Week 3 Flashcards
Probability
What is probability?
A number between 0 and 1 that measures that measures the likelihood that some event will occur.
0 means the event is impossible.
1 means the event is certain
What is a random experiment?
A process or action that can be repeated under the same conditions but produces different outcomes due to chance.
The specific result of each trial is unpredictable
What are basic outcomes?
These are possible outcomes of a random experiment
What is sample space?
The set of all possible basic outcomes of a random experiment
Example of a sample space?
An investor follows the Dow Jones Index. The sample space is:
- The index is higher than yesterdays close
- The index is not higher than yesterdays close
- The index is equal to yesterdays close
What is the rule for sample spaces?
Only one of the possible outcomes can occur. They cannot occur simultaneously
What is an event?
An event is a specific set of outcomes from a random event. It is a subset from the sample space, and it can include one or more of the basic outcomes
What is intersection of events?
A concept in probability theory, referring to the occurrence of 2 or more events at the same time
The intersection of events represents the event that all the considered events happen together
What is a mutually exclusive event?
If events A and B have no common outcomes, they are called mutually exclusive, and their intersection is set to be the empty set, indicating that A and B have no members
What is an independent event?
Each event is not affected by other events
What is a dependent event?
An event is affected by other events
What is Union?
A union refers to the event that at least one of several events occurs.
For 2 events, A and B, the union of A and B, represents the event that either A occurs, B occurs, or both occur.
What is meant by an event being collectively exhaustive?
Collectively exhaustive refers to a set of events that covers all possible outcomes of an experiment. In other words, at least one event in the set must occur. Together, these events make up the entire sample space.
What are the 2 different types of random variables?
- Discrete
- Continuous
What is a random variable?
A numerical value that is assigned to the outcomes of a random experiment.
It maps each basic outcome in the sample space to a number, allowing us to quantify the outcomes of random events