Week 2 Probability Distributions Flashcards
define intersection and union
intersection is where both variables need to be true to return true
union is where at least one of the variables must return true to be true
what is Bayes theorem
conditional probability of an event A given an event B is defined as the ratio of the probability of the intersection of A and B and the probability of event B
what is the Bayes theorem equation in axiom terms
P( A I B ) = P(A∩B) / P(B)
what is the Bayes theorem equation in condensed terms
P = I L / E P is the posterior probability I is the prior probability L is the likelihood probability E is the evidence
what is the probability mass function
probability distribution used when a result can only take a limited number of values
what is the probability density function
probability distribution used when a result is continuous
what does the Binomial distribution do
describes processes with a given number of identical trials with two possible outcomes.
what is the Binomial distribution equation
P(k; n,p) = p^k (1-p)^(n-k) n!/k!(n-k)!
k is the number of successes
n is the number of trials
p is the probability of an individual success
what does the Poisson distribution do
describe processes in which the probability of a certain number of event occurring in a given interval of time
what are the two pre conditions for the Poisson distribution
the average occurrence rate of event is a known constant and the events are independent of each other
what is the Poisson distribution equation
P(k;λ) = e^-λ λ^k / k!
k is the number of times an event occurs
λ is the average event rate
what is the Gaussian distribution
a continuous and symmetric probability distribution
what is the Gaussian distribution equation
P(x; μ,σ) ~ N(μ,σ^2) = 1 / σsqrt[2π] e^-[(x-μ)^2 / 2σ^2]
σ is the standard deviation
μ is the mean of the Gaussian
what happens to binomial and poisson distributions when n and λ are infinity
they become Gaussian distributions
what are the 5 other probability distributions
Uniform Chi Squared Student's t distribution F-distribution Multivariate distribution