Week 3: Internal and External Validity Flashcards
Why is it important to inference causally and give an example?
The ultimate aim of research questions is to infer the consequences of a change in the world (treatment/policy), e.g. the effect of an advertising campaign (X) to cut smoking (Y)
What does association mean?
Means hat two variables move together
What are two other words for association?
- Covariation
- Correlation
What does causation mean?
That one of the variables (X) is causing at least part of the movement in the other variable (Y).
Does association imply causation?
No
How would we go about testing if X causes Y?
Randomised experiment where the researcher both controls and randomly assigns values of the independent variable (X) to the participants.
What is internal validity?
The extent to which we are confident that results of a study establish causality between X and Y.
Which two things should a design eliminate to be classed as internal validity?
- If the design eliminates reverse causality
- If the design eliminates all or most confounders (Z)
What is external validity?
The extent to which you can translate your knowledge to other settings, e.g. whether the results can be generalised to other situations, people, countries, etc.
List 5 threats to internal validity.
- Selection
- Confounding
- Design contamination (diffusion)
- Experimenter bias
- Mortality (differential drop-out/attrition)
How is selection a threat to internal validity?
Selection bias can reduced the extent to which samples are representative of the populations they are drawn from.
How is confounding a threat to internal validity?
There may be another variable Z that can influence both X and Y, so it’s hard to tell whether the predictor caused Y or if it was the confounding variable.
How is design contamination a threat to internal validity?
The control group may have found out or known about the treatment group, skewing their feedback.
How is experimenter bias a threat to internal validity?
Experimenter may behave in different ways to control and treatment groups.
How is mortality - differential drop out - a threat to internal validity?
Differential rates of attrition between treatment and control groups can skew results.