WEEK 6 BEHAVIOUR Flashcards
Utility; Rationality/Heurisitics/BayesTheorem
Name 4 types of utility: PADT
Peak End Rule: People view the same events differently and judge utility differently based on how they remember
Anticipatory Utility: Utility gained may be more or less depending on what you expected, if expected loads of fun and got boring then the utility would be even worse
Diagnostic Utility: People think what utility they deserve and compare it to what they actually got
Transactions Utility: People judge their utility based on the factors and resources needed to obtain that, if buying a good resulted in the death of millions the utility gained from that good wont be very high
What are the four criteria’s rationality: BEALA
Bounded Rationality: Humans can only handle limited amount of info Simons (1955)
Empirical observation should logically change or affirm your decisions
Attitude should not change if based on irrelevant factors
Logical
Attitudes are coherent
Behaviour: Explain the difference between the standard model and the Behavioural model
The standard model describes the utility people should get, the behavioural model describes the utility people actually get
Explain how reference points determine our utility and provide the equation
Reference points are what we use to compare an event and determine our utility, if event A happens and i assumed i would get 4 utility but felt like i got more then overall ill have more utility vice versa
U(x)= £U(x)+v(X-r) with £being the weight on total income/wealth/event and v(X-r) being the expectation function - if expected 100 pounds and got 125 my utility would increase perhaps more than proportionally
Name 3 Factors that affect utility
Attraction effect - if A is wayy better than C im more likely to choose A and also choose B if B is closer to A
Menu Effect - if there are many options and i choose one the utility may not be as high as i may be thinking what if i chose another one
Anchoring Effect: People respond more positively or negatively if they have been approached positively or negatively
Framing effect: Peoples attitude and beliefs frame their world and so utility is different, fat people want big plates for more food so a smaller plate may instantly reduce utility
Endowment Effect: Owning an item may make it more valuable to you thereby increasing its utility to you
What is heuristics
Making a decision that may not be the most optimal but it achieves the short term goal satisfactorily
There are three heuristics, availability, diversification and representative. Explain and example all
Availability: Relying on what you remember and using it as a basis for whatever decision you’re about to do - seen something happen to ted on the news about x and use that as reference
Diversification: People tend to diversify their holdings across all given options even if it is not optimal
Representative: Judging an event based on how similar it is to a sterotype
Bayes Theorem, explain and formula and doctor example
A mathematical theorem for determining conditional probability.
Can be used for vaccines for example say there is a sickness than only gets 1% of the population there are 1000 people and 51 people get tested positive but only 1 of that 51 is actually sick you can use bayes theorem
P(H|E) = (P(E|H) P(H) )/ P(E)