Week 5 Flashcards

Investment Psychology

1
Q

The Psyche

A

The model uses the Greek word Psyche to refer to the
full human mind in its widest sense. It is a very broad
term. Psyche is usually translated as ‘mind’ but also as
‘soul’, and can be translated in other ways too. We will
use a model of the Psyche as being made up of three
parts – using a Greek name for each: Nous, Logos and
Pyr.

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2
Q

Nous

A

Nous is translated into English in a variety of ways – as
mind, thought, ‘imagination for reality’, forethought,
intuition, reflection and the ‘mind’s eye’ amongst others.
We will use it to mean the mental picture of the world that
the individual is using.

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3
Q

Logos

A

Logos is translated as logic or rational thinking. It refers to
the type of rational logic that could be understood by all.
The function of Logos is to condition the mental picture
created by Nous – and the mental pictures created by the
Nous and Logos of others.

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4
Q

Pyr

A

Pyr is translated as fire, or ‘fire in the belly’, animal spirits,
drive or impulse. It refers to the light and energy used in
and by the Psyche.

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5
Q

Ego

A

The Ego is the individual, his/her self, as distinct from others. Ego is the Latin word for ‘I’. An individual likes to feel good about his/her self.

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6
Q

Healthy and Unhealthy Ego

A

The Ego is a filter through which an individual sees the
world.

An individual with a ‘healthy’ Ego tends to see the
world as it really is, and constructively tries to engage
with the world.

An individual with an ‘unhealthy’ Ego will use varying
degrees of self-deception to excuse or justify their
actions to make themselves feel better about the world.

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7
Q

Rationalisation

A

When an individual makes a judgment based partly on
the way they are and partly on the way the world is, this
is referred to as a rationalisation.

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8
Q

Rationality

A

Rationality is considered to be a spectrum rather than
an absolute. At one end of the spectrum is Logos:
dispassionate, neutral reasoning which in theory could
be understood by all, while at the other end would be
factually incorrect rationalisations, heavily distorted by
Ego.
The quality of the rationalisations will also be influenced
by the degree of Nous applied and the level of effort
(Pyr) applied in creating them.

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9
Q

Challenges engaging Nous

A
  • Difficult to engage Nous – not a willful action
  • Involves openness and a degree of uncertainty,
    vulnerability and doubt – essentially the existing world
    view may be shown to be deficient which is an
    uncomfortable conclusion for many people.
  • Patience is also required as creating a better mental
    picture is likely to take time.
  • Engaging Nous is regarded as an inward journey into the
    Psyche, involving contemplation and reflection and
    drawing from thoughts.
  • Involves becoming abstract which means a degree of
    disengaging from the world. The individual’s Ego is likely
    to be fighting against this: the individual’s Ego wants to
    feel good, and is usually trying to create beneficial
    outcomes from engagement with the world.
  • Disengaging, which can create psychological [Ego]
    discomfort, and applying patience, has an opportunity
    cost to the Ego.
  • Engaging Nous – uncommon and difficult
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10
Q

Challenges engaging Logos

A
  • Difficult to engage because it requires discipline, effort
    and rigor.
  • It requires concentration and is aided by an environment
    that has a degree of stability, safety and an absence of
    distractions.
  • The individual’s Ego is likely to be fighting against the
    individual because the Ego may prefer a rosier, easier
    and less realistic picture of the world.
  • The Ego would therefore prefer that less than the full
    degree of discipline, effort and rigor is required. In this
    case, the individual will mostly be applying
    rationalizations, e.g. different types of excuses, rather
    than Logos. These rationalizations make sense to the
    Ego but from the perspectives of outsiders who have
    engaged their Logos they will appear somewhat
    irrational.
  • Applying Logos has an opportunity cost for the Ego
    because it means applying relatively limited mental
    discipline in one way rather than in other competing
    ways. Furthermore, an individual’s capacity to apply
    Logos is limited by the extent to which they have applied
    Nous.
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11
Q

