminated

  1. The firms submit permits to government to cover their emissions
38
Q

Cap and trade model diagram

A
39
Q

Till what point do firms trade?

A

Firms will trade until

PERMIT PRICE = MC OF ABATEMENT

– pareto-efficient

40
Q

Example: Firm A has a *lower marginal private cost of abatement (MPCA) than Firm B*

Both firms benefit from buying/selling permits until…?

A

Until the MPCA is equalized across firms.

41
Q

what is the objective of cap and trade?

A

Abatement is done by the firms for which it is the least costly

42
Q

What are the issues with cap and trade? [2]

A
  1. Not easy to determine the cap
    Policy makers need to set the correct total level of abatement
  2. Putting a price on pollution may send the wrong signal to firms
    E.g. production is profitable
43
Q

Give me an example for when there is an issue in determining the total level of abatement

A

EU Emissions Trading Scheme set too large a cap.
The price fell dramatically after the 2008 crisis, providing little incentive to abate.

— A price floor on permits can mitigate this issue (e.g. UK)

EX 2: The estimated total external cost of a tonne of carbon dioxide emissions differs depending on how we value future generations

  • A low-end estimate in 2017 is about $40 per tonne of CO₂ emissions, and it is rising fast because the greater the amount of CO₂ in the atmosphere, the higher the marginal effect on climate of adding more
  • The recent price of a permit on the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme is about 60% of this cost, so the permit plan is inducing decision-makers to internalise only a small fraction of the negative external effects
44
Q

What is the idea of a carbon tax?

A

Ideally, a tax on fossil fuels (carbon tax) could entirely offset the external effects from production + advantage that businesses n others would then face less uncertainty about the cost of burning carbon

45
Q

A tax on carbon would raise the _______________ in exactly the same way as having to pay for an emissions permit would do

A

cost of emitting carbon

46
Q

In fact, the effect on costs of a carbon tax vs emission permit would be identical if the market-determined _________

A

cost of the permit to be the same as tax rate per tonne of emissions set by the government

47
Q

The effect of the increase in costs would be _____________ of emissions-intensive goods and hence, ceteris paribus, ______________would fall

A

higher prices,

demand for such goods

48
Q

Both the cap and trade and a carbon tax are said to be a way to ____________ the external effects of carbon emissions.

A

‘put a price on’

49
Q

Draw pollution as an externality

A

Negative Production Externality

☆ supply curve = marginal private cost of production (to the firm)

☆ SOCIAL cost of production is higher for each level of output produced

the social equilibrium ⇒ less production + a higher market price

50
Q

What is the solution to a pollution externality? + Diagram

A

Government introduces a tax per unit of pollution produced that firms must pay.

☆ An accurate estimation of the tax can increase the MPC of production to the actual MSC of production so the optimum level of output is produced ☆

51
Q

Pros of a carbon tax? [5]

A
  1. Forces polluters to pay cost of carbon emissions
  2. **Greater social efficiency **as social cost is fully paid
  3. Raises revenue to mitigate environmental damage
  4. Encourages firms and consumers to look for alternatives
  5. Reduces environmental cost associated with excess carbon pollution
52
Q

Cons of Carbon Tax? [5]

A
  1. Higher tax can discourage investments + economic growth
  2. May encourage tax evasion - firms pollute in secret
  3. Difficult to measure the social cost, and hence the correct tax level
  4. Administration costs of measuring pollution + collecting tax
  5. Firms may shift production to countries w/o carbon tax
53
Q

Reasons to make a sugar tax [4]

A

Externality and Market Failure: Excessive sugar intake is linked to health issues, burdening healthcare systems and society.

Information Failure or Myopic Behavior: Consumers may lack awareness of sugar’s addictive nature and its health consequences.

Revenue for Social Good: Tax revenue can fund initiatives like school sports or awareness campaigns to improve well-being.

Product Reformulation: The tax incentivizes manufacturers to reduce sugar content in soft drinks, promoting healthier options.

54
Q

Worldwide sugar tax examples

A
55
Q

UK sugar tax

A

Drinks containing more than 8g of sugar pet 100ml will face a tax rate equivalent to 24p per litre.

56
Q

Sugar causes a _________ externality

+ diagarm

A

Negative consumption externality

☆ SUB-OPTIMAL OVERCONSUMPTION and hence OVER-PRODUCTION ☆

when consumed, benefits to society are lower than benefits enjoyed by the consumer

57
Q

How do we address market failure from overconsumption of sugar?

