Week 4/5 Lecture 4 Investment Decision Flashcards
Defensive and Aggressive Investors
Defensive investors: Are more risk-averse and are focused on preserving capital
Aggressive investors: Have more tolerance towards risk and focus on capital growth
Standard Deviation
A measure applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment volatility, it is a measure of risk that an investment will not meet the expected return in a given period. Every time you buy a stock or mutual fund, you’re weighing its expected return and risk. The smaller an investments SD, the less volatile (hence risky) it is and the larger the SD, the more dispersed those returns are and thus riskier the investment is.
Diversification
Portfolio risk is not simply a weighted average of the standard deviation of individual shares in the portfolio. Weights used are not simply the fraction of the total portfolio invested in each share. It is necessary to understand the concept of correlation between the returns on shares, correlation is the relationship between the return of one share compared to the other share.
Correlation coefficient
The correlation coefficient shows the extent of correlation amount shares. It has a numerical value of -1 to +1 which indicates the extent of risk reduction within a portfolio.
Negative correlation means large risk reduction
Positive correlation means no risk reduction
On average the correlation coefficient for returns on two randomly selected shares would be in the range of +0.5 to +0.7
Nominal vs real cash rate
Nominal cash flow is the true dollar amount of future revenues the company expects to receive and expenses it expects to pay out without any adjustments for inflation.
Real cash flow is adjusted for inflation in order to reflect the change in the value of money over time.
Money market and capital market
Both the money market and the capital market are the two different types of the financial markets where in the money market it used for the purpose of short term borrowing and lending whereas the capital market is used for the long term assets.
Money market: markets generally deals in promissory notes, bulls of exchange, commercial paper, T bills, call money etc
Capital market: capital market deals in equity shares, debentures, bonds, preference shares etc.
Fixed interest investments
Term deposits: from one month to several years are available from ADIS
Commercial bills: are visually of 90-180 days duration and are often provided by banks in return for a facilitation fee
Corporate bonds or debentures: are long term securities that pay regular interest at fixed rates on their face value, they are usually secured over a group of assets that need by the issuer.
Primary market and secondary market
The primary market: is where securities are created, it is in this market that firms sell (float) new stocks and bonds to the public for the first time. An initial public offering. These trades provide an opportunity for investors to buy securities from the bank that did the initial underwriting for a particular stock. The IPO occurs when a private company issues stick to the public for the first time.
Secondary market: commonly referred to as the stock market. The defining characteristic of the secondary market is that investors trade aiming themselves.
Security
Security, in a financial context, is a certificate or other financial instrument that has monetary value and can be traded. security is generally classified as equity (stock) security and debt security (bonds and debentures).
First, we will consider the bonds that do not pay a coupon or interest payment but are referred to as discount securities.
Second, we need to consider the form of fixed-interest security that pays a coupon or interest payment at predetermined times. These are known as coupon securities.
Shares
Fraction ownership of a company. Shares are generally high risk and return and therefore suitable for long term investors. In the long term, Australian shares have provided long term growth well above inflation. Returns can be both capital growth and dividends
Fundamental analysis
Uses objective measures to analyse a company’s current financial situation. It also attempts to forecast the effects of future events on those measures.
E.g. risk analysis/market valuation
Technical analysis
More concerned with how recent market perception of the worth of investment has been translated into market prices.
E.g. graph to identify patterns and trends that are expected to reproduce in the future.
Price Earning ratio P/E Ratio
The ratio for valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its per-share earnings (EPS).
P/E = price per share / earnings per share
Shows the return on investment (ROI) for shares.
Property investment
- Direct ownership
- Indirect ownership
Direct Ownership: registered on the title of the property
Indirect Ownership: increasing the proportion of property held by managed funds.
Managed funds
One type of managed investment scheme. in a managed fund your money is pulled together with other investors and an investment manager will buy and sell shares or other assets on your behalf.