Week 5 Flashcards

1
Q

what is price level, inflation and inflation rate

A

§Price level: A measure of the average prices of goods and services in the economy.
§Inflation: The sustained increase in the general level of prices in the economy.
§Inflation rate: The percentage increase in the general price level in the economy from one year to the next.

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2
Q

Consumer price index (CPI):

A

§The CPI is the most widely used measure of inflation.

§: A measure of changes in retail prices of a basket of goods and services representative of consumption expenditure by typical Australian households in capital cities.

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3
Q

what the ABS’s role in terms of CPI

A

§The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) surveys households on their spending habits.
–The goods and services typically purchased by households is the ‘market basket’.
–The prices of goods and services in the market basket are given a weight according to their fraction of a ‘typical’ family budget.

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4
Q

The CPI measures

A

measures the rate of change in the prices of the goods and services in the market basket

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5
Q
A

Find the 2016 inflation rate

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6
Q

Four sources of bias in the CPI may lead to it overstating the inflation rate

A

–Substitution bias
–Increase in quality bias
–New product bias
–Outlet bias

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7
Q

measuring inflation

The producer price index (PPI):

A

§: An average of the prices received by producers of goods and services at all stages of the production process.
§Like the CPI, the PPI tracks the prices of a market basket of goods.

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8
Q

calculate the inflation rate

A

CPI = expenditures in current yr/ expenditures in base yr x 100

CPI in 2011 = 314/314 x 100 = 100

CPI in 2015= 360/314 x 100 = 114.65

Inflation rate = CPI in current yr- CPI in base yr/ 100 x 100 = 114.65-100/100 x 100=

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9
Q

what happens to purchasing power when prices rise

A

The purchasing power of the dollar falls

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10
Q

Price indexes, such as the CPI, enable

A

§adjustments to be made for the effects of inflation, so dollar values can be compared over time.

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11
Q

The 2013 purchasing power equivalent of a $20 000 salary in 1980 can be found

A
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12
Q

Nominal interest rate and real interest rate

A

§The stated interest rate on a loan.
§Real interest rate: The nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate.

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13
Q

If the inflation rate is higher than expected

A

borrowers may gain and lenders receive a lower real interest rate (on a fixed interest rate loan).

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14
Q

The real interest rate provides a better measure of

A

§the true cost of borrowing and the true return to lending than does the nominal interest rate.

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15
Q

It is possible for the nominal interest rate to be less than the real interest rate when

A

there’s deflation - rare in australia

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16
Q

When the inflation rate is high, the gap between nominal and real interest rates

A

often becomes large

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17
Q

Does inflation impose costs on the economy?

A

Nominal incomes generally rise with inflation

§For the ‘average’ person, nominal wages increase with inflation.

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18
Q

Inflation and the distribution of income

what happens to people on fixed incomes

A

§People on fixed incomes are likely to experience reduced purchasing power due to inflation.

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19
Q

INflation and distribution of income

what does the extent of distribution depend on

A

§degree to which inflation is anticipated or unanticipated.

20
Q

does inflation pose costs on the economy

Problems with anticipated inflation

A

§Income redistribution, as some people’s income will fall behind anticipated inflation.
§For those holding wealth in paper money.

21
Q

does inflation pose costs on the economy

Problems with anticipated inflation

menu costs?

A

Menu costs: The costs to firms of changing prices

22
Q

does inflation pose costs on the economy

Problems with anticipated inflation

taxes?

A

Increases taxes paid by those who own income generating assets, such as bonds, shares and deposits, and also increases personal income taxes paid due to ‘bracket creep

23
Q

Problems with unanticipated inflation

A

There are winners and losers, depending on whether inflation is higher or lower than anticipated

24
Q

Problems with unanticipated inflation

those with fixed incomes?

A

–For example: Those on fixed incomes will lose if inflation is higher than anticipated.

25
Q

Problems with unanticipated inflation

Borrowers and lenders?

A

–Borrowers on fixed-term contracts may gain and lenders may lose when inflation is higher than anticipated.

26
Q

Problems with unanticipated inflation

contracts?

A

–People on fixed-payment contracts will lose if inflation is higher than anticipated.

27
Q

Hyperinflation

A

Extremely rapid increases in the general price level.

28
Q

what happens In periods of hyperinflation

A

–money loses value so rapidly that firms and households try to avoid holding it.

29
Q

Hyperinflation is often associated with

A

–political instability and usually accompanied by a severe recession and economic and political turmoil.

30
Q

Deflation:

A

A decline in the general price level in the economy.

31
Q

problems with deflation include

A
  1. Increases debt burdens
  2. Reduces asset values and wealth
  3. Gains to consumers from falling prices may be negated by falling wages
  4. The real interest rate rises above the nominal interest rate, discouraging business borrowing and reducing the effectiveness of monetary policy
  5. Long-term deflation can severely erode economic growth
32
Q

What causes inflation?

Demand-pull inflation

A

§: Inflation that is caused by an increase in the aggregate demand for goods and services and production levels are unable to meet this demand immediately.

33
Q

Aggregate demand:

A

–The quantity of goods and services demanded by households, firms and government, plus net exports.

34
Q

demand - pull inflation

why may the production be unable to meet demand

A

§Production may be unable to meet demand, particularly when the economy is close to, or at, full employment.

35
Q

Demand -pull inflation

what is wage-price sprial

A

§Upward pressure is put on prices and nominal wages and can lead to a wage-price spiral.

36
Q

causes of inflation

Cost-push inflation

A

§Inflation that arises as a result of a negative supply shock—that is, anything that causes a decrease in the aggregate supply of goods and services.

–Aggregate supply: The quantity of goods and services supplied by firms.

37
Q

Sources of a supply shock can include

A

–Increases in import prices
–Increases in wages
–Increases in indirect taxation
–Increases in monopoly power in product markets
–Natural disasters, such as droughts, floods and earthquakes

38
Q

4 biases that cause changes in the CPI to overstate the true inflation rate

A
  1. Substitution bias
  2. quality bias
  3. new product bias:
  4. outlet bias
39
Q

describe substitution bias

A

The substitution bias is a weakness in the Consumer Price Index that overstates inflation because it does not account for the substitution effect, when consumers choose to substitute one good for another after its price becomes cheaper than the good they normally buy.

they likely substitute away from items that get disproportionately expensive to goods that got comparatively less expensive.

40
Q

describe quality bias

A

price from increase in quality

overtime technological advancement increases the life and usefulness of products. CPI does not reflect this

product improvements are under-counted)

For example, an average computer today might cost about the same as an an average computer cost last year, but today’s computer is better than last year’s computer in a number of ways that the CPI doesn’t account for.

41
Q

what is new product bias

A
42
Q

what is new product bias

A

new products are not introduced in the index until they become commonplace

(new products are not counted for a while after the appear)

43
Q

what is outlet bias

A

the consumer shift to new outlets such as wholesale clubs and online retailers

44
Q

a severe drought reduces the production of tropical fruit, causing the price of tropical fruit to rise significantly

A

overestimate, substittion bias, becoming consumers would substitute cheaper foods for tropical fruit

45
Q

new tech signiicantly decreases the price of 3D televisions

A

accurately reflects a fall in price of consumer goods

46
Q

consumers switch to buying front loadin clothes washing machines instead of the less water efficient top-loading washing machines, even though the front loading washing machines are more expensive

A

overestimate, similar to new product bias

or quality bias

47
Q

Both the inability of the CPI to incorporate technological progress and its failure to account for substitution in consumption decisions imply that, in most cases,

A

the Consumer Price Index likely overstates increases in the cost of living that households actually feel.