A

Indirect taxation!

A well calibrated tax could increase the price to the level where socially optimum level of output is consumed.

Specific tax

58
Q

Who actually pays for the sugar task?

A

Differs from elastic to inelastic!

59
Q

With an elastic demand, who pays for the sugar tax? + draw this

A

Flatter demand curve
So, consumers react strongly to the increase in price set by tax by reducing their consumption by a large amount.

So with price elastic consumers, the burden of the tax falls more on producers than on consumers.

60
Q

With an INelastic demand, who pays for the sugar tax? + draw

A

Burden of the tax falls more on consumers than producers.

61
Q

Define regressive tax

A

A tax that takes a higher percentage of tax revenue from those of low incomes.

– As income increases, proportion of income paid in tax falls.

62
Q

Is sugar tax regressive?

A

Lower socioeconomically positioned groups consume disproportionately LARGE quantities of sugary beverages relative to Higher SEP,

Arguably, demand for sugary drinks is inelastic

Hence, sugar tax is regressive as lower SEP groups pay more tax than higher SEP groups

63
Q

Does the sugar tax have “progressive health benefits”?

A

There is an argument that Sugar Tax disproportionately benefits the poor and would be progressive in health.

i.e the sugar tax benefits poor people more as they purchase a significantly larger amount than rich people - so a reduction in their sugar intake would benefit them more.

64
Q

According to the faculty of Public Health in 2016:

*“If you apply a sugary drinks tax across the board and everybody consumes 10% less, that produces a 1% reduction in disease overall.

But, in poorer areas that would be a ___________ compared with more affluent areas, because ___________________,
diabetes, obesity, cancer or to have a stroke.”*

A

3x bigger reduction

poorer people are two to three times more likely to get heart disease,

65
Q

With evidence, a tax on SugarSweetBeverages will deliver __________________ across socio-economic strata or _________ for lower SEP groups

A

similar population weight benefits

greater benefits

66
Q

An SSB tax is shown to be consistently ________________ but to a small degree

A

Financially regressive

67
Q

Challenges to sugar tax? [3]

A
  1. There are better policies than tax, e.g., regulation or ‘nudging’ policies may be more effective in reducing sugar consumption
  2. Substitution: with soft drinks taxed, consumers may simply switch to another product to get their sugar fix
  3. Business cost: a fall in demand may put jobs at risk in manufacturing, distribution + retail
68
Q

What is the methodology behind finding the economic impacts of ‘Sugar Tax’ i.e

How can we isolate the effects of the introduction of sugar tax from the influence of contemporaneous changes in potentially confounding factors?

A

2 approaches:

  1. before-after comparisons
  2. difference-in-differences
69
Q

What is a before-after comparison?

A

The simplest way to evaluate the effect of a tax is to:

** ☆ Compare prices and purchases before the tax is implemented with those after the tax is implemented ☆ **

This assumes that, in the absence of the tax, prices and purchases would have been identical to their levels prior to the introduction of the tax.

70
Q

“This assumes that, in the absence of the tax, prices and purchases would have been identical to their levels prior to the introduction of the tax.”

Why is this unlikely to be true?

A

Many reasons, for example,

Seasonal variation in purchases,
Trends in how much people like soft drinks,
Concern about consequences of soft drinks for health

these are all likely to lead to changes in purchases, even if the tax were not introduced

71
Q

When is the before-after approach typically the most convincing?

A

When applied to a narrow time window around the implementation of the tax.

This way It is more plausible that changes in price + purchases r primarily driven by the tax.

72
Q

What is the Difference-In-Differences method?

A

Difference-in-differences (DID) estimator addresses concerns about unobserved factors by comparing changes in outcomes between a treated group (e.g., a city with a tax) and a control group (e.g., a similar city without a tax). It uses the control group’s change as a proxy for what would have happened in the treatment group without the tax. Validity hinges on whether the control group’s change accurately reflects what would have occurred in the treatment group without the tax.

72
Q

Findings of the studies on SUgar TAX?

A

All studies that look at the effects on prices find that soft drink taxes lead to increased prices.

The size of the increase varies, reflecting differences in the size and structure of the tax, the set of products and the size of jurisdiction to which it applies.

Most studies find that soft drink taxes have resulted in reductions in purchases of taxed drinks. The largest effects on purchases have been found in Philadelphia; here, the tax rate is high (almost double the average UK rate), it applies to soft drinks containing sugar and artificial sweeteners, and it is fully passed through to prices.
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