WEEK 3: Limited samples and prediction of the main features of a variable, I Flashcards
What is a population?
a collection of all possible individuals, objects or measurements of interest
What is a sample?
a portion or part of the population of interest
What is the goal of a sample?
representativeness - necessary if you want to generalise to a population + to allow the use of inferential techniques
What is a probability sample?
A sample selected such that each item or person in the population being studied has a known likelihood of being included in the sample
What are the criteria / methods to select a representative sample?
sample size
sampling methods
sampling error
What 3 factors determine the size of a sample?
the desired level of reliability (Level of Confidence)
the margin of error the researcher will tolerate
the variation in the population being studied
How many number of observations is regarded as the minimum for findings to be statistically reliable?
100 observations
What four methods can be used to construct a probability sample?
Simple Random Sampling
Systematic Random Sampling
Stratified Random Sampling
Cluster Sampling
What is simple random sampling?
every sample of size n has the same probability of being selected - equal chance / included
eg Kent school has 845 students, teacher wants to do study and selects a random sample of 52 students. Each student writes their name on a slip of paper and puts it in box, after being mixed the first selection is made, process is repeated until the sample of 52 students is chosen
process = sampling without replacement, so probability of each selection changes eg 1/845, 1/844, 1/843
How would you perform simple random sampling in excel?
Data –> Data Analysis –> Sampling –> Fill boxes with info
eg input range?
random
no of samples
output range?
What is systematic random sampling?
items are taken at regular intervals eg every 5th person in a list
items/individuals of the population are arranged in some order, a random starting point is selected and then every k^th member of the population is selected for the sample
How do you calculate K? (Systematic Random Sampling)
k = population size / sample size
A population of students at Kent school is 845 students, a sample of 52 students will be selected from this, how would you do a systematic random sample?
1) work out K
–> K = population size / sample size = 845/52 = 16
random sampling is used in the selection of the first name among the first 16 students, then select every 16th name on the list after.
What is stratified random sampling?
a population is first divided into subgroups (strata) and a sample is selected from each stratum
(the population is divided into appropriate categories + sample is chosen so the proportions in each category are the same as the proportions in the population)
Population size = 400
Sample size = 50
Companies are divided into stratum, the number of firms in each stratum is:
1 = 24
2 = 43
3 = 208
4 = 119
5 = 6
How would you do a stratified random sample?
1) work out relative frequency for each company (in table) = number of firms / population size (total should equal 1 when added together
2) work out the number sampled = relative frequency x sample size (when added together, total should equal sample size)