Challenges engaging Pyr

A
  • Using Pyr is challenging because, using the analogy of a
    fire, it needs igniting, good fuel and good air to create a
    good fire. A good fire also needs to be stoked regularly to
    keep the flame going to maintain the light and heat
    coming from it.
  • However, from the Ego’s perspective, Pyr is dangerous,
    just like fire, and if not managed properly, it can burn or
    smoulder and create smoke. The Ego is typically inclined
    to be risk-averse so inclined not to risk fully engaging
    Pyr. Engaging Ego-defense mechanisms has an
    opportunity cost due to the amount of Pyr needed to
    operate them, reducing the Pyr available elsewhere for
    the Psyche.
  • When the individual’s Nous or Logos are not engaged
    resulting in an unrealistic mental picture of the world and
    a somewhat irrational understanding of it, then the
    individual’s Pyr, is likely to cause problems, because any
    impulse-driven behaviour may have unexpected or
    undesirable consequences. This can entail the individual
    needing to manage or suppress their Pyr to avoid
    creating problems.
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12
Q

Challenges engaging the Full Psyche

A
  • The openness, uncertainty, doubt and vulnerability that
    aid Nous are mostly in conflict with the stability, safety
    and absence of distractions that aid Logos. This adds an
    additional challenge to use Nous and to condition it well
    with Logos.
  • Engaging Pyr is in conflict with engaging Nous and
    applying Logos. Nous requires a degree of
    disengagement of Pyr. And Logos requires disciplining it.
  • The best balance, to apply all three parts well, is likely
    when the individual has a healthy Ego. This is likely to be
    when Ego is behaving in a passionate but gentle manner
    with a proportionate degree of humility. The passion gets
    the fire going and the gentleness aids keeping the flame
    going, maximizing the light and energy created, and the
    humility prevents the Ego getting in the way of engaging
    Nous or resulting in rationalizations instead of the
    application of Logos.
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13
Q

Conforming

A

The individual who does not engage their Psyche beyond
their rationalisations, will passively rely on the narratives
(Nous) and on the analyses (Logos) of others. They can
do so by membership of groups and by conforming to a
variety of norms and ‘accepted wisdoms’.

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14
Q

Cost of conforming

A

Where individuals do not fully engage their Psyche this
will bring costs in terms of the Ego- defence mechanisms
used instead. These reduce an individual’s capacities for

engaging Nous because they create a closed-
mindedness and reduce their capacity for the openness

which is essential to engage Nous. The Ego-defence
mechanisms also distort their use of their Logos.

By conforming and joining a group, an individual will
become part of the Group-ego. The Group-ego is a
similar concept to the Ego. Those in the group see things
partly the way the world is and partly the way the group
sees them.
Consequently, they will be additionally subject to Group-
ego defence mechanisms, rationalisations to aid the

group feeling better rather than the way it would feel if it
saw things as they are. These further reduce the
individual’s capacity for engaging Nous and further
distort their use of Logos.
Individuals in groups may find resistance when trying to
move discussions away from its shared narrative.

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15
Q

Benefits of Conforming

A

Whether to conform or not depends on a number of
factors, for example, the effort an individual is willing to
make, the circumstances in which they are operating and
the individual’s recognition of their own skills. Where an
individual believes that they have no special advantage
and cannot develop one anytime soon, conforming can
be beneficial. The better the narrative to which the
individual conforms, the greater the benefits to them.

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16
Q

Herd-like behaviour

A

Herd-like behaviour arises when the group to which an
individual belongs to has a disproportionate impact on
their reasoning or their decisions. It arises when there is
an inadequate amount of individual thought to counteract
the influence of the group in arriving at their decisions;
i.e. when individuals are not fully engaging their Psyche
because they conform to a group norm.

17
Q

Definition of the Efficient Market Hypothesis

A

Roughly stated, the EMH claims that asset prices fully
reflect all available information. The consequence being
that stocks always trade at their fair price so it is
impossible to consistently pick individual stocks that will
‘beat the market’.